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Morning Report - 9 October 2017

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
NMC Health 2838 116.0 4.3 83.8
Mediclinic International 686 22.0 3.3 -11.0
Direct Line Insurance 364 8.6 2.4 -1.4
Admiral Group 1853 42.0 2.3 1.4
Pearson 630 13.5 2.2 -23.1
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Centrica 174.5 -3.0 -1.7 -25.5
easyJet 1263 -21.0 -1.6 25.7
Marks & Spencer 348.7 -5.4 -1.5 -0.4
CRH 2774 -36.0 -1.3 -2.0
Lloyds Banking 66.6 -0.7 -1.0 6.5
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 7,522.9 14.9 0.20 5.3
UK 20,166.5 78.0 0.39 11.6
FR CAC 40 5,359.9 -19.3 -0.36 10.2
DE DAX 30 12,955.9 -12.2 -0.09 12.9
US DJ Industrial Average 30 22,773.8 -1.8 -0.01 15.2
US Nasdaq Composite 6,590.2 4.8 0.07 22.4
US S&P 500 2,549.3 -2.7 -0.11 13.9
JP Nikkei 225 20,690.7 62.2 0.30 8.2
HK Hang Seng Index 50 28,351.5 -106.6 -0.37 28.9
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,739.3 28.6 0.50 1.3
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 49.47 0.22 0.44 -8.2
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 55.73 0.44 0.8 -2.0
Gold ($/oz) 1286.35 7.45 0.58 11.7
Silver ($/oz) 16.99 0.14 0.85 6.5
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.3109 0.34 6.2
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.1736 0.06 11.6
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1170 0.27 -4.8
UK 100 called to open -10pts at 7510

UK 100 : 6-month, daily

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open -15pts at 7510, back from Friday's highs of 7530 and an overnight spike as highs as 7540 to test intersecting falling highs resistance at 7510. Bulls need a break above 7530 to inject fresh impetus; Bears need a breach of round number 7500. Watch levels: Bullish 7530, Bearish 7510.

Calls for a negative open come after disappointing China PMI Services data sapped an otherwise decent start to the week in Asia at odds with a negative Friday finish for Wall St that saw it end its record run. Political uncertainty continues to dominate, be it stateside, North Korea, Spain or closer to home in Westminster, helping safe haven Gold break higher.

With Japan’s Nikkei closed for holiday, Asian trading is buoyed by China gains on its return from Golden week, playing catch-up and ignoring PMI data that has seen Australia’s ASX pull back from an overnight flirt with fresh October highs fuelled by Telecoms and Industrials.

A weaker USD is presenting a hurdle for the UK UK Index by way of reciprocal GBP strength. Germany’s DAX, however, is benefiting from Euro weakness amid Catalonian independence concerns and strong German Factory Orders data.

UK Index headlines this morning include Smith & Nephew CEO Olivier Bohuon to Retire by End of 2018. AstraZeneca: FDA Grants Tagrisso BTD for 1st-Line EGFR. AMEC Foster Wheeler to sell most of UK North Sea business for £228m.

Imagination Tech and Canyon Bridge to publish scheme document containing full terms and conditions of acquisition. Centamin record gold production +26% QoQ, 5% YoY. Maintain 2017 guidance. Interserve wins £70m Housing Development Contract in Leeds. Trinity Mirror 3Q revenue -8% on local advertising decline.

Oil prices are off Friday’s lows helped by a lower US rig count and OPEC Secretary General Barkindo saying there is a growing consensus that a rebalancing process is under way, gradually but steadily, achieving common and noble objective, although extraordinary steps may still be needed.

Gold has broken back above falling highs resistance at $1276 to test $1281 amid fresh geopolitical concerns, most notably towards North Korea with the threat of another missile test.

In focus today will be the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence (9.30am), forecast up a notch in October, holding around recent 10yr highs. Thereafter, data is distinctly lacking on account of the US Columbus Day holiday, meaning all we have to go on is speeches and soundbites from the Eurogroup meeting and the 5th round of Brexit negotiations.

The ECB’s Mersch (9.45am) gives keynote speech at the 9th international banking conference on banking and financial regulation in Milan. Colleague Lautenschlager (5pm) gives a speech at Hohenheim University organised by the Banking Industry Foundation in Stuttgart.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Smith & Nephew CEO Olivier Bohuon to Retire by End of 2018
  • AstraZeneca: FDA Grants Tagrisso BTD for 1st-Line EGFR
  • Lancashire Holdings expects $106M-$212M Natural Calamities Cost
  • City Developments agrees £1.8bn Offer for Millennium & Copthorne Hotels
  • AMEC Foster Wheeler to Sell Most of U.K. North Sea Business for GBP228M
  • Wood Group merger with Amec Foster Wheeler complete
  • Centamin record quarterly production
  • Trinity Mirror 3Q Revenue Down 8% on Local Advertising Decline
  • Sirius Real Estate 1H18 Annualized Income Up 2% to €65.2m
  • Interserve Wins £70 Million Housing Development Contract in Leeds

 

 


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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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