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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Capita PLC | 514.5 | 16.7 | 3.4 | -3.1 |
| Persimmon PLC | 2016 | 59.0 | 3.0 | 13.5 |
| Rolls-Royce Group PLC | 720 | 19.5 | 2.8 | 7.8 |
| Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC | 7287 | 178.0 | 2.5 | 5.8 |
| Taylor Wimpey PLC | 176.2 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 14.8 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 1341.5 | -47.0 | -3.4 | 2.7 |
| Glencore PLC | 312.1 | -5.8 | -1.8 | 12.5 |
| Royal Dutch Shell PLC | 2208.5 | -40.5 | -1.8 | -6.2 |
| London Stock Exchange Group PLC | 3084 | -55.0 | -1.8 | 5.8 |
| Rio Tinto PLC | 3377.5 | -57.5 | -1.7 | 6.9 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 7,188.8 | 2.6 | 0.04 | 0.1 |
| UK | 18,606.0 | 46.4 | 0.25 | 2.3 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,766.6 | 12.1 | 0.26 | -1.5 |
| DE DAX 30 | 11,543.4 | -6.0 | -0.05 | -2.3 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 20,054.3 | -36.0 | -0.18 | -0.2 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 5,682.5 | 8.2 | 0.15 | 0.4 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,294.7 | 1.6 | 0.07 | 0.0 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 18,907.7 | -99.9 | -0.53 | -1.1 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 50 | 23,545.4 | 60.3 | 0.26 | 7.0 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,664.6 | 13.3 | 0.23 | 0.0 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 52.57 | 0.13 | 0.24 | -1.1 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 55.39 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1242.30 | 0.80 | 0.06 | 4.3 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 17.76 | 0.02 | 0.1 | 3.6 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.2515 | 0.0000 | -0.07 | -0.3 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.0682 | 0.0000 | -0.09 | -0.1 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.1716 | 0.0000 | 0.01 | -0.1 |
UK 100 Index called to open +10pts at 7200, extending yesterday’s rebound from 7150. This maintains the uptrend since early November and increases potential for recent highs (7230, 7260, 7365) to be regained. Bulls want to see an encouraging break above 7200. Bears need a breach of 7185 overnight lows to hint at a possible retrace to 7150. Watch levels: Bullish 7205, Bearish 7180.
Calls for a positive open come in spite of another mixed bag from both the US and Asian equities overnight as demand for bonds and precious metals suggests investors very much hedging their bets. This in the face of political uncertainty (Europe, Trump) and central banks wanting to dial back on the accommodative policy that has kept markets afloat for almost as decade.
European sentiment boosted by a USD rebound to maintain a February uptrend translating into welcome GBP and EUR weakness to benefit the UK Index and DAX, respectively. Oil prices holding if not adding to their own bounce is also helping commodity space sentiment after production outlook jitters.
Japan’s Nikkei is in the red despite a weaker Yen with consumer dented by weak Toyota sales while Australia’s ASX posts gains thanks to utilities making up for weakness among miners as a stronger USD weighs and a copper mine strike could inspire more elsewhere.
In another mixed session on Wall Street, it is the performance of the Financial sector that is making the headlines. A third consecutive negative session for the darlings of the post-election rally, most notably for Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan, led the blue-chip Dow Jones 0.2% lower. This detracts from the Nasdaq, which closed 0.2% stronger at a fresh all-time closing high, while a outperformance from the Real Estate and Utilities sectors helped the S&P 500 higher by 0.1%.
Crude Oil prices have continued their recovery from Tuesday’s overnight lows, as a (somewhat confusing) US government inventory data release buoyed prices yesterday afternoon. Despite a larger than expected build in crude inventories, a drawdown in gasoline stocks was enough to inspire the bulls. Brent is back above $55 per barrel needing to overcome $55.40, while US crude recovers to trade above $52.50, needing the $53 mark to give way for the rally from lows to continue.
The Gold rally continues having posted a fresh 3-month high yesterday on the back of fresh safe haven demand (European and US political uncertainty) while the US Dollar is yet to overcome weekly falling highs despite a February rebound. The bullish flag pattern to $1280 remains valid, although after a failure yesterday afternoon, $1243 resistance will have to be overcome before any further gains can be made. Watch the USD for as a potential trigger.
In focus today - top tier data again distinctly lacking - may in fact be the speaker line-up rather than any macro-economic updates.
The UK’s Trade Secretary Liam Fox (10am) speaks in the wake of last night’s commons approval of an unamended Brexit bill to trigger Article 50. This passes the bill to the House of Lords after the half-term recess, but note Conservatives do not have a majority in the HoL meaning discussion and opposition could be more heated, although should they dare to go against the will of the people it could sound the death knell for this group of privileged and unelected peers.
Thereafter the Fed doves Bullard (non-voter, “US economy & monetary policy”; St Louis, 2:10pm) and Evans (voter; “current economic conditions or monetary policy”; Chicago, 6:10pm) could give rise to some Dollar volatility this afternoon before Bank of England Governor Carney (Inclusion Reception at the BoE; 6.30pm).
Data is limited to US Weekly Jobless Claims (expected flat; 1:30pm) and US Wholesale Sales and Inventories (growth forecast unchanged; 3pm).
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