Getting latest data loading
Home / Morning Report / 300115yo

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Morning Report - 30 January 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
easyJet PLC 1876 109.0 6.2 12.3
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1033 38.0 3.8 2.1
Diageo PLC 2022.5 60.5 3.1 9.4
Barratt Developments PLC 470.4 12.7 2.8 -0.1
Taylor Wimpey PLC 137.6 3.3 2.5 -0.2
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 487.8 10.2 2.1 1.9
Imperial Tobacco Group PLC 3160 63.0 2.0 11.4
Unilever PLC 2952 55.0 1.9 12.3
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Fresnillo PLC 862.5 -47.5 -5.2 12.6
Royal Dutch Shell PLC 2138 -110.0 -4.9 -4.3
Randgold Resources Ltd 5420 -165.0 -3.0 23.7
Glencore PLC 250.4 -7.6 -2.9 -16.2
Antofagasta PLC 655 -18.5 -2.8 -13.0
Johnson Matthey PLC 3297 -88.0 -2.6 -2.9
Carnival PLC 3000 -68.0 -2.2 2.8
BG Group PLC 880.9 -16.9 -1.9 1.8
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,810.6 -15.3 -0.22 3.7
UK 16,359.0 -66.7 -0.41 1.7
FR CAC 40 4,631.4 20.5 0.44 8.4
DE DAX 30 10,737.9 26.9 0.25 9.5
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,416.8 225.4 1.31 -2.3
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,683.4 45.4 0.98 -1.1
US S&P 500 2,021.3 19.1 0.95 -1.8
JP Nikkei 225 17,674.4 68.2 0.39 1.3
HK Hang Seng Index 48 24,601.1 5.2 0.02 4.2
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,588.3 18.8 0.34 3.3
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 44.51 -0.10 -0.21 -17.0
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 48.79 0.27 0.55 -15.7
Gold ($/oz) 1260.00 -1.30 -0.1 6.6
Silver ($/oz) 16.84 -0.15 -0.9 8.4
Platinum ($/oz) 1227.40 -28.90 -2.3 1.5
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.508 0.03 -3.2
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.134 0.05 -6.3
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.330 -0.01 3.3
UK 100 called to open +25pts at 6835

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30     UK                          Mortgage Approvals
  • 10:00     Eurozone             Unemployment & Consumer Price Inflation
  • 13:30     US                          GDP
  • 15:00     US                          Uni Of Michigan Confidence

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open +25pts at 6835, having recovered from another sell-off to 6750 to test 6850 again overnight, with the possibility of a correction over-ridden by support noted at 6750 yesterday. Updated Watch levels: Bullish 6860, Bearish 6730.

Drivers for the positive open include US bourses closing higher thanks to much stronger Jobless Claims data (14yr low) outweighing the raft of mixed earnings results as well as the ECB’s Coeure saying he is confident in QE will be successful thanks to large scale. Note a solid start with after-hour results beat by Amazon (AMZN) and Visa (V) offsetting disappointment by Google (GOOG).

Overnight, Asian bourses taken positive lead from US, with more mixed US corporate results and a less than inspirational Japanese economic data (inflation fell, household consumption shrank post sales tax rise, industrial production rebound underwhelmed) failing to disrupt overall optimism as the country limps out of recession.

Japan’s Nikkei helped by existing stimulus and weaker JPY. In Australia, ASX higher as AUD weakened with Producer Price inflation adding to expectations of an interest rate cut by the RBA, following other central banks recently reacting to low inflation. Chinese shares down again ahead of a manufacturing report.

Overnight data in Europe saw UK GFK Consumer Confidence rebounding more than expected adding to retail sales optimism while German Retail Sales were mixed with a slowdown in monthly growth, but rebound in annual gains supporting recent ECB stimulus to kick-start the Eurozone, and especially after Germany officially fell into deflation yesterday.

In focus today we have UK mortgage approvals which are seen stable but we note the fall in BBA Home Loans on Tuesday. Eurozone Unemployment is expected to remain stubbornly high, supporting ECB QE, along with Consumer Price Inflation dipping in January. In the afternoon, US Q4 GDP growth expected to have slowed, backing up weak Durable Goods and Retail Sales data of late. US Uni of Michigan Confidence reading expected to be confirmed.

Gold is has fallen back to $1260 on the equity market rally, extending its recent declines from near $1300, as investors mull the potential for higher US interest rates along with mixed corporate results. The trendline of 2015 rising support has been breached as well as 2-week lows of $1270. This despite Greek concerns persisting which would normal buoy safe haven demand. Support now at $1250 from mid-month lows.

Oil stable within recent ranges although US Light Crude seen posting a weekly loss, under pressure from recent inventory rise in US (oversupply likely to persist) and stronger USD following the Fed statement. While both down near 6yr lows, both WTI and Brent Crude appear to be holding up after months of decline (famous last words).

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

 

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • UK                          GFK Consumer Confidence         Beat, improved
  • Australia              Private Sector Credit                      In-line, stable
  • Australia              Producer Price Inflation                 Deteriorated
  • Japan                    Housing Starts                                   Miss, Deteriorated
  • Japan                    Construction Orders                       Growth slowed
  • Germany             Retail Sales                                         Mixed

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Shanks sees FY results in line with its expectations on an underlying basis
  • Vedanta says reviewing opex and capex plans across units
  • Weak metal, oil prices hurt Vedanta's third-quarter earnings
  • UK financial watchdog says to gather evidence on PPI complaints
  • BT agrees pension plan, unveils fibre network upgrade
  • Jardine Lloyd Thompson names new CEO of UK employee benefits unit
  • Qatar Airways takes 9.99 pct stake in BA-owner IAG
  • Fuller Smith & Turner says confident of meeting FY expectations
  • Kenmare Resources posts 42 pct rise in FY ore mined

 


Back to Top

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
.