Today's Main Events
- 13:30 US GDP & Jobless Claims
- 15:00 US Pending Hoe Sales
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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| UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Smith & Nephew PLC | 993.5 | 40.5 | 4.3 | 29.8 |
| London Stock Exchange Group PLC | 1955 | 49.0 | 2.6 | 44.6 |
| Hargreaves Lansdown PLC | 1216 | 26.0 | 2.2 | 22.1 |
| Barratt Developments PLC | 368.9 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 15.3 |
| Rolls-Royce Group PLC | 1016 | 18.0 | 1.8 | -13.3 |
| Severn Trent PLC | 1933 | 34.0 | 1.8 | 6.2 |
| BT Group PLC | 398.4 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 44.5 |
| ITV PLC | 184.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 44.2 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Royal Mail Group PLC | 516 | -14.5 | -2.7 | 0.0 |
| Anglo American PLC | 1527.5 | -29.5 | -1.9 | -8.4 |
| Rio Tinto PLC | 3177.5 | -58.5 | -1.8 | 2.8 |
| GlaxoSmithKline PLC | 1608.5 | -26.0 | -1.6 | -2.2 |
| Marks & Spencer Group PLC | 443.6 | -7.1 | -1.6 | 5.2 |
| easyJet PLC | 1565 | -23.0 | -1.5 | 35.7 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 1922 | -25.5 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| Sainsbury (J) PLC | 335.5 | -3.5 | -1.0 | -11.4 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,851.22 | 6.28 | 0.09 | 1.51 |
| UK | 15,935.40 | 91.47 | 0.58 | 0.00 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,531.63 | 1.88 | 0.04 | 5.49 |
| DE DAX 30 | 9,939.17 | -1.65 | -0.02 | 4.05 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 16,633.20 | -42.30 | -0.25 | 0.34 |
| US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 4,225.07 | -12.00 | -0.28 | 1.16 |
| US S&P 500 | 1,909.78 | -2.13 | -0.11 | 3.32 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 14,684.16 | 13.21 | 0.09 | -9.86 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 23,154.56 | 74.53 | 0.32 | -0.65 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,516.30 | -10.88 | -0.20 | 3.07 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 102.895 | -0.075 | -0.07 | 4.3262 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 109.835 | 0.15 | 0.14 | -0.9795 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1257.85 | 0.55 | 0.04 | 4.3576 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 19.02 | 0.015 | 0.08 | -2.1622 |
| Platinum ($/oz) | 1460.15 | 1.25 | 0.09 | 6.1713 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.6728 | – | 0.09 | 0.9909 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.3608 | – | 0.12 | -1.1203 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.2293 | – | -0.02 | 1.9907 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open flat at 6845 although still trying to break above recent 6858 highs. The 5-day trend of rising lows and horizontal highs could culminate in a breakout from a bullish ascending triangle pattern which could be the fillip for a revisit of 6897 before an assault on all-time highs of 6950. Note many European bourses closed for Ascension Day.
US equities closed lower, ending their 4-day winning streak, retracing from recent all-time highs as weakness crept in to late trading following some disappointing earnings and a bad response to some M&A (Valeant + Allergan) which saw traders adopting a cautious stance ahead of today’s update on US Q1 GDP.
Asian bourses mixed and lacklustre, taking their the lead from the US, after a drop in Japanese Retail Sales (ahead of tax rise) while Aussie New Home Sales rebounded and Private Capital Expenditure remained weak due to the drop in mining investment, although forward CAPEX plans appear brighter. Japan’s Nikkei flat after 5 straight days of gains – its longest positive stretch of 2014.
In Europe, the BoE’s Weale said the bank can wait before its first rate hike, but he’s not sure how much longer, and that it’d be better to start sooner to avoid painful hikes later. Bonds also rallied on speculation the ECB will cut interest rates in the Eurozone to bolster stimulus next week.
In focus today will be the US GDP (2nd Est) which is expected to show a revised contraction in Q1 which could dampen the current bullish mood. Personal Consumption is seen holding up at above 3%, while Jobless Claims are expected to have improved. Consensus sees US Pending Home Sales growth slowing in April.
On the corporate front, Apple has agreed to buy Beats Electronics for $3bn ($2.6bn cash, $400m shares), adding music streaming, high-end headphones and music-industry connections to its stable.
Gold trades at a 16-week low of $1255 as worries about tensions in Ukraine ease with PM Yatseniuk asking Putin to block the border to prevent guerrillas entering the country, which could eliminate the crisis swiftly. Key is the drop below support at $1,262 which could mean technical pressure continues to weigh in the days ahead.
WTI has fallen back below $103/bl ahead of US inventory data this afternoon, while Brent continues to lose momentum on the prospect of a geopolitical calming between Ukraine and Russia.
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See Live Macro calendar for full details
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