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Morning Report - 28 June 2019

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Kingfisher 214.3 8.5 4.1 3.3
Ocado 1165.5 29.5 2.6 47.5
TUI 755.6 17.4 2.4 -32.9
Vodafone 128.66 2.9 2.3 -15.9
ITV 107.1 2.4 2.3 -14.2
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Glencore 263.9 -14 -4.9 -9.4
Rightmove 535.2 -18.8 -3.4 23.8
Auto Trader 548 -18 -3.2 20.5
Croda 5150 -135 -2.6 7.3
British Land 526 -11.4 -2.1 -1.4
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 7,402.3 -14.1 -0.2 10.0
UK 19,314.5 54.1 0.3 10.4
FR CAC 40 5,493.6 -7.1 -0.1 16.1
DE DAX 30 12,271.0 25.7 0.2 16.2
US DJ Industrial Average 30 26,526.5 -10.3 0.0 13.7
US Nasdaq Composite 7,967.8 57.8 0.7 20.1
US S&P 500 2,924.9 11.1 0.4 16.7
JP Nikkei 225 21,275.9 -62.3 -0.3 6.3
HK Hang Seng Index 50 28,442.2 -179.2 -0.6 10.0
AU S&P/ASX 200 6,618.8 -47.5 -0.7 17.2
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 59.07 -0.3 -0.5 30.0
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 65.30 -0.3 -0.5 20.6
Gold ($/oz) 1415.66 9.9 0.7 10.4
Silver ($/oz) 15.26 -0.1 -0.9 -1.4
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.2671 -0.02 -0.6
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.1363 -0.08 -0.9
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1152 0.06 0.3
UK 100 called to open flat at 7400

UK 100 : 3-week, 2-hourly

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

UK Index called flat at 7400. G20 meeting jitters has caused traders to assess their positions ahead of  the US-China presidential meeting on Saturday that could determine the next chapter in the trade war saga. Gold trades 6 year highs as prices hold above $1,400 an ounce, global markets pricing in a US interest rate cut in July. 

In corporate news this morning:

Merlin Ent accepts 445p/share £4.77B bid from Kirkbi (Lego, Blackstone) which already owns 29.58%; represents 36.8 % prem to undisturbed closing price of 333p on 22 May 2019 before letter to board about taking it private; 31% premium to 6-month VWAP 15% premium to yesterday’s close.

Glencore says partially owned Congo mine collapse kills at least 19 who were mining illegally.

Orange said late Thursday that it will sell its remaining 2.5% stake in BT.

Bank of Ireland  to sell  Post Office, AA and branded consumer credit cards for £530m.

US Federal Reserve approves big Banks to boost payouts to investors; singles out Credit Suisse for weaknesses in capital planning process.

McCarthy & Stone pleased that MHCLG confirmed retirement community sector will be given exemption and permitted to charge economic ground rent after they are reduced to zero elsewhere.

John Laing full year outlook unchanged; Realisations on track to reach circa £1B  between 2019-2021, in line with 3yr guidance.

PayPoint confirms unable to agree renewal terms for multi-year contract with British Gas; ends FY19; Impact on net revenue of £1.4m in FY20, £3.5m in FY21.

Unite Group confirms talks to buy Liberty Living Group (NAV £1.4B), in response to media reports.

In focus today:

Data: UK GDP (9.30 am; GBP, UK Index ), Eurozone Inflation (10am; EUR, DAX), US Income & Spending (13.30; USD, Dow).

Meetings: G20 of leaders in Osaka, Japan. Today and this weekend.

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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