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Morning Report - 27 August 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 531.5 13.5 2.6 -10.8
Weir Group PLC 1358 26.0 2.0 -27.8
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 324.1 2.9 0.9 -8.4
TUI AG 1144 5.0 0.4 -7.5
Capita PLC 1211 5.0 0.4 4.5
easyJet PLC 1677 2.0 0.1 -10.4
Tesco PLC 186.2 0.2 0.1 -23.8
CRH PLC 1800 -5.0 -0.3 -0.2
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Fresnillo PLC 594.5 -45.0 -7.0 -17.7
Standard Chartered PLC 707.3 -37.7 -5.1 -34.7
Randgold Resources Ltd 3817 -184.0 -4.6 -22.7
Johnson Matthey PLC 2573 -108.0 -4.0 -26.9
BG Group PLC 923.9 -36.7 -3.8 -21.2
WPP Group PLC 1311 -51.0 -3.7 -17.7
Glencore PLC 138.9 -5.4 -3.7 -52.7
Burberry Group PLC 1347 -45.0 -3.2 -24.5
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 5,979.2 -102.1 -1.68 -8.9
UK 16,601.3 -120.3 -0.72 3.2
FR CAC 40 4,501.1 -63.8 -1.40 5.3
DE DAX 30 9,997.4 -130.7 -1.29 2.0
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,285.5 619.0 3.95 -8.6
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,697.5 191.1 4.24 -0.8
US S&P 500 1,940.5 72.9 3.90 -5.8
JP Nikkei 225 18,631.1 254.3 1.38 6.8
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,573.4 493.0 2.34 -8.6
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,244.5 71.7 1.39 -3.1
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 39.47 0.20 0.5 -26.5
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 44.19 0.74 1.7 -23.2
Gold ($/oz) 1126.95 3.35 0.3 -4.8
Silver ($/oz) 14.16 0.07 0.5 -9.8
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.550 0.00 0.14 -0.5
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.135 0.00 0.08 -6.2
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.366 0.00 0.06 6.1
UK 100 called to open +100pts at 6110

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open +100pts at 6110, reclaiming 6000 support with 3 days of rising lows looking to test and overcome a hitherto resistive 6100. Note however the daily RSI plateauing just above oversold territory indicating a dearth of momentum this morning. Optimists betting on a bullish ascending triangle to convert to a rising channel while Bears looking to jump on waning momentum and ride continued macro-worries.
Watch levelsBullish 6220Bearish 5990.

The positive opening call comes as Asian stocks tracked the biggest gains in U.S. equity markets in four years following a two-week selloff that drove stock valuations to their lowest since 2012. Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong led gains, while the Shanghai Composite remained true to its nature and pretty much the opposite to its Asia-Pacific peers, experiencing extreme volatility this morning (-ve to +ve in quick succession). Careful now.

As mentioned, US stocks bucked a six-day losing trend on Wednesday, posting the biggest percentage gains in almost 4 years. The usual ‘signs of strength in the US economy’ and a Federal Reserve that’s loathe to push the big red rate hike button easing concerns about potentially forthcoming market shocks. As if we need any of those right now.

In Greek Bailout news, Alexis Tsipras said that the time has come (again) for the Greek people to decide on his record, also ruling out a return to the Drachma – which was never a choice for Greece apparently. What was a choice for Greece then? Has this all just been a waste of time? #confused.

In focus today we have US jobs and GDP data looking for improvement across the board while pending home sales this afternoon looking to go positive on the month while slightly contracting on the year.

Crude inventories in the US tanked by 5.45m barrels in the week ending 21 Aug, the biggest one-week decline since June according to the latest round of data from the EIA. With expectations of a rise of 2m, that’s pushed up the oil price this morning on reduced supply – WTI futures went up 2% to $39 (still worryingly sub-$40) while those for Brent Crude posted an unsurprisingly similar advance to $44.

Gold ($1127) off its highs as capital makes its way back into equity markets, but finding support in Fed chief Dudley’s dovish comments of yesterday, keeping the dollar from surging upwards too much.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • CRH H1 earnings on continuing operations up 29%
  • CRH buys U.S. glazing products manufacturer CR Laurence for $1.3b
  • Amec Foster Wheeler's pretax profit falls on low oil prices
  • Hastings Insurance H1 EBITDA rises 19%
  • Cairn Homes says has strong strategic pipeline in target areas
  • Gulf Keystone owed $283m for Iraqi Kurdistan oil sales
  • British bank Aldermore says H1 profit doubles
  • Fastjet signs lease with SMBC Aviation for an Airbus A319 aircraft
  • Hunting H1 revenue $463.6m vs $664.1m
  • Russia's Evraz says H1 net profit $19m
  • Hays sees further growth after FY profit rise
  • Grafton H1 operating profit up 21% to £61.2m
  • Playtech H1 revenue rises 33% to €286m
  • John Laing Group says on track to meet annual targets
  • Russia's Petropavlovsk H1 net loss $52m
  • Lamprell H1 rev. $351.4m

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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