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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Direct Line Insurance Group PLC | 358.3 | 9.9 | 2.8 | -12.1 |
| Antofagasta PLC | 719 | 18.0 | 2.6 | 53.2 |
| Ashtead Group PLC | 1496 | 36.0 | 2.5 | 33.7 |
| CRH PLC | 2706 | 57.0 | 2.2 | 37.3 |
| InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | 3308 | 58.0 | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| National Grid PLC | 909.9 | -21.8 | -2.3 | -2.9 |
| easyJet PLC | 1022 | -24.0 | -2.3 | -41.3 |
| International Consolidated Airlines Group SA | 440.5 | -10.1 | -2.2 | -27.9 |
| DCC PLC | 6200 | -125.0 | -2.0 | 9.5 |
| Travis Perkins PLC | 1401 | -23.0 | -1.6 | -29.0 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,829.2 | 11.5 | 0.17 | 9.4 |
| UK | 17,590.6 | -31.9 | -0.18 | 0.9 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,542.6 | 13.4 | 0.29 | -2.0 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,689.3 | 26.9 | 0.25 | -0.5 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 19,083.3 | 59.5 | 0.31 | 9.5 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 5,380.7 | -5.7 | -0.11 | 7.5 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,204.7 | 1.8 | 0.08 | 7.9 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 18,381.2 | 47.8 | 0.26 | -3.4 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 50 | 22,760.0 | 151.5 | 0.67 | 3.9 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,507.8 | 22.7 | 0.41 | 4.0 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 47.35 | -0.66 | -1.36 | 27.7 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 48.35 | -0.63 | -1.28 | 28.6 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1179.25 | -6.25 | -0.53 | 11.2 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 16.33 | -0.01 | -0.05 | 18.1 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.2450 | -0.0066 | -0.01 | -15.5 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.0573 | -0.0173 | 0.12 | -2.7 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.1776 | 0.0128 | -0.14 | -13.2 |
UK 100 Index called to open flat at 6830, having traded sideways in a tight 6820-6835 range overnight. Bulls like the fact we remains in a 2-week uptrend, supportive rising lows now intersecting at 6800. However, a proper break above 6835 is still required to open the door for a challenge on Wednesday's 6880 peak or better. Bears need those rising lows to give way at 6800 before any correction towards 6700 can commence. Watch levels: Bullish 6845, Bearish 6795.
A quiet European open comes in spite of Asia ending the week on an up note. However, the region’s equities are off their best levels thanks to the USD Index pulling back from 14yr highs and a three-week Trump-inspired rally to the detriment of Japanese exporters and the Nikkei by way of a stronger Yen. The latter was also helped by a surprising and welcome return to positive territory for Japanese inflation, the first time in 8 months.
Australia’s ASX is performing well, helped by a weaker USD buoying base/industrial metals prices for the all-important Miners, however gains would be greater if it wasn’t for weaker oil prices and scepticism about an OPEC production cut weighing on the Energy space. Beware read across to dual-listed London Miners & Energy. Note Chinese equities outperforming and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rallying on its coat-tails.
US equity markets were closed yesterday for Thanksgiving, with markets today operating a half day. Note, however, Dow Jones Futures set yet another fresh all-time high at 19,160 yesterday evening.
Crude Oil prices slide overnight, as a weakening USD and continued OPEC uncertainty weigh on investor sentiment. Iran and Russia are now the focus for deal negotiators, with the former now providing the spanner in the works after Iraq preliminarily agrees to cut its production next week, whilst the latter remains hesitant to join the party, currently producing at a record rate.
Gold is staging a rally despite posting fresh 9 month lows overnight, as a drawback in the US Dollar provides temporary relief for the embattled precious metal. Reduced FX trading volumes due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the states provides a temporary relief for safe haven asset, however with business as usual resumed on Monday, the gold market may be hit with a shock.
In focus today with the US closing early for the Thanksgiving weekend, will be the second reading for UK Q3 GDP. This is particularly important in light of preliminary data (end-Oct) showing faster than expected growth, dispelling gloomy Brexit forecasts.
In fact, while growth slowed versus Q2, it was faster still than in Q1 and continued to accelerate on an annual basis from its Q4 lows! Any changes to preliminary figs of 0.5% QoQ or 2.3% YoY may see the UK Index react, as would any big swings in Services sector (80% of GDP) growth in September.
Thereafter, UK CBI Retail Sales is seen dropping in November, the data a barometer for both the UK retail sector and consumer confidence. Although the US is quiet for Thanksgiving, we do have updates on Wholesale Inventories growth - seen accelerating in October - and PMI Services holding firm at 54.8, well into growth territory.
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