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Morning Report - 24 August 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Royal Mail Group PLC 478.2 7.5 1.6 -0.4
Randgold Resources Ltd 4242 -13.0 -0.3 6.2
Fresnillo PLC 681.5 -3.0 -0.4 2.3
Johnson Matthey PLC 2669 -22.0 -0.8 -5.7
TUI AG 1160 -10.0 -0.9 -0.2
Burberry Group PLC 1403 -14.0 -1.0 -5.8
Travis Perkins PLC 2018 -21.0 -1.0 -4.8
Anglo American PLC 732.8 -7.7 -1.0 -3.2
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Shire PLC 4807 -268.0 -5.3 -7.6
CRH PLC 1806 -89.0 -4.7 -7.4
easyJet PLC 1624 -78.0 -4.6 -5.0
Carnival PLC 3209 -149.0 -4.4 -7.5
Standard Chartered PLC 780.1 -34.7 -4.3 -9.7
SABMiller PLC 3023 -133.5 -4.2 -8.0
Old Mutual PLC 196.5 -8.5 -4.2 -9.7
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 2320 -99.0 -4.1 -3.3
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,187.7 -180.2 -2.83 -5.8
UK 16,876.6 -362.8 -2.10 4.9
FR CAC 40 4,631.0 -152.6 -3.19 8.4
DE DAX 30 10,124.5 -307.7 -2.95 3.3
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,459.8 -531.0 -3.13 -7.7
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,706.0 -171.5 -3.52 -0.6
US S&P 500 1,970.9 -64.8 -3.19 -4.3
JP Nikkei 225 18,578.2 -857.7 -4.41 6.5
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,296.2 -1113.4 -4.97 -9.8
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,023.4 -191.2 -3.67 -7.2
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 40.29 -0.75 -1.83 -25.0
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 44.28 -1.09 -2.39 -23.1
Gold ($/oz) 1157.60 -2.30 -0.2 -2.2
Silver ($/oz) 15.17 -0.15 -1 -3.3
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.566 0.00 -0.23 0.5
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.145 0.00 0.51 -5.4
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.368 0.00 -0.65 6.3
UK 100 called to open -200pts at 6000

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open -200pts at 6000having made fresh lows 5930 overnight. That level serving as welcome support for bulls while the more likely scenario seems to be profit taking by bears. A distinct lack of much-hoped-for positive drivers indicates potential for more ‘trend-riding’ selling today, even if short covering dominates initially. Watch levels: Bullish 6200, Bearish 5860

The negative opening call comes with mounting evidence (Chinese PMI data showing that key sectors are continuing to contract) that China is going through a rough economic patch that has hit the global commodity and equity markets. Chinese equities fell more than 8% in the morning session, leading a sell-off across Asia that prompted fresh questions about what policymakers might do to staunch the losses. RRR cut, perhaps?

US stocks closed sharply lower on Friday, extending the sell-off that was seen in the previous session and reflecting general downward momentum on the back of overarching concerns about emerging markets and the outlook for US interest rates.

In Europe, EU officials say they are confident that snap elections in September should have no impact on the implementation of a third Greek bailout since it has been approved by both government and parliament (incl. opposition). Next round of austerity measures is due to be implemented in October and will, nonetheless, be observed closely by creditors.

In focus today will be the current intense global sell-off in equities. Will current levels be seen as buy opportunities? Will bears continue to dominate?

Crude prices have broken below the ‘bottom’ that was called in January this year and are now at multi-year lows. Brent now around $44 and WTI now down in the $30s ($39). Potential drivers including another 2 US drilling rigs and Iran (US embassy in Tehran open again, indicated warming relations and more oil onto the markets), while China demand seen to be very low, widening the supply/demand spread.

Gold, now around $1153, consolidating after hitting $1168 on Friday. A narrowing pattern indicating further gains to the upside this week as an equity market selloff increases risk-off demand for a no-frills safe haven.

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UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Bunzl posts 5 pct rise in first half revenue
  • Meggitt wins $25m contract with Canadian Armed Forces
  • UK cuts its stake in Lloyds to below 13 pct
  • Punch Taverns sells 158 pubs for £53.5m
  • John Laing Infrastructure agrees £180m credit facility
  • Morgan Sindall in JV with BAM Nuttall Limited, Balfour Beatty
  • Balfour Beatty says JV wins £416m London 'super sewer' scheme
  • Bwin.party says continuing to discuss proposal with GVC
  • Costain says JV awarded £605m Thames Tideway Tunnel contract

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