Getting latest data loading
Home / Morning Report / Morning Report

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Morning Report - 24 April 2019

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Unilever PLC 4,503.5 125.5 2.9 9.6
CRH PLC 2620 58 2.26 26.51
Experian PLC 2200 40 1.85 15.49
Rentokil Initial PLC 374.9 6.8 1.85 11.18
ITV PLC 140.3 2.5 1.81 12.37
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BAE Systems PLC 491.9 -19.3 -3.78 7.12
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 1657.5 -46.5 -2.73 -3.41
Smith & Nephew PLC 1444.5 -28 -1.9 -1.33
AstraZeneca PLC 5815 -99 -1.67 -0.99
Carnival PLC 4036 -63 -1.54 7.25
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 7,459.9 -11.4 -0.2 10.9
UK 19,836.0 -22.2 -0.1 13.3
FR CAC 40 5,580.4 17.3 0.3 18.0
DE DAX 30 12,222.4 69.3 0.6 15.8
US DJ Industrial Average 30 26,511.0 -48.5 -0.2 13.7
US Nasdaq Composite 8,015.3 17.2 0.2 20.8
US S&P 500 2,908.0 2.9 0.1 16.0
JP Nikkei 225 22,224.1 6.19 0.03 11.0
HK Hang Seng Index 50 30,021.7 58.43 0.20 16.2
AU S&P/ASX 200 6,320.0 60.19 0.96 11.9
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 65.93 0.15 0.22 45.11
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 74.40 0.14 0.19 37.36
Gold ($/oz) 1273.82 -1.08 -0.08 -0.68
Silver ($/oz) 15.00 0.06 0.37 -3.01
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.2984 0.02 1.82
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.1249 -0.09 -1.9
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1542 0.11 3.8
UK 100 called to open -15pts at 7510

UK 100 : 2-months, 4-hourly

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

UK 100 called to open -15pts at 7510, back from yesterday’s highs 7528 but holding both Friday’s 7475 breakout, and above round number 7500. Bulls need a break above 7530 to extend the post-Christmas rising channel towards 7675. Bears require a breach of 7500 for a further retreat towards rising support at 7480. Watch levels: Bullish 7530, Bearish 7495

Calls for a negative open come with oil prices off their highs but still hovering around their best in almost six months. Wall Street rallied to new highs on earnings reports and optimism about trade talks resuming with China. Asian markets failed to follow suit after some negative corporate results in the region (Nissan, LG Display, Samsung read-across from Texas Instruments).

Gold remains under pressure, testing a new yearly low, hampered by the twin hindrance of rising equity markets depressing safe haven demand and a strong USD making the yellow metal more expensive. GBP is at its lowest level since February versus the USD, which may help the UK Index ’s international army. Brent Crude Oil hovering around its yearly high at around $74.

In corporate news this morning:

Antofagasta Q1 Copper production +22.6% YoY, but -14.3% QoQ due to lower grades and maintenance. Net cash costs below guidance, a shade lower than FY18. FY19 production guidance unchanged; seen +9% to 750-790 tonnes.

AB Foods H1 Group revenues +1% (just below consensus), adj. op. profit -1% (above consensus), interim dividend +3%; Sugar profits substantially lower but should improve; Grocery has momentum; Primark profits growth excellent; Grocery growth to continue in H2. FY outlook for Primark unchanged (lower margins in H2 due to stronger USD). Group outlook unchanged.

CRH Q1 like for like sales +7%, vol helped by mild weather; Strategic review of EU distribution business ongoing. Another €350m share buyback before Aug. H1 (seasonally less significant) EBITDA expected €1.5B (vs €1.13B last year). Weather permitting, H2 to show growth too.

Centamin Q1 average realised sales price +5% QoQ and +2% YoY. Sukari gold production beats guidance. Costs trending towards lower end of guidance; reiterates full year annual guidance; gold production 490-520kt, costs $675-725/oz ($890-950 all in).

Legal & General agrees £114m pension risk transfer transaction in Canada, its first in the region. Aviva UK Insurance CEO Andy Briggs to step down; CRO Angela Darlington to take interim role. New group CEO Maurice Tulloch to lead a review of UK businesses.

The investment sector may be sensitive to news of UBS and Deutsche Bank’s Wealth Management divisions exploring a tie up that would make them the European leader by assets.

Healthcare stocks may react top Swiss giant Novartis upping its full year profits guidance. Banks may also like Credit Suisse profits rising, beating estimates.

Amigo Holdings CEO to step down this summer for medical treatment and extended recuperation. New CCO will start as CEO designate.

Ratings agency Moody's assigns Ba1 rating to William Hill's new £350m senior 2026 notes where are to being used to tender its £375m 2020 notes. Outlook remains negative.

UBS has issued research on UK REITs (Hammerson, INTU, British Land, Land Securities), suggesting CVA levels on struggling retailers are being under reported.

WANDisco 2018 revenues -13% (H2 +13%), cash overheads +21.6%, adj. EBITDA loss $9.4m (vs $0.6m in 2017), operating loss +127%, cash -60%, debt -2.5%; Q1 revenues +38%, cash +125% thanks to fundraising; strong pipeline, confident in FY outlook.

Boohoo FY revenues +48% (beat), gross profit +53%, adj. EBITDA +49%, adj. pre-tax profit +49% (miss), net cash +43.3%, cash flow +46.8%;  First few weeks of financial year encouraging. Revenue growth expected 25-30%, adjusted EBITDA margin 10%, CAPEX £50-60m. To keep spending on investment.

In focus today:

Data of note today includes German IFO Surveys (9am) forecast largely unchanged in April; Expectations slightly lower, Business Climate and Current Conditions a shade higher.

Thereafter, we have only EIA US Oil Inventories (3.30pm) which will be of interest given last night’s surprise 6.9m barrel build from the API report.

US corporate results from heavyweights including Boeing, Caterpillar, Facebook, Microsoft, Paypal, Tesla and Visa.


Back to Top

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance.

Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
.