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Morning Report - 21 December 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Anglo American PLC 278.65 15.1 5.7 -76.8
Smith & Nephew PLC 1172 52.0 4.6 -1.4
Carnival PLC 3648 94.0 2.6 25.0
BHP Billiton PLC 717.2 17.2 2.5 -48.4
Randgold Resources Ltd 4031 54.0 1.4 -8.0
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BG Group PLC 908 -37.8 -4.0 5.0
Provident Financial PLC 3240 -125.0 -3.7 31.6
BT Group PLC 458.3 -12.4 -2.6 14.2
Associated British Foods PLC 3327 -77.0 -2.3 5.5
Dixons Carphone PLC 477.1 -10.9 -2.2 3.2
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,052.4 -50.1 -0.82 -7.8
UK 17,106.0 -71.4 -0.42 6.3
FR CAC 40 4,625.3 -52.3 -1.12 8.3
DE DAX 30 10,608.2 -129.9 -1.21 8.2
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,128.5 -367.3 -2.10 -3.9
US Nasdaq Composite 4,923.1 -79.5 -1.59 4.0
US S&P 500 2,005.6 -36.3 -1.78 -2.6
JP Nikkei 225 18,916.0 -70.8 -0.37 8.4
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,807.7 52.1 0.24 -7.6
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,109.1 2.4 0.05 -5.6
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas ($/barrel) 34.83 0.07 0.66 -33.6
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 36.20 -1.34 -3.57 -37.1
Gold ($/oz) 1069.80 5.30 0.5 -9.6
Silver ($/oz) 14.15 0.04 0.25 -9.8
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.492 0.05 -4.3
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.088 0.25 -10.1
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.371 -0.2 6.5
UK 100 called to open -12pts at 6045

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open -12pts at 6045, having again exited its August rising channel and maintaining the December downtrend. Note, however, round number 6000 acting as support this morning. We’re still looking for confirmation of either a new, steeper falling channel or a shallower rising one... Watch levels: Bullish 6170, Bearish 5900.

The lukewarm opening call comes after Asian bourses followed their US counterparts lower again as continued declines in the commodities sphere and global growth concerns weighed. In Sunday’s Spanish election, the ruling People's Party won most of the votes but fell short of a majority which heralded weeks of talks to form a coalition government, with neither Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's conservatives nor left-wing parties winning a clear mandate to govern. Watch out for European uncertainty weighing on markets in the run up to Xmas, then.

Stateside, the Fed is still chatting interest rates (we hoped we could all move on…) with regard to the pace of tightening. While much talk still abounds of 'live meetings' and nothing being set in stone, an eagerness to get us used to the idea of four further hikes in 2016 sounds a bit mechanical for our liking.

In focus on a quiet Monday will be the fallout from the Spanish Election while Eurozone consumer confidence is seen  slightly improved later on.

Brent Crude has fallen to its lowest level since 2004, with crude prices in general having tanked following ‘only hope’ OPEC’s decision not to cut production. Friday’s Baker Hughes rig count compounded woes with 17 more US drilling rigs adding to global oversupply.

Softer equity markets have spurred Gold which is back testing $1070 again, with holiday season upon us in the UK, Europe and the US, expect low volumes and potential risk off moves to support safe havens such as Gold.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Dairy Crest buys Promovita for £6mn

  • Gemfields generates $28.8mn from Singapore auction

  • Hammerson sells a mall located in Newcastle

  • Evocutis names Hamish Harris as chairman

  • TT Electronics buys Aero Stanrew Group for £42.2mn

  • Shell sees shareholder meetings to approve combination with BG on Jan 27 – 28

  • Sirius Minerals says H1 loss narrowed to £4.7mn

  • John Wood Group says buys oil services co Kelchner Inc

  • Netplay confirms in deal talks with Sportech

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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