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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | 2471 | 160.0 | 6.9 | -4.8 |
| Inmarsat PLC | 955.5 | 32.5 | 3.5 | 19.5 |
| Whitbread PLC | 4882 | 157.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Glencore PLC | 113.5 | 3.5 | 3.2 | -62.0 |
| Next PLC | 7840 | 170.0 | 2.2 | 15.0 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| AstraZeneca PLC | 4024.5 | -132.0 | -3.2 | -11.7 |
| Tesco PLC | 189.1 | -4.5 | -2.3 | 0.1 |
| International Consolidated Airlines Group SA | 592 | -11.5 | -1.9 | 21.8 |
| Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC | 2077 | -28.0 | -1.3 | 5.0 |
| ARM Holdings PLC | 963 | -12.5 | -1.3 | -3.2 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,345.1 | -7.2 | -0.11 | -3.4 |
| UK | 16,984.0 | 66.7 | 0.39 | 5.6 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,673.8 | -30.3 | -0.64 | 9.4 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,147.7 | -16.6 | -0.16 | 3.5 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,217.0 | -13.5 | -0.08 | -3.4 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 4,881.0 | -24.5 | -0.50 | 3.1 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,030.8 | -2.9 | -0.14 | -1.4 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 18,554.3 | 347.1 | 1.91 | 6.3 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 22,989.2 | -86.4 | -0.37 | -2.6 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,248.3 | 12.7 | 0.24 | -3.0 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 46.00 | 0.13 | 0.27 | -14.4 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 48.54 | -0.03 | -0.06 | -15.7 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1175.75 | -1.55 | -0.13 | -0.6 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 15.82 | -0.10 | -0.64 | 0.8 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.544 | – | -0.04 | -0.9 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.136 | – | 0 | -6.2 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.360 | – | -0.05 | 5.6 |
UK 100 Index called to open +30pts at 6375. Testing 4-mth falling highs just below the 100-day MA with an upwards breakout today having the potential to initiate the second phase of a bullish flag or pennant pattern recovery from late Sept lows. Watch levels remain: Bullish 6460, Bearish 6220.
The positive opening call for European equities comes as Asian markets, while trading mixed this morning, appear to be driven by investors’ bets on monetary policy. Aussie equities still lacking shine after the RBA gave the economy a clean bill of health, reducing the chances of another rate cut.
More prominently, a way off the mark Japanese trade balance and other disappointing macro readings buoyed the Nikkei on hopes of further stimulus from Shinzo Abe’s government, this coming after BoJ governor Kuroda said that things are looking up for the Japanese economy.
US bourses also lacked lustre into the close after mixed corporate earnings – IBM seen to be holding back sentiment versus good prints from Verizon and BoNY Mellon. Macro data was mixed, adding nothing to the Fed rate debate – US borrowing costs still seen lower for longer, this all pointing towards almost solely corporate drivers this week. Keep a close eye on today’s earnings releases.
Commodities-wise, it’s a good week so far for Gold with the yellow metal just about extending gains to 2 sessions as the USD softens a smidge. However it has now dropped below yesterday’s rising support line which keeps it well within a falling channel since 15 Oct and subject to a possible pullback towards $1170 or $1166 as the day wears on. Again, earnings reports likely to dictate risk sentiment-based movements.
Crude oil prices (both WTI and Brent) have dropped back into the lower halves of their 1.5mth sideways trading ranges after the World Bank lowered its 2015 price forecast to $52/barrel, reflecting a further slowing in the global economy and expectations of additions to current oversupply from Iran.
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