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Morning Report - 20 April 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BP PLC 479.35 5.9 1.3 16.6
Severn Trent PLC 2134 13.0 0.6 6.4
Sky PLC 1052 5.0 0.5 17.0
Whitbread PLC 5240 15.0 0.3 9.9
Barratt Developments PLC 531 1.5 0.3 12.7
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC 2722 6.0 0.2 4.9
BG Group PLC 1192.5 2.5 0.2 37.9
Experian PLC 1181 1.0 0.1 8.6
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
St James’s Place PLC 927.5 -31.0 -3.2 13.9
Anglo American PLC 1010.5 -28.5 -2.7 -15.8
GKN PLC 361.3 -9.3 -2.5 5.0
Schroders PLC 3259 -83.0 -2.5 21.3
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1209 -28.0 -2.3 19.5
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 2081 -45.0 -2.1 5.2
Sage Group (The) PLC 469.3 -10.0 -2.1 0.8
3i Group PLC 495.1 -10.4 -2.1 10.0
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,994.6 -65.8 -0.93 6.5
UK 17,572.4 -157.9 -0.89 9.2
FR CAC 40 5,143.3 -81.2 -1.55 20.4
DE DAX 30 11,688.7 -310.2 -2.58 19.2
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,826.3 -279.5 -1.54 0.0
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,931.8 -76.0 -1.52 4.1
US S&P 500 2,081.2 -23.8 -1.13 1.1
JP Nikkei 225 19,650.1 -2.8 -0.01 12.6
HK Hang Seng Index 48 27,283.7 -369.4 -1.34 15.6
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,841.3 -36.6 -0.62 8.0
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 56.46 0.32 0.57 4.5
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 64.18 0.09 0.13 11.3
Gold ($/oz) 1204.05 0.75 0.06 1.7
Silver ($/oz) 16.26 0.03 0.2 3.4
Platinum ($/oz) 1170.25 -1.75 -0.15 -3.1
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.496 -0.01 -4.0
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.078 -0.26 -10.7
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.388 0.24 7.5
UK 100 called to open +20pts at 7018

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 1000                       Eurozone             Construction Output
  • 1445                       Eurozone             ECB Bond Purchases (QE)

 

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open +20pts at 7018 after pulling back considerably on Friday to close below 7000, breaching support around 7050 as global indices experienced a significant wobble. Updated watch levels: Bullish 7100, bearish 6900.

The warm open comes after fears of a Greek default sent shockwaves through global markets Friday. Things recovered over the weekend, however, after news that China had applied further economic stimulus measures to boost its ailing economy distracted investors – another reduction in the reserve requirements ratio (RRR) for its banks by 1 percentage point freeing up 1.2 trillion Yuan for lending and new rules allowing mutual funds to lend shares for short selling, increasing the supply of shares to the market.

Global markets were reassured by the action, largely expected throughout 2015 and arguably already priced into the Asian markets, which remained mixed in Monday trading as a result. In Japan, BOJ Governor Kuroda spoke, saying there is “no doubt” that inflation is recovering towards the 2% target rate and that monetary easing is having the desired effect while adding that the BoJ won't hesitate to adjust if inflation strays off the path.

In Europe, Draghi rejected speculation that Greece may exit the single currency, saying that the Euro is "irrevocable" and that going short the currency is “pointless.”  The comments come amid growing concerns in the financial markets that Greece may not be able to come to an agreement with its international creditors to unlock billions of euros in bailout money that Athens needs to repay the IMF and pay its own public sector workers.

US stocks pulled back heavily on Friday, joining European peers as investors sold off fearing the imminent materialisation of a bubble market. Treasury secretary Jack Lew urged Greece to reach an agreement with creditors, suggesting that a Greek default would be a very bad thing – causing “immediate hardship for Greece” and considerable damage to the world economy. “It's something that the European and global economies don't need — to have another crisis." (Thanks for the unique insight, Jack). In Fed news, it looks as if a US rate hike is more likely than not to happen in September rather than June.

In focus today we have Eurozone Construction Output and ECB asset purchases which will report the progress of the Eurozone’s own monetary easing programme.

Oil prices rose in Asian trade after the PBoC RRR cut. A spur for economic growth in the world’s #2 economy is good for commodities since China is a major consumer, with the pace of economic growth having a direct effect on demand. US Light Crude holding above $56 at $56.55 while UK Brent trading at $64.19.

Gold ($1204) was largely steady in Asian trade despite the bold RRR cut by the PBoC announced on Sunday which should be encouraging investors back into higher risk instruments and away from safe haven assets. The yellow metal continues to trade either side of $1200 although it has held above since close of play Friday.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • UK                          Righhtmove House Prices           Lower YoY increase
  • Germany             PPI                                                         Miss, deteriorated

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Aveva Group sees FY results in – line with market expectations
  • Petrofac sees further £130M loss at Laggan Tormore project
  • Evraz sees second quarter steel production below first quarter levels
  • Stellar Diamonds says gets 5,000 carats from trial mining at Baoulé Kimberlite
  • St. Modwen names Rob Hudson as new finance director
  • Kenmare Resources says temporarily repatriated workforce at Moma mine
  • UK Conservatives aim to sell Lloyds shares to small investors

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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