Today's Main Events
- 09:30 UK Public Finances
- 12:30 Canada CPI
- 17:00 USA Baker Hughes Rig Count
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Fresnillo PLC | 679 | 35.0 | 5.4 | -11.4 |
| Randgold Resources Ltd | 4826 | 151.0 | 3.2 | 10.2 |
| Marks & Spencer Group PLC | 531.5 | 16.0 | 3.1 | 11.0 |
| Tullow Oil PLC | 309.6 | 6.8 | 2.3 | -25.2 |
| Antofagasta PLC | 695 | 13.5 | 2.0 | -7.6 |
| Aviva PLC | 566 | 10.5 | 1.9 | 16.8 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 1485.5 | 27.5 | 1.9 | 7.0 |
| Kingfisher PLC | 374.4 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 10.0 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Next PLC | 7315 | -305.0 | -4.0 | 7.3 |
| British American Tobacco PLC | 3668 | -128.0 | -3.4 | 4.8 |
| TUI AG | 1181 | -27.0 | -2.2 | 10.4 |
| Anglo American PLC | 1046 | -23.5 | -2.2 | -12.9 |
| Meggitt PLC | 577.5 | -10.0 | -1.7 | 11.3 |
| Imperial Tobacco Group PLC | 3155 | -46.0 | -1.4 | 11.3 |
| Hargreaves Lansdown PLC | 1189 | -17.0 | -1.4 | 17.5 |
| Admiral Group PLC | 1518 | -19.0 | -1.2 | 14.8 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,962.3 | 17.1 | 0.25 | 6.0 |
| UK | 17,438.2 | 74.5 | 0.43 | 8.4 |
| FR CAC 40 | 5,037.2 | 3.8 | 0.07 | 17.9 |
| DE DAX 30 | 11,899.4 | -23.4 | -0.20 | 21.4 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,959.0 | -117.2 | -0.65 | 0.8 |
| US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 4,992.4 | 9.6 | 0.19 | 5.4 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,089.3 | -10.2 | -0.49 | 1.5 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 19,560.2 | 83.7 | 0.43 | 12.1 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 24,412.7 | -56.2 | -0.23 | 3.4 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,975.5 | 24.7 | 0.41 | 10.4 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 45.42 | -0.18 | -0.39 | -15.1 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 54.32 | -0.04 | -0.07 | -5.6 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1170.55 | -0.65 | -0.06 | -1.0 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 16.12 | -0.02 | -0.12 | 2.9 |
| Platinum ($/oz) | 1121.85 | -1.55 | -0.14 | -7.1 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.477 | – | 0.03 | -5.3 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.069 | – | 0.23 | -11.8 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.381 | – | -0.21 | 7.5 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open +10pts at 6976, as futures trading sends the index back up this morning towards all-time highs. Potential for a test of 7000 before the weekend perhaps? Resistance-turned-support possible around 6980. Bulls looking for a final surge past 7000 while bears will look to another sell off before the weekend. Watch levels: Bullish 7000, Bearish 6950
The positive open comes as European equity markets finished Thursday mixed. Peripheral markets outperformed their core contemporaries amidst fresh concerns over Greece. Tsipras has again reiterated his intent to honour Greece’s commitment to its bailout terms and is due to present a fresh list of reforms shortly to secure further assistance from the Eurogroup. The UK Index benefitted from the BoE’s chief economist Haldane who suggested indifference regarding a UK interest rate rise. He indicated the MPC has a full toolbox at the ready to tackle low inflation - including QE and lower rates if needed.
US markets closed mostly lower with profit taking contributing to some weakness on Wall Street following yesterday's post FOMC gains. The Dow is in a shallow upwards channel, buoyed by Chicago Fed dove Evans who said that a delayed liftoff for rates would be better for the economy. With Yellen pointing out the difficulty in being certain in uncertain times, Evans added the Fed should make monetary policy more accommodative when there is increased uncertainty. Data-wise, US initial jobless claims rose to 291k and the March Philadelphia Fed missed the 7.0 forecast, coming in at 5.0.
Asian markets are mixed having lost steam after the US Fed news which added little to the pot after an initial flurry of activity. Most eyes were on Japan as The BoJ meeting minutes showed members once again agreeing that the economy would likely continue its moderate recovery. In Australia, Governor Stevens said that the RBA will continue to assist in the economy’s recovery with lower rates if needed. Stevens noted the transition from the mining boom hasn’t gone as smoothly as hoped, but the weakening AUD is helping growth.
In focus today we have UK public finances, Canadian CPI data and the US Baker Hughes Rig Count.
US Light crude ($43.7) and Brent ($54.1) are following similar paths on the charts this morning having bounced yesterday. Both are back from this week’s highs mounted on the back of the brief plunge in the US Dollar Basket. Barclays analysts warned that China’s demand for commodities including oil will remain turbulent for the next five years, due to its transition to a more consumer-driven economy, while talks with Iran threaten to flood the market with oil if an amiable solution is found. Baker Hughes Rig Count due later today.
Gold ($1171) still holding firm, back from Thursday’s gains following the FOMC minutes. Range bound trading likely to continue into the weekend although USD volatility will affect prices. Potential for a black swan before close today? Note Thursday saw the end of the London gold fix, which first took place in September 1919.
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See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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