Getting latest data loading
Home / Morning Report / Morning Report

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Morning Report - 19 October 2016

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Next PLC 4744 240.0 5.3 -34.9
easyJet PLC 918 44.5 5.1 -47.2
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 333.7 13.8 4.3 -26.2
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 177.6 7.2 4.2 -41.2
Tesco PLC 208.3 7.0 3.5 39.3
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Burberry Group PLC 1403 -109.0 -7.2 17.4
Pearson PLC 745 -17.5 -2.3 1.2
Rolls-Royce Group PLC 761 -12.5 -1.6 32.4
Johnson Matthey PLC 3456 -33.0 -1.0 22.9
DCC PLC 6695 -55.0 -0.8 18.3
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 7,000.1 52.5 0.76 12.1
UK 17,994.4 201.9 1.13 3.2
FR CAC 40 4,508.9 58.7 1.32 -2.8
DE DAX 30 10,631.5 127.9 1.22 -1.0
US DJ Industrial Average 30 18,162.0 75.5 0.42 4.2
US Nasdaq Composite 5,243.8 44.0 0.85 4.7
US S&P 500 2,139.6 13.1 0.62 4.7
JP Nikkei 225 17,007.0 43.4 0.26 -10.6
HK Hang Seng Index 50 23,356.4 -38.0 -0.16 6.6
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,435.4 24.6 0.45 2.6
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 50.75 0.78 1.55 36.9
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 52.13 0.69 1.34 38.7
Gold ($/oz) 1262.65 -1.95 -0.15 19.1
Silver ($/oz) 17.62 -0.04 -0.23 27.5
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.23 -0.2 -16.7
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.10 0.06 1.1
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.12 -0.26 -17.6
UK 100 called to open flat at 7000pts

UK 100 : 1 Month; 4-Hourly

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open flat at 7000, holding above the round number overnight following yesterday’s breakout. A bullish pennant pattern has potentially formed, a breakout from which could help the index back to 7100. Bulls will be looking for a breakout from the pennant to confirm the September uptrend is alive and well. Bears will be hoping that 7000 and overnight rising lows give way. Watch levels: Bullish 7020, Bearish 6990

A lukewarm open follows a mixed Asian session where investors failed to derive any excitement whatsoever from spookily stable Chinese GDP growth of 6.7% (that’s three quarters in a row!) that puts the world’s #2 economy on track to meet its full year target. Faster growth for Retail Sales was offset by weakness for Industrial Production. The GDP stability leads some to ask whether more aggressive measures might be dared to try and calm credit and property-inflated bubbles. Delicate.

Japan’s Nikkei is posting small gains with a stronger Yen offsetting Energy’s benefit from higher oil prices. Australia’s ASX is outperforming thanks to solid China GDP data and a weaker Aussie dollar and while BHP Billiton (BLT) reported Iron Ore output -6% last quarter, this is denting metals prices but not hurting Miners too much. Chinese bourses underperforming in spite of GDP.

US equities posted gains at session close yesterday as macro data met with expectations and Q3 earnings reporting for US companies continued. The Dow Jones finished 0.4% higher and was led by the Healthcare sector, positive results from UnitedHealth and Goldman Sachs helping to offset a poor performance from IBM having missed earnings forecasts. The Nasdaq outperformed with a gain of 0.9%, helped by guidance busting Netflix shooting up over 20%, while the S&P 500 closed 0.6% higher, also led by Healthcare. Note Intel's after-market after market update sending shares -5% lower but Yahoo's were +1%.

Crude Oil prices are showing a strong gain following overnight API inventory data showed a surprise consnsus-beating drawdown after last week’s first build in 4 weeks. A 3.8m drawdown helped to buoy prices of the black stuff, with Brent back above $52 per barrel and US steady around $50.75. Official DoE EIA inventories released later today will, as always, either confirm or dispel this data, with forecasts similar to the API projections of a build around 2.8m barrels.

Gold, having reached the top of its two-week $1250-1265 trading channel overnight, has fallen as the USD strengthens following solid overnight performance from the Pound and Euro. Speakers from the Fed this afternoon have the potential to produce movements in the precious metal, as any hints about an imminent Fed rate hike will be seized upon by investors following dovish comments from the Chair and Vice Chair last week.

Today’s focus, beyond the fallout from overnight China GDP data, will be UK Unemployment and Wages. Both are expected to have held firm in the three months to August, adding to arguments that the backside isn't falling out of the UK economy despite Brexit, but GBP could still move as a result.

Thereafter, investors will be left wanting for anything major until early afternoon when we get the latest update on US Housing Starts and Building Permits (seen unchanged but could influence US equities) and Weekly Oil Stocks which have a high probability of moving US Crude prices, especially after another bullish API print.

The evening sees the latest US Fed Beige book provide us with a summary of anecdotal information on current economic conditions that may sway sentiment about US growth and the likelihood of a US rate hike by year end. Watch US equities and indices.

Speakers today include the Fed’s Williams, the UK Chancellor Hammond, the Bank of England’s Haldane and the Fed’s Kaplan. A sprinkling of comment from the EU’s Juncker, Tusk and the ECB’s Nouy are also on the roster.

 

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Britain's GW Pharma to cancel London listing
  • Reckitt Benckiser third – quarter sales growth misses estimates
  • Apple supplier Laird warns on full – year profit
  • PureTech Health says Vedanta Biosciences granted an European patent
  • Sales fall at Foxtons as weak London market persists
  • Hotel Chocolat FY revenue +12% to £91.1m
  • Allied Electronics H1 HEPS +10% to 54 cents
  • Britain's Travis Perkins warns on 2016 profit, to close branches
  • Stobart buys interests in Stobart Air and Propius
  • Acquisitions boost Rentokil's Q3 revenue from ongoing operations
  • JKX Oil and Gas repurchase $6.4m of convertible bonds
  • Zalando lifts earnings forecast, Q3 growth disappoints
  • Glencore announces pricing of tender offers
  • Rising power costs weigh on BHP Billiton's Olympic Dam
  • BHP says sees early signs of commodity recovery, says quarterly iron ore production 58m tonnes
  • Japan's Showa Shell to refine 3.7% less crude in Q4
  • Dollar steps back from 7 – month high, sterling bounces back
  • Oil rises on U.S. crude inventory draw, falling Chinese output

Back to Top

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
.