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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Rolls-Royce Group PLC | 773.5 | 9.0 | 1.2 | 34.5 |
| Standard Chartered PLC | 658.4 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 16.8 |
| BT Group PLC | 378.65 | 3.4 | 0.9 | -19.7 |
| Lloyds Banking Group PLC | 52.82 | 0.4 | 0.7 | -27.7 |
| Glencore PLC | 229.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 154.1 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Pearson PLC | 762.5 | -70.0 | -8.4 | 3.6 |
| Admiral Group PLC | 1949 | -77.0 | -3.8 | 17.5 |
| Standard Life PLC | 324.6 | -12.5 | -3.7 | -16.7 |
| Hargreaves Lansdown PLC | 1155 | -36.0 | -3.0 | -23.3 |
| Barratt Developments PLC | 468.7 | -14.0 | -2.9 | -25.1 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,947.6 | -66.0 | -0.94 | 11.3 |
| UK | 17,792.5 | -187.7 | -1.04 | 2.1 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,450.2 | -20.7 | -0.46 | -4.0 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,503.6 | -76.8 | -0.73 | -2.2 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 18,086.5 | -52.0 | -0.29 | 3.8 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 5,199.8 | -14.3 | -0.28 | 3.8 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,126.5 | -6.5 | -0.30 | 4.0 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 16,963.6 | 63.5 | 0.38 | -10.9 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 50 | 23,381.7 | 344.2 | 1.49 | 6.7 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,410.8 | 22.1 | 0.41 | 2.2 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 50.26 | 0.65 | 1.3 | 35.6 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 51.86 | 0.57 | 1.1 | 38.0 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1259.45 | 2.85 | 0.23 | 18.8 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 17.61 | 0.12 | 0.67 | 27.4 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.22 | – | 0.09 | -17.0 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.10 | – | 0.02 | 1.4 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.11 | – | 0.06 | -18.2 |
UK 100 Index called to open +30pts at 6975, with yesterday’s bounce at 6930 bolstering potential for Aug/Sept resistance to have turned supportive to keep alive the uptrend since mid/last month. This allows Bulls to remain fixated on a rally back towards all-time highs around 7130. The Bears, however, note we are still in a downtrend since this time last week until the 7000 level is overcome. Watch levels: Bullish 7010, Bearish 6960
Calls for a positive open come thanks to gains in Asia driven by a USD Basket coming off last week’s FOMC minutes inspired highs to propel emerging market currencies higher ahead of US inflation data this afternoon. This as markets prepare for tomorrow’s final televised US presidential debate and face-off between Clinton and Trump before the Nov. 8 election.
Japan’s Nikkei is higher thanks to the weaker Yen and Australia’s ASX fighting off a stronger AUD, both buoyed by stronger commodity prices and oil holding up, to the benefit of Miners and Energy.
US equities closed lower yesterday amid falling oil prices, weak macro data and dovish comments from Federal Reserve Vice Chair Fischer, despite a positive start to Q3 earnings season. The energy sector contributed to a 0.3% fall on the S&P 500, while the Dow Jones also dropped 0.3% as investors priced-in further earnings releases from US heavyweights Goldman Sachs and Mcdonald’s.
Crude Oil is benefiting from a USD off highs, looking to recover from yesterday afternoon’s sharp sell-off. Overnight reports that the global oversupply may be closer to balanced than previously expected (Q3 inventory build lowest since Q4 2014) has also helped support oil prices as API inventories come into focus tonight.
Gold is also a beneficiary of the weakened USD, although still remains in the $1250-$1260 channel the precious metal has occupied for close to a fortnight. Dovish comments from US Fed Vice Chair Fischer overnight stating that accommodative policy may be left in place for longer provides further support for the monetary policy sensitive commodity.
Today’s focus will be inflation and house price data from the UK this morning and the US this afternoon. This while EU Foreign Ministers meet to discuss the mid-term review of the region’s multiannual 2014-20 budget and a package of decisions on the comprehensive economic and trade agreement with Canada (CETA).
At home, UK CPI is seen slower in September. Annual and core rates are expected to have ticked north, but remain well below target. Watch out for the Brexit effect. Investors in UK Housebuilders should watch the UK House Price Index for August should it deliver the slower rate of price increase consensus is looking for.
In the afternoon, US CPI is seen accelerating last month although the core measure is forecast pretty much unchanged. Of more interest to Fed watchers will surely be the pace of Real Average Weekly Earnings, which remains a long way below inflation, likely prolonging the furious rate hike debate. The US Housing Market Index is, like in the UK, seen lower, but relates to more recent data (Oct).
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