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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Sports Direct International PLC 787.5 42.0 5.6 10.1
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 395.2 19.0 5.1 -1.5
Ashtead Group PLC 888 42.5 5.0 16.8
Travis Perkins PLC 1775 64.0 3.7 -5.2
ITV PLC 180 6.4 3.7 -7.2
GKN PLC 386.2 12.1 3.2 3.5
Burberry Group PLC 1466 44.0 3.1 -3.3
easyJet PLC 1653 45.0 2.8 7.6
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
BAE Systems PLC 376 -15.9 -4.1 -13.6
Barratt Developments PLC 365 -8.1 -2.2 4.6
Fresnillo PLC 884 -17.5 -1.9 18.6
Aggreko PLC 1502 -26.0 -1.7 -12.1
Smith & Nephew PLC 860.5 -11.0 -1.3 -0.1
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1199 -12.0 -1.0 -11.5
Petrofac Ltd 1395 -12.0 -0.9 14.0
British American Tobacco PLC 3415.5 -20.0 -0.6 5.5
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,584.17 42.56 0.65 -2.44
UK 15,746.00 155.50 1 -1.19
FR CAC 40 4,405.66 60.31 1.39 2.55
DE DAX 30 9,317.82 144.11 1.57 -2.45
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,424.80 162.24 1 -0.92
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,086.22 52.06 1.29 -2.16
US S&P 500 1,862.30 19.33 1.05 0.75
JP Nikkei 225 14,439.01 21.33 0.15 -11.37
HK Hang Seng Index 48 22,786.14 90.13 0.40 -2.23
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,454.40 34.08 0.63 1.91
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 104.035 0.135 0.13 5.2685
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 109.445 -0.405 -0.37 -0.8305
Gold ($/oz) 1301.55 -2.15 -0.16 8.2088
Silver ($/oz) 19.5775 -0.0625 -0.32 1.1068
Platinum ($/oz) 1437.95 -2.65 -0.18 4.8395
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6831 0.17 1.5287
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3841 0.12 0.5747
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.216 0.04 0.8212
UK 100 called to open -5pts at 6585

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 11:45     US           Morgan Stanley Q1 Results
  • 12:30     US           Goldman Sachs Q1 Results
  • 13:30     US           Weekly Jobless Claims
  • 15:00     US           Philly Fed Business Outlook
  • N/A        US           Q1 Results: General Electric, Schlumberger, Baker Hughes

 

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open -5pts at 6585, having made a brief test of the eyed 6600 breakout level overnight as US markets made further gains (best 3-day rally for S&P in 2 months, back positive for 2014).

 US progress was assisted by solid industrial production data, supportive/accomodative rhetoric from Fed Chair Yellen and colleague Fisher, a US Beige book suggesting economic activity increasing in most regions, labour conditions mixed-to-positive and internet name Yahoo!’s Q1 results beating estimates, thanks to surging sales at Chinese e-commerce  giant Alibaba.

 After the US close, however, several names suffered in after-hours trading with shares down on disappointing Q1 results. IBM was hurt by declining hardware sales, Google by declining advertising revenues. Another tough day for tech. Amex beat expectations, but shares down on more caution towards debt. Weaker Housing data earlier in the day also lingered in terms of US Consumer Confidence.

 In Asia-Pacific overnight, equities still bid, although bourses only just edging higher. Data from Australia showed New Motor Vehicle Sales and Business confidence weakening. In Japan, Consumer confidence missed expectations and dropped back almost a point and a stronger JPY held equities back a bit.

 In Ukraine, things get no better with the news of more deaths of pro-Russian separatists however, Ukrainian progress may have slowed and Washington does not anticipate a breakthrough with Russia in Geneva.

 This morning, German PPI has delivered another blow to the ECB with a negative figure for March, highlighting the risk of dis-inflation, however, EU New car registrations have jumped over 10% in March, accelerating no February’s 8%.

 In focus today, amid a light calendar to close the shortened Easter trading week, we have US Jobless Claims seen back up above 300K but continuing claims flat at 2.78m. The Philly Fed Business outlook is expected to nudge up from 9 to 10, although stateside data from earlier in the week highlights the risk of a deterioration.

 Results are still in full flow and today it is the turn of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs after Bank of America beat expectations yesterday. Other big names reporting include Honeywell, Baker Hughes, Dupont, Schlumberger, General Electric, Phillip Morris and Pepsico.

 UK Results today include. Diageo (DGE.L) 9-month organic sales +0.3% vs. +2% expected, Q3 organic sales - 1.3% vs. +1.8% expected, weaker performance in Asia, currency volatility negatively impacting operations. Taylor Wimpey (TW..L) Strong Q1 with continuing improvement across all regions, order book volume +13% to 8,139 homes from last year, average selling price +22%, confident in delivering 200-300 basis points of operating margin in 2014. Mulberry (MUL.L) Warns that underlying profit for the year would be marginally below current expectations, the fourth in two years. Pretax profit now expected around £14m.

In commodities; Gold back below its $1300 hover point of the last 2 days, neither being driven by risk appetite nor safehaven seeking after the recent sell-off from $1330. Oil prices seen Brent climb to 6-week highs >$110/bl on the Ukraine crisis and potential supply disruption. US Light Crude trading up at $104/bl despite big US inventory builds yesterday.

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Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AU       New Motor Vehicle Sales                    Deteriorated
  • AU       NAB Business Confidence                  Deteriorated
  • JP         Consumer Confidence                         Miss, deteriorated
  • JP         Nationwide Dept Store Sales              Improved
  • DE        PPI                                                       Miss, deteriorated

See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • United Utilities to submit new business plan after Ofwat feedback
  • Taylor Wimpey says strong sales continue in first quarter
  • Cobham sells remaining non-core business
  • Mulberry to lower prices after new profit warning
  • Providence Resources to start seismic survey on Irish site
  • Gemfields secures $15 mln working capital facility
  • Skyepharma says receives 82 acceptances on open offer
  • Shell finds gas in new area offshore Malaysia
  • Lloyds Bank says investors swap bonds for $98 million
  • Diageo third-quarter sales fall on Asian weakness

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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