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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Anglo American PLC | 709.3 | 70.6 | 11.1 | 136.9 |
| Standard Chartered PLC | 520.8 | 50.1 | 10.6 | -7.6 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 882.8 | 74.2 | 9.2 | 16.2 |
| Rio Tinto PLC | 2245 | 158.5 | 7.6 | 13.4 |
| Barclays PLC | 166.8 | 11.2 | 7.2 | -23.8 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Tesco PLC | 181 | -15.3 | -7.8 | 21.1 |
| Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC | 197.2 | -4.0 | -2.0 | 33.1 |
| Randgold Resources Ltd | 6775 | -85.0 | -1.2 | 63.5 |
| Imperial Brands PLC | 3745.5 | -43.5 | -1.2 | 4.4 |
| United Utilities Group PLC | 954.5 | -5.5 | -0.6 | 2.0 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,362.9 | 120.5 | 1.93 | 1.9 |
| UK | 17,048.0 | 252.7 | 1.50 | -2.2 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,490.3 | 144.4 | 3.32 | -3.2 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,026.0 | 264.6 | 2.71 | -6.7 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,908.3 | 187.0 | 1.06 | 2.8 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 4,947.4 | 75.3 | 1.55 | -1.2 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,082.4 | 20.7 | 1.00 | 1.9 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 16,817.7 | 436.5 | 2.66 | -11.6 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 21,327.4 | 168.7 | 0.80 | -2.7 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,115.7 | 61.0 | 1.21 | -3.4 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 41.26 | -0.50 | -1.19 | 11.3 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 43.65 | -0.59 | -1.32 | 16.1 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1235.85 | -7.05 | -0.57 | 16.5 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 16.08 | -0.13 | -0.79 | 16.3 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.41 | – | -0.44 | -4.1 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.13 | – | -0.16 | 3.7 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.25 | – | -0.27 | -7.5 |
UK 100 Index called to open +10pts at 6370, the index consolidating overnight following yesterday’s strong gains. Potential for more profit taking this morning to take things a little lower, but bulls are still hopeful of an eventual continuation towards Early Dec highs of 6450. A pullback as far as 6300, however, could see the daily RSI turn back down from currently bullish levels and herald a return to the March sideways channel. Watch levels: Bullish 6400, Bearish 6290.
Another positive opening call comes on the back of another strong Asian session, itself tracking a positive performance on Wall St. after JP Morgan beat consensus with its Q1 earnings. While nerves are still shredded as regards other big companies yet to report, we nonetheless saw financials lead gains and a read across to the UK’s own banking sector. Continued oil price strength is also helping the energy sector on both sides of the pond ahead of this weekend’s Doha meeting at which it’s expected a deal will be struck to do something about the global crude supply glut, whatever that may be. No one really knows…
Note US retail sales disappointed across the board yesterday, which is at odds with a broader print in the Fed’s Beige Book indicating modest growth in the US economy. Taken together, one may conclude that the US is learning to ride its bike again, but it may not yet be time to remove the stabilisers!
Oil prices themselves are in decline again this morning, with bearish double tops on Brent and WTI in progress looking to see prices back to $42.7 and $40.3 respectively. We’d expect the next big move to occur over the weekend and into next week, assuming markets will lap up what the Doha delegates have to say (bullishly or bearishly…) Brent currently at $43.5, US Crude at $41.
Gold is consolidating on the way down (as it should be given that equities are doing the same on the way up), with more downside likely today as long as risk appetite remains high. $1225 a potential target for bears going short now, while a bounce off support at current levels could see a return to $1243. Currently $1233.
On the Macro front today we’ve got inflation data from the Eurozone and US, the BoE interest rate announcement (Don’t panic! It’s set to remain at 0.5%) and US employment data.
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