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Morning Report - 13 April 2016

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Anglo American PLC 638.7 53.6 9.2 113.3
Standard Chartered PLC 470.7 22.8 5.1 -16.5
Glencore PLC 148.55 7.1 5.0 64.2
BHP Billiton PLC 808.6 30.4 3.9 6.4
Fresnillo PLC 992 31.0 3.2 40.1
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Ashtead Group PLC 817 -25.0 -3.0 -27.0
Whitbread PLC 3742 -90.0 -2.4 -15.0
Persimmon PLC 1960 -35.0 -1.8 -3.3
Sainsbury (J) PLC 285.8 -5.1 -1.8 10.4
Intu Properties PLC 311.8 -5.4 -1.7 -1.7
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,242.4 42.3 0.68 0.0
UK 16,795.3 16.5 0.10 -3.6
FR CAC 40 4,345.9 33.3 0.77 -6.3
DE DAX 30 9,761.5 78.5 0.81 -9.1
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,721.3 164.8 0.94 1.7
US Nasdaq Composite 4,872.1 38.7 0.80 -2.7
US S&P 500 2,061.7 19.7 0.97 0.9
JP Nikkei 225 16,376.7 447.9 2.81 -14.0
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,006.7 502.3 2.45 -4.1
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,045.9 70.3 1.41 -4.7
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 41.57 -0.03 -0.06 12.1
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 44.17 -0.12 -0.26 17.5
Gold ($/oz) 1251.50 -4.60 -0.37 18.0
Silver ($/oz) 16.09 -0.07 -0.42 16.4
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.42 -0.13 -3.3
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.14 -0.22 4.6
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.25 0.1 -7.5
UK 100 Index called to open +60pts at 6300

UK 100 Index - 1 week chart

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open +60pts at 6300 having broken out of its 2 month sideways range and made fresh YTD highs. MACD has made a bullish cross while the RSI is still not overbought, thus Bulls will be looking for momentum to take the index on to 6300 and above. Bears/contrarians hope for the strong overnight rally to lose steam in early trading. Watch levels: Bullish 6320, Bearish 6200.

The positive opening call comes on the back of a strong Asian session that saw markets buoyed by Chinese macro data and the continuing oil price rally. March Chinese exports went up by 11.5%, the most in a year and an impressive recovery from February’s 25% slump. That’s sure to indicate that China’s still making stuff, so should be a good thing for companies that produce materials - like miners.

US bourses also had a good day, tracking the oil price higher and benefitting from a re-affirmation of its credit rating (AAA, outlook stable) and some kind words from rating agency Fitch, which also said it expects just 2 rate hikes this year. Good humour all round from Fed officials, and the fact that Russia and Saudi Arabia are doing their special dance (talking impossible production freezes ex-Iran & Libya)  ahead of this doha meeting on Sunday, means that upward pressures are likely to remain this week.

Oil prices themselves are supported by Russian/Saudi rhetoric, while markets will have to wait until Sunday for confirmation. Until then, confidence remains high. Brent currently at $43, US Crude at $41.

Gold is selling back, given the risk-on sentiment pervading markets this morning and also hampered by a USD Basket bounce as the US economy gets a good bill of health from Fed officials and Fitch. Currently $1247.

On the Macro front today we’ve got inflation data from Spain and industrial production from the Eurozone. This afternoon sees US retail sales seen improving in March.

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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