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Morning Report - 12 November 2019

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Price (p) % Chg
ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP 221.6 4.0%
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC 58.5 4.0%
PERSIMMON PLC 2,450.0 3.9%
BARCLAYS PLC 171.6 3.1%
BERKELEY GROUP HOLDINGS/THE 4,589.0 3.1%
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Price (p) % Chg
OCADO GROUP PLC 1102.0 -7.4%
EVRAZ PLC 351.0 -5.3%
ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC 739.6 -4.8%
HISCOX LTD 1213.0 -4.4%
GLENCORE PLC 245.5 -3.5%
Major World Indices Price % Chg 1 Year
UK 100 INDEX 7,329 -0.4% 3.9%
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG 27,691 0.0% 9.1%
DAX INDEX 13,198 -0.2% 16.5%
NIKKEI 225 23,520 0.8% 5.6%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 6,753 -0.3% 13.7%
Commodities Units Price % Chg
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) USD/bbl. 57.07 0.37%
Brent Crude (ICE) USD/bbl. 62.46 0.45%
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 1,453 -0.2%
Copper (Comex) USd/lb. 268 0.6%
UK 100 called to open +30 points at 7358

UK 100 : 4 Hours, 2 Months

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

 

UK 100 Called to open +30 points at 7358; With muted anticipation rising ahead of Trumps trade negotiation speech later today, we are set for a positive start to the trading session.  In focus today will be investor reaction to yesterdays stand out UK news that Nigel Farage will step aside and not fight conservative seats at the general election, This increases the chances of a conservative majority and decreases the chances of a hung parliament.  This saw Brexit sensitive stocks rally yesterday (Lloyds bank +3%; RBS +4.5%; Barratt Developments +4% to name but three) will this continue today? Or could we see profit taking step in?  Overnight we saw a muted trading session in the US for veterans day. The Dow +10 points; The S&P -6 points; The Nasdaq -11 points.  In Asia we saw far more positive sentiment with the Nikkei +188 points & the Hang Seng +106 points.  China bank loans hit 22 month lows with more easing expected contributing to this rise.  Oil sits at $62.5 per barrel. Whilst Gold continued to fall as risk on appetite increased, now sitting just above $1450.

 

In corporate news this morning:

 

Astrazeneca outlined results from positive phase 3 Tulip 2 trial for antifrolumab (Lupus medication) it demonstrated superiority across multiple efficiency endpoints versus placebo.

 

ITV on track to deliver full year guidance, performance in the first 9 months as expected. and although the economic environment continues to be uncertain, are making good progress in executing strategy.  Revenue -1% YoY; Total Viewing hours -6% YoY; Online Viewing Hours +10% YoY; ITV Hub registered users +12%.

 

Land Securities reported HY revenue +0.4%, HY loss before tax for the period of £147m (2018:  profit of £42m). First half dividend +2.7%, adjusted EPS +0.3% to 30.4p. Office market in London continues to remain in good health, retail market continues to be challenging. With forthcoming election and UK’s proposed exit from the EU they remain alert to market risks. 

 

Persimmon and OnTheMarket sign a listing agreement.


Vodafone increased its FY 2019 earnings guidance, reflecting improving organic growth trends as difficult markets in Spain and Italy start to ease and it integrates its German cable acquisition. They reported revenue growth +0.3% in 1H 2019 and forecast adjusted core earnings for the year of 14.8-15bn euros (Up from previous forecast of 13.8-14.2bn euros).

 

 

Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires, AlphaTerminal

 

Upgrades/Downgrades:

 

Convatec Group Downgraded to Underperform by Bernstein (Bloomberg: 6 Buys/ 8 Holds/ 1 Sell)

 

 

In Focus Today:

 

UK ILO Unemployment Rate

 

German ZEW Survey

 

 

Companies reporting today:

 

Land Securities, Vodafone, ITV

 

Companies reporting Tomorrow:

 

British Land, Wizz Air, Coca-Cola HBC, JD Wetherspoon, Tullow Oil, Taylor Wimpey

 

 

(Full list available on Week in advance)

 

This Week's Ex-Dividends:

 

Bunzl - 0.75%

 

Royal Dutch Shell A - 1.56%

 

Royal Dutch Shell B - 1.56%

 

GlaxoSmithKline - 1.1%

 

 

(Full list available on Week in advance)

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


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