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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| St James’s Place PLC | 971 | 24.0 | 2.5 | 19.2 |
| Merlin Entertainments PLC | 410.3 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Experian PLC | 1214 | 27.0 | 2.3 | 11.6 |
| Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC | 6295 | 135.0 | 2.2 | 20.8 |
| Intertek Group PLC | 2589 | 55.0 | 2.2 | 10.9 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Sainsbury (J) PLC | 253.3 | -19.3 | -7.1 | 2.7 |
| SSE PLC | 1444 | -48.0 | -3.2 | -11.0 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 923.7 | -22.8 | -2.4 | -33.5 |
| Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC | 156.9 | -2.6 | -1.6 | -14.8 |
| Aberdeen Asset Management PLC | 339.5 | -5.5 | -1.6 | -21.5 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,297.2 | 21.9 | 0.35 | -4.1 |
| UK | 17,101.8 | 62.0 | 0.36 | 6.3 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,952.5 | 40.4 | 0.82 | 15.9 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,907.9 | 75.4 | 0.70 | 11.2 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,702.3 | -56.0 | -0.32 | -0.7 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 5,067.0 | -16.2 | -0.32 | 7.0 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,075.0 | -6.7 | -0.32 | 0.8 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 19,697.8 | 6.4 | 0.03 | 12.9 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 22,790.8 | 438.7 | 1.96 | -3.4 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,125.7 | 3.1 | 0.06 | -5.3 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 43.16 | 0.07 | 0.15 | -19.7 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 46.01 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -20.1 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1087.30 | 1.30 | 0.12 | -8.1 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 14.36 | 0.06 | 0.4 | -8.5 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.521 | – | -0.09 | -2.4 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.076 | – | -0.06 | -11.1 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.414 | – | -0.03 | 9.8 |
UK 100 Index called to open -15pts at 6280, still in a 7-day downtrend but with a higher low yesterday offering potential for a bottom to have been found around 6250-6260, and for a rebound from the lower bounds of its 1-month sideways shift. While a rebound towards 6400 is possible, falling highs around 6300 need to be overcome first. Watch levels: Bullish 6310, Bearish 6255.
The negative opening call comes after a muted session in Asia following a negative US close (all spookily -0.32%) as markets continue to fret about Chinese growth, the price of oil slipped further, and markets prep for a raft of US Fed speakers today, including Chair Yellen, who could shift the odds on a December rate hike and after much ECB chat yesterday, which President Draghi is set to continue today.
Australia’s ASX flat after a strong jobs report cut the chance of another RBA rate cut, while the index’s key commodities/energy space remains in the doldrums on China/global growth worries and a Fed strengthened USD. Japan’s Nikkei also flat, its rally stalling despite strong machine orders data , as a weak JPY comes off its lows to hurt exporters and investors await Fed clarification.
China weak and Hong Kong strength at odds with each other, with the former hindered by a technology stocks slump and concerns of an overdone rally of late, as well as mixed macro data all weak dampening sentiment.
US stocks posted another negative session on Wednesday with more disappointing China data and declines in the energy sector weighing on equities. Almost surprising to see the NASDAQ performing in line with peers given that the technology sector should be benefitting from rock bottom copper prices. More likely, however, is the prospect of higher interest rates potentially capping growth potential, or at least seen to be.
In focus today will be the improved German Inflation which is at odds with recent calls and expectations for more QE, although it depends whether France shows similar progress. Elsewhere, watch for better Eurozone Industrial Production. However, the highlight will be all the 6 Fed speakers destined to muddy the waters on the ‘stick or twist’ rate-hike decision next month. Oh, and after avoiding the subject of monetary policy yesterday, much to the annoyance of those wanting clarity on a Dec rate cut/more stimulus, President Draghi has tow more opportunities today. Super Mario?
Markets await further Fed updates this afternoon for added clarity on December, which is unlikely to be forthcoming. Nonetheless, Gold traders appear to be betting on an imminent rate hike with the yellow metal just off 3-month lows, helped a bit by bargain hunters in both physical and futures markets. Volume likely to remain light ahead of said Fed updates.
Oil prices off their overnight lows with the USD off its own corresponding highs. Potential for further dollar weakening on technicals to help oil (and commodities in general) today, but more likely to have an effect will be weekly EIA data forecast to show further increase in US crude stockpiles while lurking fears about Iranian supply are keeping the medium-term oil outlook bearish.
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research