Getting latest data loading
Home / Morning Report / Morning Report

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Morning Report - 12 October 2018

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Fresnillo 839 66.8 8.7 -41.3
Randgold Resources 5706 440 8.4 -23.0
Ocado 779.4 17 2.2 96.3
Ferguson 5567 98 1.8 4.5
Coca-Cola HBC 2317 23 1.0 -4.3
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Barratt Developments 487.8 -67.4 -12.1 -24.7
Hargreaves Lansdown 1850.5 -97.5 -5.0 2.7
3i 849.4 -43.2 -4.8 -7.0
Next 5254 -248 -4.5 16.1
Taylor Wimpey 157.85 -7.2 -4.4 -23.5
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 7,006.9 -138.8 -1.94 -8.9
UK 18,827.8 -411.4 -2.14 -9.2
FR CAC 40 5,106.4 -99.9 -1.92 -3.9
DE DAX 30 11,539.3 -173.2 -1.48 -10.7
US DJ Industrial Average 30 25,052.8 -546.0 -2.13 1.4
US Nasdaq Composite 7,329.1 -93.0 -1.25 6.2
US S&P 500 2,728.4 -57.3 -2.06 2.1
JP Nikkei 225 22,578.4 -12.5 -0.06 -0.8
HK Hang Seng Index 50 25,746.3 479.9 1.90 -13.9
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,895.7 11.9 0.20 -2.8
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 71.78 0.43 0.6 19.4
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 81.26 0.30 0.37 21.9
Gold ($/oz) 1219.62 4.02 0.33 -6.4
Silver ($/oz) 14.54 0.26 1.79 -13.9
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.3230 -0.03 -2.0
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.1595 0.05 -3.3
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1411 -0.06 1.4
UK 100 Index called to open +45pts at 7055

UK 100 : 1-month, daily

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open +45pts at 7055, extending last night’s 130pt rebound from 6-month lows. Bulls need a break above yesterday’s afternoon’s 7077 peak, before being able to challenge October falling highs. Bears require a breach of 7035 to overcome rising support and open the door for another downside test. Watch levels: Bullish 7077, Bearish 7035

Calls for a positive open come as Asian markets stage a tentative rebound from yesterday’s sell-off. China September trade data suggests resilience to Trump tariffs. The Washington Post reported Trump and Xi agreeing to a side-lines meet at next month’s G20 summit, fuelling hopes for a trade war truce to offset rising bond yields mounting pressure on the US economy.

The FT reports That UK PM May spoke with her inner cabinet late yesterday about an imminent Brexit deal, although there are plenty of dissenters in the ranks (i.e. DUP, Tory Eurosceptics) who could scupper any progress made on Customs and/or Irish border. GBP flat on the news (been here before?), neither helping, nor hindering the UK Index .

Oil prices are also rebounding from this week’s sharp sell-off (growing crude inventories, and concerns about global growth and rising borrowing costs hindered Energy names), with Brent recovering from a brief test of $80. Gold off overnight highs, having benefited from market sell-off.

In corporate news this morning, UK Index Miners may be sensitive to China Trade data overnight, where the Trade Surplus expanded ($31.7bn vs $27.9bn prev) thanks to an acceleration in exports growth (14.5% YoY vs 9.8% prev), although Imports slowed (14.3% vs 19.9% prev).

Norway’s Kongsberg Gruppen confirms plans to raise $608m via fully underwritten rights issue to part finance £500m acquisition of Rolls-Royce Commercial Marine.

Man Group Q3 assets under management $114.1bn (+0.4% QoQ, +4.6% YTD, +10.2% YoY), Net inflows +$0.4bn (incl. $2.2bn infrastructure redemption); Inv +$0.9bn, FX -$0.7bn; mixed inv. perf; new governance and corporate structure, group holding company in Jersey; no change to listing.

Ashmore Q1 AUM $76.4bn, net inflows slow to $1.9bn from $2.6bn prev; Debt +4-8%, Equities -5%, Alternatives +13%; inv perf +$0.3bn, acquired AUM +$0.3bn. Expects mispricing around elections in US and several Emerging Markets to present more opportunities to buy attractively-valued assets.

Tritax Big Box gets approval for new National Distribution Centre at Midlands Logistics Park; Pre-let to Bosch; £89m investment with net yield of 5.2%. Great Portland Estates signed a revolving £450m 5-year credit line with 6 banks, extending October 2014 deal. Sports Direct buys several Glasgow properties for £95m cash and sicloses 26.16% stake in French Connection.

Comcast announced it acquired 95.32% of Sky shares, crossing the threshold where the takeover offer becomes unconditional. Compulsory purchase of remaining shares to begin shortly.

In focus today will be continued analysis of this week’s market correction as well as potential for an imminent Brexit deal breakthrough.

On the data front., Eurozone Industrial Production (10am) is forecast to post an August  rebound but contracting further on an annual basis. US Import/Export Prices (1.30pm) could impact the stateside inflation outlook, with a knock-on for Fed rate hike expectations and the USD.

October US Consumer Sentiment (3pm) is seen slightly better along with Current Conditions although lower in terms of Consumer Expectations. With Oil off its highs, the Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count may find renewed interest.

Speakers today include the Fed’s Evans (2.30pm, dove, non-voter) and Bostic (5.30pm, hawkish, voter). Should they deliver a similar ‘strong economy’ message to that of Chair Powell last week, this could add fuel to the fire of fears that more rate rise expectations could put growth at risk.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.


Back to Top

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance.

Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
.