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Morning Report - 12 August 2016

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Coca-Cola HBC AG 1681 110.0 7.0 16.1
TUI AG 1041 29.0 2.9 -14.0
Intertek Group PLC 3663 96.0 2.7 31.9
British American Tobacco PLC 4985 126.5 2.6 32.2
Unilever PLC 3641.5 88.0 2.5 24.4
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Direct Line Insurance Group PLC 377 -16.0 -4.1 -7.5
Old Mutual PLC 216.9 -8.6 -3.8 21.2
Berkeley Group Holdings (The) PLC 2515 -98.0 -3.8 -31.8
BT Group PLC 399.3 -9.1 -2.2 -15.4
Travis Perkins PLC 1526 -34.0 -2.2 -22.7
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,914.7 48.3 0.70 10.8
UK 17,807.6 107.9 0.61 2.2
FR CAC 40 18,613.5 117.8 0.64 6.8
DE DAX 30 2,185.8 10.3 0.47 6.9
US DJ Industrial Average 30 19,732.0 383.0 1.98 34.6
US Nasdaq Composite 19,255.5 398.0 2.11 37.8
US S&P 500 10,923.0 -28.0 -0.26 4.2
JP Nikkei 225 16,917.0 181.9 1.09 59.5
HK Hang Seng Index 50 22,789.5 209.0 0.93 113.1
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,520.0 12.0 0.22 -49.6
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 145.70 1.18 0.81 0.0
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 162.17 2.55 1.6 30.9
Gold ($/oz) 206.38 5.55 2.76 44.2
Silver ($/oz) 238.39 7.00 3.02 0.0
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 25057.50 3.22 56.5
EUR/USD – US$ per € 16746.00 1.65 35.0
GBP/EUR – € per £ 15157.50 0.52 20.4
UK 100 called to open flat at 6915

UK 100 Cash, 9-month chart (Source: IT Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open -10pts at 6905 after breaking out above 6900 and rallying into the close yesterday. An overbought RSI could engineer a slight pullback at the open which might see a test of 6900 as support, but a bullish finish indicates traders were confident enough to hold positions overnight. Bulls will therefore seek another up day with 7000 their target, while bears will wait for the index to pull back below the 20-day moving average before going short. Bullish 6920, Bearish 6740.

The slightly negative opening call comes as Asian markets appear to shrug off a poor set of data out of China - Industrial Production and Retail Sales grew less than expected -  with expectations that the PBoC will apply some of the very much in vogue economic stimulus in due course. Keep an eye on Burberry shares as well as the UK Index miners off the back of this.

US markets closed in the green with all major indices posting fresh record highs. Strong performances in the energy sector after (surprise surprise) the Saudi oil minister blew some hot air about an upcoming meeting at which delegates would discuss ‘stabilising prices.’ The retail sector also outperformed on impressive corporate earnings from Macy’s and Kohl’s. Note the potential for a read across to UK energy names like BP and Royal Dutch Shell, as well as retailers like Marks & Spencer and Next today.

Crude prices are off their overnight highs after rallying hard when the Saudi energy minister said OPEC and non-OPEC producers could discuss a possible output freeze at next month’s meeting. Whatever mate.

Gold has found support at the rising lows it was heading for yesterday. However it is now below all its major hourly moving averages and in a new narrowing range. A break back above $1341 would please bulls looking for a leg up to $1350 while traders will keep one eye on the USD Basket, which is also near support in a rising channel.

Looking ahead today we’ve got a full offering of macro data including UK construction output, Eurozone industrial production & GDP and US retail sales & inflation.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Nationwide says to pass on BoE rate cut to customers, mortgage lending up
  • Bestway updates on acquisition of properties in London
  • Wood Group, trade unions suspend strikes on Shell's North Sea platforms
  • Speedy Hire recommends against largest investor's plan to oust chairman

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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