This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Anglo American PLC | 585.1 | 37.9 | 6.9 | 95.4 |
| Glencore PLC | 141.5 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 56.4 |
| Fresnillo PLC | 961 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 35.7 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 778.2 | 17.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Rio Tinto PLC | 2030.5 | 43.0 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Berkeley Group Holdings (The) PLC | 3000 | -124.0 | -4.0 | -18.7 |
| Taylor Wimpey PLC | 179.8 | -6.4 | -3.4 | -11.5 |
| Persimmon PLC | 1995 | -69.0 | -3.3 | -1.6 |
| Barratt Developments PLC | 534 | -13.0 | -2.4 | -14.7 |
| Intertek Group PLC | 3162 | -68.0 | -2.1 | 13.9 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,200.1 | -4.3 | -0.07 | -0.7 |
| UK | 16,778.8 | -50.9 | -0.30 | -3.7 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,312.6 | 9.5 | 0.22 | -7.0 |
| DE DAX 30 | 9,683.0 | 60.7 | 0.63 | -9.9 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,556.5 | -20.5 | -0.12 | 0.8 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 4,833.4 | -17.3 | -0.36 | -3.5 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,042.0 | -5.6 | -0.27 | -0.1 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 15,939.3 | 188.2 | 1.19 | -16.3 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 20,531.5 | 90.7 | 0.44 | -6.3 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 4,974.4 | 42.9 | 0.87 | -6.1 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 40.18 | -0.30 | -0.73 | 8.4 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 42.63 | -0.22 | -0.5 | 13.4 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1256.35 | -2.85 | -0.23 | 18.5 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 15.86 | -0.06 | -0.39 | 14.7 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.42 | – | 0.07 | -3.3 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.14 | – | -0.01 | 5.1 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.25 | – | 0.1 | -8.0 |
UK 100 Index called to open flat at 6200 with a week-long rising channel and a more recent area of support around 6175 encouraging to bulls looking for the index to continue creeping north. A pullback to the channel floor shouldn’t scupper bullish sentiment, but a break below it would make further declines towards 6140 and 6110 a possibility. Watch levels: Bullish 6220, Bearish 6150.
The flat opening call comes despite a positive Asian session led by Japan’s Nikkei after the BoJ said it would take more action to weaken the Yen if needed. European equity markets are likely preferring to view the forthcoming US earnings barrage with caution, even if UK internet retailer ASOS impressed with its Q1 update this morning.
Indeed, US bourses slipped into the red towards the end of the US trading session, a fitting prelude to Alcoa’s disappointing earnings report which confirmed investor worries about the forthcoming results season. They would have hoped for (record?) low expectations to have been surpassed, so this isn’t a great start!.
The Fed’s bank basher, Kaplan, spoke. He wasn’t in bank bashing mode though, talking rate hikes instead. He’s open minded about the June meeting as a potential date, but current data doesn’t support any action on interest rates right now.
Oil prices staged another rally yesterday and are once more consolidating on profit taking this morning. With prices still buoyed by all this Doha chatter, consensus now sees the meeting shortening the period over which otherwise pure market forces might bring balance back to the oil market. Still, there’s plenty of scope for the mood to turn sour. Brent currently at $42.8, US Crude at $40.3.
Gold is also consolidating after making a new 10-week high overnight. $1260 today’s key level, and potential for more upside if markets get the jitters about earnings in the equity space this week. The big US banks will be the ones to watch.
On the Macro front today we’ve got German inflation seen flat, while that for the UK is seen ticking up a little. US NFIB small business optimism is also seen improving. Speech-wise, we’re due to hear from German Chancellor Merkel and a Fed trio of Harker, Williams and Lacker.
For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service
This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research