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Morning Report - 11 June 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
SABMiller PLC 3460 182.5 5.6 11.6
Smith & Nephew PLC 1100 25.0 2.3 27.8
Weir Group PLC 2677 43.0 1.6 25.6
Royal Mail Group PLC 506.5 5.5 1.1 -11.1
Unilever PLC 2685 29.0 1.1 8.2
Meggitt PLC 529.5 5.5 1.1 0.4
United Utilities Group PLC 901 7.5 0.8 34.2
WPP Group PLC 1310 10.0 0.8 -5.1
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BT Group PLC 396.5 -9.6 -2.4 4.5
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 412.6 -8.3 -2.0 2.8
Mondi PLC 1097 -22.0 -2.0 4.9
Next PLC 6515 -110.0 -1.7 19.5
Pearson PLC 1132 -17.0 -1.5 -15.6
Anglo American PLC 1452 -19.5 -1.3 10.0
Sports Direct International PLC 815 -10.0 -1.2 14.0
Old Mutual PLC 202.1 -2.4 -1.2 6.9
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,873.55 -1.45 -0.02 1.84
UK 16,210.60 -7.76 -0.05 1.73
FR CAC 40 4,595.00 5.88 0.13 6.96
DE DAX 30 10,028.80 20.17 0.2 4.99
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,946.00 2.80 0.02 2.23
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,338.00 1.76 0.04 3.86
US S&P 500 1,950.79 -0.48 -0.02 5.54
JP Nikkei 225 15,054.93 60.13 0.40 -7.59
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,236.46 -79.28 -0.34 -0.30
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,448.30 -21.35 -0.39 1.80
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 104.44 -0.04 -0.04 5.8156
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 109.525 -0.415 -0.38 -1.124
Gold ($/oz) 1260 7.8 0.62 4.5817
Silver ($/oz) 19.185 0.14 0.74 -1.2355
Platinum ($/oz) 1475.7 22.6 1.56 7.3939
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6749 -0.32 1.2024
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3539 -0.4 -1.5059
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.237 0.06 2.6045
UK 100 called to open -5pts at 6860

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30     UK          Jobless Claims, Unemployment, Earnings

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open -5pts at 6860 after recovering from another sell-off, but again failing to regain the highs of the prior day. This could be a sign of flagging momentum and traders taking a breather after recent gains, supported by US markets finishing pretty much unchanged even if the DJIA did manage another record close. The UK Index ’s 2-week 6795/6880 range is unbroken.

 Note the World Bank cutting its 2014 global growth forecast to 2.8% from January’s 3.2%, which probably dented overnight sentiment, with downward revisions for advanced economies (+1.9% vs +2.2%; but ‘gathering momentum) and developing economies (4.8% v 5.3%; China 7.6% v 7.7%). Note the US cut to 2.1% from 2.8%, Japan cut to 1.3% from 1.4% but the Eurozone maintained at 1.1%.

 US markets closed almost unchanged with the DJIA and Nasdaq just positive the S&P500 just the other side of breakeven although all continue to trade near all-time highs. Data was thin but all positive, improved and better than expectations (Small Business Optimism, Wholesale Sales & inventories, Job Openings).

 Asian equities mostly lower but the Nikkei is bucking the trend despite worse BSI Large Industry data and a stronger JPY on the back of better than expected Domestic Corporate Goods Price Inflation. Note the Hang Seng and ASX in the red due to a lack of fresh impetus from key market China and improved Aussie Consumer Confidence offering little help, remaining firmly below 100 for a third straight month.

 In Europe, German Finance Minister Scheuble argued that monetary policy cannot solve underlying problems in European debt crisis, but that ECB stance was appropriate due to low inflation, while the ECB’s Meakuch said there is room for the ECB to lower rates further and that more would be done (QE a possibility) if last week’s move not enough. Citigroup also said it expects S&P to upgrade the UK credit rating outlook to stable from negative on Friday.

 In focus today will be the UK Jobs data with the unemployment rate seen falling to a 5yr low of 6.7% with employment +270K in the last 3months. Jobless Claims are expected to have fallen by another 25K and helping the claims count rate down to 3.2%. As for wages and earnings, growth is expected to have cooled in the 3 months April, still well below inflation.

 In commodities, Gold has managed to get out of its recent $1250-1255 range to trade $1260-1265 getting to its highest level in almost two weeks after the recent decline to a four month low spurred physical purchases. Note Platinum and Palladium holdings in Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) expanding to records.

 For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AU          Westpac Consumer Confidence                                Improved
  • JP          Domestic CGPI                                                  Beat
  • JP            BSI Large Industry                                            Deteriorated

See Live Macro calendar for full details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • ITE Group acquires 50 pct shares in PT Debindo Unggul Buana Makmur
  • Flybe group swings to a profit
  • Sainsbury's sales fall as King era draws to a close
  • Betfair annual profit beats forecast

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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