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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Barclays PLC | 154.55 | 8.1 | 5.5 | -29.4 |
| Standard Life PLC | 302.9 | 10.7 | 3.7 | -22.3 |
| Paddy Power Betfair PLC | 8800 | 305.0 | 3.6 | -3.1 |
| Schroders PLC | 2618 | 87.0 | 3.4 | -12.0 |
| Capita PLC | 960 | 25.0 | 2.7 | -20.5 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Pearson PLC | 882 | -88.0 | -9.1 | 19.8 |
| Rolls-Royce Group PLC | 791 | -40.0 | -4.8 | 37.6 |
| Royal Dutch Shell PLC | 2002 | -49.5 | -2.4 | 29.8 |
| Informa PLC | 714 | -15.5 | -2.1 | 16.5 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 944.7 | -16.3 | -1.7 | 24.3 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,724.4 | 3.4 | 0.05 | 7.7 |
| UK | 17,283.0 | 30.6 | 0.18 | -0.8 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,439.8 | 19.2 | 0.44 | -4.3 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,337.5 | 62.6 | 0.61 | -3.8 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 18,432.3 | -24.0 | -0.13 | 5.8 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 5,162.1 | 7.2 | 0.14 | 3.1 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,173.6 | 3.5 | 0.16 | 6.3 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 16,614.9 | 45.7 | 0.28 | -12.7 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 50 | 22,216.2 | 278.5 | 1.27 | 1.4 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,586.4 | 24.0 | 0.43 | 5.5 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 41.81 | 0.48 | 1.16 | 12.8 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 43.76 | 0.52 | 1.19 | 16.4 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1356.15 | -1.75 | -0.13 | 27.9 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 20.59 | 0.20 | 0.99 | 49.0 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.32 | – | 0.08 | -10.1 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.12 | – | -0.04 | 2.9 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.19 | – | 0.08 | -12.7 |
UK 100 Index called to open +65pts at 6765, back up testing resistance in a shallow rising channel with bulls looking for another breakout to take the index back towards the 27 Jul high 6779. Bears on the other hand will note the failure of last week’s breakout and bet on the index pulling back at least as far as 6700 with a further bonus 25 points to 6675. Both bulls and bears will see major moving averages offering support at 6733 and 6723. Updated watch levels: Bullish 6785, Bearish 6745.
A positive open comes off the back of a positive Asian session in which the Yen pulled back from its post-BoJ show of strength, boosting the Nikkei index. On the mainland, Chinese manufacturing data came in mixed, while the non-manufacturing segment edged up, encouraging for those watching China’s transition to a more services led economy.
US equity markets closed out last week mixed amid more earnings reports and a first look at the US Q2 GDP estimates which disappointed, Still, it’s just the first estimate so not too much to worry about right now. Note that markets could well latch onto a combination of the fact it’s just the first estimate (not too much to worry about fundamentally) and the fact it also makes an imminent rate hike less likely (cheap money for longer). Therefore we could see US equities start the week on the front foot.
Dallas Fed Governor Kaplan sought to ease GDP concerns while being totes original in calling for a gradual and patient approach to raising rates. Dudley also said that, while prudence would be a good thing when it comes to policy, those pricing out a rate hike in 2016 should watch their backs. This may or may not have an effect on the USD today given Friday's sharp sell off.
A weaker US Dollar has been good for Gold over the weekend, seeing the yellow metal break out above the ceiling of its late Jul rising channel, with that trend line now acting as support - although being tested this morning. A bounce would be encouraging for bulls looking for $1355. Bears will see Friday’s USD weakening as overdone and expect a rebound, which could put Gold back in its box.
Brent and WTI are off their lows but trading at 21 Jul falling highs. A bounce in the USD could put pressure on crude prices today. Note the Baker Hughes Rig Count was neither here nor there on Friday (an increase of 1) while it remains to be seen how the US gasoline glut is going.
In focus today will the be fallout from the weekend's Chinese macro data as well as a raft of manufacturing PMIs from Europe and the US.
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