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Morning Report - 9 October 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
London Stock Exchange Group PLC 1849 40.0 2.2 25.8
Prudential PLC 1408 26.5 1.9 12.1
Tesco PLC 185.1 2.5 1.4 -45.8
Petrofac Ltd 975 13.0 1.4 -19.2
Legal & General Group PLC 227.7 2.5 1.1 9.8
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC 5230 55.0 1.1 7.5
Intu Properties PLC 315.9 3.2 1.0 11.4
G4S PLC 252.6 2.4 1.0 -3.3
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Tullow Oil PLC 576 -24.5 -4.1 -32.6
TUI Travel PLC 367 -15.0 -3.9 -1.2
GKN PLC 294.7 -10.7 -3.5 -19.7
Antofagasta PLC 675 -23.5 -3.4 -10.5
Ashtead Group PLC 945 -32.0 -3.3 40.3
Anglo American PLC 1338 -37.0 -2.7 2.8
Johnson Matthey PLC 2800 -74.0 -2.6 -10.1
Randgold Resources Ltd 4050 -102.0 -2.5 0.8
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,482.2 -13.3 -0.21 -4.0
UK 14,933.5 -165.7 -1.10 -6.3
FR CAC 40 4,168.1 -41.0 -0.97 -3.0
DE DAX 30 8,995.3 -90.9 -1.00 -5.8
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,994.2 274.8 1.64 2.5
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,468.6 83.4 1.90 7.0
US S&P 500 1,968.9 33.8 1.75 6.5
JP Nikkei 225 15,527.9 -68.1 -0.44 -4.7
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,488.0 224.7 0.97 0.8
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,296.7 55.4 1.06 -1.0
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 87.71 -0.04 -0.05 -11.1
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 91.63 0.67 0.74 -17.9
Gold ($/oz) 1225.15 4.95 0.41 1.3
Silver ($/oz) 17.47 0.07 0.42 -10.5
Platinum ($/oz) 1276.80 10.00 0.79 -7.1
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.618 0.12 -2.3
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.274 0.02 -7.3
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.270 0.10 5.2
UK 100 called to open +45pts at 6540

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 12:00     UK          BOE Rate Announcement
  • 13:30     US          Initial Jobless Claims
  • 15:00     US          Wholesale Inventories

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

 

The UK 100 Index is called to open +45 at 6540pts after a strong session overnight from the US and Asian markets.

Overnight we have seen some bullish moves in the futures market seeing the UK Index hit highs of 6560, the Dow Jones back over 17,000 and the Dax over 9,100 again. This was due to the comments from the Fed minutes which signal rates would remain low for an extended period of time and as US earnings season kicked off with strong results from Alcoa.

Alcoa reported its highest earnings in three years after prices rebounded and demand around the world increased more than expected. The could have a knock on effect to the European listed miners to power houses like Rio Tinto (RIO.L), Glencore (GLEN.L) and BHP Billiton (BLT.L) this morning.

The UK Index managed to claw back a lot of its losses towards the close, setting up an interesting day to see if the UK Index can sustain the 6550 level again, with stocks reacting to the US earning season.

The best performer was London Stock Exchange (LSE.L) +2.2% as they announced the launch of the UK Index AFSA Australia Bond Index Series, a comprehensive set of fixed-income benchmarks that cover the different sectors of the Australian bond market.

Yesterday the biggest decliner was Tullow Oil -4%, as the Ivory Coast seek investors for seven new ultra-deep water blocks in the Gulf of Guinea which notoriously neglects the production of oil and gas.

Today we have updates from Hays (HAS.L), John Wood Group (WG.L), and PepsiCo in the US. Watch out for any more ‘out of the ordinary movements’ after Alcoa’s result last night.

Asian stocks rose for a third day this week as Federal Reserve concerns over a global economic slowdown spurred bets that U.S. interest rates will remain low. The Dow Jones finished positive up 1.6%, just shy of the 17,000 level having rebounded from lows for its biggest one day gain this year.

In commodities, WTI traded nearest lowest levels since June 2013 and London’s Brent was at the weakest level since June 2012 after crude stockpiles surged more than forecast in the U.S. Gold after recent trouble is heading for the longest rally also since June as Federal Reserve officials expressed there could be a slowdown globally, weakening the dollar and boosting demand for a haven. FX – the dollar fell to a two week low against the euro as investors pushed back bets for when the fed increase interest rates.

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Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • JP            Machine Orders                               Better
  • AU          Employment Change      Worse
  • AU        Unemployment Rate       In-line

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • John Wood says trading in line with expectations
  • Centamin ramps up gold production at Sukari mine
  • Polar Capital assets rise to $13.4 bln over six months to end Sept
  • N Brown Group H1 revenue down 0.6 percent
  • Hays posts 4 percent rise in first quarter net fees
  • Old Mutual says OM Asset Management IPO priced at $14 per share
  • IGas teams up with partners to bid for new UK shale gas licences
  • Vernalis licenses V2006 to RedoxTherapies
  • Rolls-Royce selected by Norwegian for nine Dreamliner engines

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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