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Morning Report - 8 October 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Tesco PLC 182.6 5.9 3.3 -46.6
Anglo American PLC 1375 27.0 2.0 5.7
Royal Mail Group PLC 395.6 3.5 0.9 -31.8
Rio Tinto PLC 3020.5 23.5 0.8 -5.6
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 395.2 2.2 0.6 -18.3
Coca-Cola HBC AG 1330 3.0 0.2 -22.0
Standard Chartered PLC 1129.5 0.5 0.0 -21.1
Randgold Resources Ltd 4152 -1.0 0.0 3.4
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 345.6 -25.7 -6.9 -5.3
Carnival PLC 2328 -167.0 -6.7 5.9
easyJet PLC 1389 -78.0 -5.3 0.2
TUI Travel PLC 382 -15.3 -3.9 2.8
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC 2244 -85.0 -3.7 18.5
Ashtead Group PLC 977 -36.0 -3.6 45.1
Mondi PLC 973 -33.0 -3.3 3.2
Weir Group PLC 2293 -75.0 -3.2 10.1
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,495.6 -68.1 -1.04 -3.8
UK 15,099.2 -177.8 -1.16 -5.2
FR CAC 40 4,209.1 -77.4 -1.81 -2.0
DE DAX 30 9,086.2 -123.3 -1.34 -4.9
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,719.4 -272.5 -1.60 0.9
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,385.2 -69.6 -1.56 5.0
US S&P 500 1,935.1 -29.7 -1.51 4.7
JP Nikkei 225 15,632.1 -151.7 -0.96 -4.0
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,234.7 -187.9 -0.80 -0.3
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,241.3 -42.9 -0.81 -2.1
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 87.79 -0.81 -0.91 -10.2
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 90.96 -0.60 -0.65 -17.4
Gold ($/oz) 1213.95 3.55 0.29 0.5
Silver ($/oz) 17.26 0.05 0.28 -11.4
Platinum ($/oz) 1266.80 20.50 1.64 -7.8
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.606 -0.17 -2.8
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.263 -0.28 -7.9
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.272 0.11 5.4
UK 100 called to open -32pts at 6471

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 12:00     US          MBA Mortgage Applications

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

 

The UK 100 Index is called to open 35pts lower at 6470pts compounding yesterday's decline of 68pts.

The IMF (International Monetary Fund) cut its global growth forecast and warned of “frothy” equities amid signs of slowing growth in Europe causing traders to cash out of stocks across the board.

The IMF is now forecasting 3.3% growth this year, down from its forecast in July of 3.4%. Next year, it predicts 3.8% growth, against an earlier prediction of 4.0%.

The reductions reflect sharp downgrades to the outlook for the Eurozone, Russia, the Middle East and Japan. It remains positive on the UK and US outlook.

Only 7 companies on the UK 100 managed to finish the session in positive territory - Tesco (TSCO.L) the notable performer up 3.31%. Market chatter suggested the supermarket chain is working on selling assets in a bid to avoid a rights issue.

At the foot of the table, news of a recorded Ebola case in Madrid was affecting the travel and tourism stocks with International Consolidated Airlines (IAG.L) down 6.92% followed closely by cruise company Carnival (CCL.L) down 6.69%, EasyJet (EZJ.L) down 5.32%, First Choice and Thomson parent company TUI Travel (TT..L) down 3.85% and InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG.L) down 3.65%.

Be aware KLM Air France this morning issued another profit warning, this could impact UK listed airlines.

In US markets the selling was just as aggressive. The S&P 500 slumped 1.5% to an 8-week low, closing at 1,935pts. The Dow Jones lost 272pts, the biggest retreat since July. The run on global equities caused the VIX (The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index) to jump 13%.

Asian stocks picked up where Western trading left off. The Nikkei 225, Hang Seng and ASX 200 all declined around 1%.

In commodities, gold rose slightly to $1215 an ounce as equity markets continued to sell off, and Chinese buyers returned from a weeklong break. Morgan Stanley meanwhile listed gold and iron ore as its least preferred metals and predicted they would continue to extend losses into 2015 as the dollar strengthen and a global glut for raw materials. WTI extended declines from 17-month low trading at $87.40 a barrel with Brent also falling as low as $90.75. With the Fed minutes released at 19:00 keep an eye on the precious metals.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • JP            BOP Current Account Balance    Better
  • CH          HSBC Services PMI                          Declined

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Fastjet says operational issues in Tanzania resolved
  • Micro Focus announces details of new facilities
  • London Mining warns on funding, value of shares
  • Shell starts oil production from Malaysian deep-water platform
  • UK pub firm Marston's sees FY profit in line

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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