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Morning Report - 5 January 2016

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Randgold Resources Ltd 4243 100.0 2.4 2.4
Fresnillo PLC 709.5 1.5 0.2 0.2
easyJet PLC 1737 -3.0 -0.2 -0.2
United Utilities Group PLC 933 -2.5 -0.3 -0.3
Royal Dutch Shell PLC 1538 -5.0 -0.3 -0.3
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Anglo American PLC 277.85 -21.6 -7.2 -7.2
Old Mutual PLC 167.4 -11.5 -6.4 -6.4
Glencore PLC 85.27 -5.2 -5.8 -5.8
Shire PLC 4453 -245.0 -5.2 -5.2
Antofagasta PLC 445.7 -23.6 -5.0 -5.0
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,093.4 -148.9 -2.39 -2.4
UK 17,122.2 -307.6 -1.76 -1.8
FR CAC 40 4,522.5 -114.6 -2.47 -2.5
DE DAX 30 10,283.4 -459.6 -4.28 -4.3
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,149.0 -276.0 -1.58 -1.6
US Nasdaq Composite 4,903.1 -104.3 -2.08 -2.1
US S&P 500 2,012.7 -31.3 -1.53 -1.5
JP Nikkei 225 18,374.0 -77.0 -0.42 -3.5
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,184.3 -142.8 -0.67 -3.3
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,184.4 -86.0 -1.63 -2.1
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas ($/barrel) 34.83 0.07 0.95 1.3
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 37.28 0.36 0.98 2.7
Gold ($/oz) 1077.45 5.05 0.47 1.6
Silver ($/oz) 13.97 0.11 0.78 1.0
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.472 0.02 -0.8
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.083 0.04 -0.6
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.359 -0.02 -0.2
UK 100 Index called to open +50pts at 6145

UK 100 Index 1-week chart

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open +50pts at 6145, having regained some composure after the toughest Jan start for 16 years saw it give up more ground from a 6-month ceiling of falling highs. Nonetheless, the bounce from circa 6100 maintains a trend of rising lows from mid-December and may offer bargain hunters an opportunity to pounce on hopes of a rebound towards 6450. Watch levels: Bullish 6170, Bearish 6130.

The positive opening call comes after Chinese regulators intervened in volatile equity markets after yesterday’s 7% sell-off triggered new circuit breakers. While state controlled funds bought stocks overnight, a 6-month selling ban for major institutions was also extended to stem declines and avoid a repeat of last August’s rout. The PBOC also injected the most cash since September.

Asia stocks slightly negative, stabilizing after yesterday’s new year downer but largely shrugging off Chinese intervention, acknowledging that intervention is forthcoming when required, but taking it as confirmation of the nation’s woes in the wake of poor manufacturing data and FX devaluation. This followed a late US rally which brought stocks off their worst levels. Japan’s Nikkei  still hindered by a strong Yen near 2-month highs. Australia’s ASX held back by miners still on the back foot.

In focus today will be German Unemployment seen largely stable in December, while UK Construction PMI is expected to have improved. After German consumer inflation disappointed yesterday, it is highly probable that the Eurozone CPI print also misses expectations for a rebound. This afternoon, keep an eye out for me on TipTV around 1pm, looking at a handful of market charts.

In corporate world, note Next’s (NXT) christmas trading statement disappointing and US biotech name Baxalta (BXLT) relying on reports that Shire (SHP) is in advanced talks to buy it for $46.5-48 per share.

Gold is still attempting to breakout beyond 2-month falling highs around $1075 as it benefits from safe-haven demand amid market volatility and geopolitical risk. Oil holding its pull-back from recent supply disruption fuelled highs ahead of US stockpile data and after the USD strengthened on safehaven seeking. Copper rebounded.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Motoring group AA enters connected-car joint venture
  • British retailer Next reports disappointing Christmas sales
  • Great Portland exchanges contracts to sell Greater London office property
  • Fenner says CEO Nick Hobson has taken a temporary leave due to ill health
  • Bwin.Party fourth – quarter net revenue rises 5%
  • Wizz Air says December load factor at 85.1%
  • Next revises forecasts after tough Christmas

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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