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Morning Report - 4 May 2023

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Price (p) % Chg
Pearson PLC 824.8 9.4%
Melrose Industries PLC 422.5 3.1%
Burberry Group PLC 2,616.0 2.9%
Vodafone Group PLC 96.3 2.8%
Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLC 628.2 2.6%

 

Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Price (p) % Chg
Lloyds Banking Group PLC 46.0 -3.6%
Haleon PLC 341.4 -3.3%
Croda International PLC 6,728.0 -3.0%
Rs Group PLC 890.0 -2.5%
Kingfisher PLC 250.8 -2.5%

 

Major World Indices Price % Chg 1 YEAR
UK 100 INDEX 7,793 0.3% 3.0%
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG 33,610 -0.2% 1.5%
DAX INDEX 15,811 0.5% 12.6%
NIKKEI 225 29,158 0.1% 8.7%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 7,197 -1.0% -1.5%
Commodities Units Price % Chg
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) USD/bbl. 68.51 -4.40%
Brent Crude (ICE) USD/bbl. 72.21 -4.13%
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 2,026 0.5%
Copper (Comex) USd/lb. 384 -0.7%
The UK 100 called to open -27 points at 7761.

4 hours; 5 Months

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

The UK 100 called to open -27 points at 7761.   The UK 100 looks set to open lower this morning, This comes after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25% as expected last night, however a change in language to a more dovish tone, suggested that this could be the last rate rise for now.  However concerns over the position of the banking sector in the US were further raised after regional bank PacWest put themselves up for sale, shares were trading 53% lower after hours.  US markets ended lower with the Dow Jones ending down 0.8%, the S&P 500 down 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.5%.  Focus today switches to the European Central Bank, expectations are to see a slow down its pace of interest rate hikes to a 25 basis point hike - the same as the Fed.

Company News & Broker Comments:

Company News:

BAE Systems says their trading to-date is in line with expectations. They expect their 2023 sales to rise by 3-5% and their EBIT to rise by 4-6%.

 

 

Mondi reports that their Q1 EBITDA has dropped to 351m euros, from 456m euros QoQ, marked by lower selling prices and softer demand.

 

 

Next maintained their guidance for annual profit after reporting a slightly better-than-expected 0.7% decline in Q1 full-price sales. They stayed cautious on the outlook for the rest of the 2023-24 year, forecasting a 1.5% decline in full-price sales and a pretax profit of £795m, down from the £870.4m made in 2022-23.

 

 

Shell reported a Q1 2023 net profit of $9.65bn, dropping slightly from the previous quarter as energy prices cooled but still beating forecasts. They kept their dividend unchanged at $0.2875 per share and also kept the rate of their share repurchase programme stable at $4bn over the next three months. Net profit beat a company provided forecast of $8bn.

 

 

Trainline report a FY pretax profit of £22.1m vs loss of £15.5m YoY. Their FY net ticket sales came in at £4.32bn, up from £2.52bn YoY. They expect continued strong growth in FY24, despite recent strikes in UK and France.

 

 

Broker Comments:

Wells Fargo Downgrades Flutter to Equal Weight (16 Buys / 5 Holds / 0 Sells)

 

Reporting Today:

UK

 

Mondi

 

Morgan Sindall

 

Next

 

Rathbone Brothers

 

Shell

 

Trainline

 

Virgin Money

 

 

US

 

Ball Corp

 

Moderna

 

Novo Nordisk

 

Shopify

 

Apple Inc

 

Block

 

Lemonade

Reporting Friday:

UK

 

International Consolidated Airlines Group

 

 

US

 

AMC Entertainment

 

 

 

In Focus Today:

 

Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI

 

German Trade Balance s.a.

 

German HCOB Composite PMI

 

EU HCOB Composite PMI

 

UK S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI

 

ECB Monetary Policy Decision Statement

 

ECB Rate On Deposit Facility

 

ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations

 

US Goods and Services Trade Balance

 

US Initial Jobless Claims

 

ECB Press Conference

 

This Morning's Ex-Dividends:

UK 100 companies going ex-dividend on 4th May 2023:

 

Glencore

 

St. James's Place

 

Admiral Group

 

Hiscox

 

UK 250 companies going ex-dividend on 4th May 2023:

 

4imprint Group

 

Lancashire Holdings

 

Edinburgh Investment Trust

 

BlackRock World Mining Trust

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