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Morning Report - 27 June 2019

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Evraz PLC 664.4 25.4 4.0 38.3
BA-owner IAG 449.4 9.9 2.3 -27.3
Carnival 3475 63 1.8 -7.7
Barclays 149.3 2.4 1.6 -0.8
Phoenix Group 700 10.5 1.5 24.3
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Rolls-Royce 850.2 -24 -2.7 2.4
Micro Focus 2055.5 -43 -2.0 48.6
Fresnillo 874.8 -18.2 -2.0 1.7
Schroders 3016 -57 -1.9 23.5
Tesco 224.2 -4 -1.8 17.9
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 7,416.4 -6.0 -0.1 10.2
UK 19,260.4 -26.1 -0.1 10.1
FR CAC 40 5,500.7 -13.9 -0.3 16.3
DE DAX 30 12,245.3 16.9 0.1 16.0
US DJ Industrial Average 30 26,536.8 -11.5 0.0 13.8
US Nasdaq Composite 7,910.0 25.3 0.3 19.2
US S&P 500 2,913.8 -3.6 -0.1 16.2
JP Nikkei 225 21,302.6 216.0 1.0 6.4
HK Hang Seng Index 50 28,515.3 293.3 1.0 10.3
AU S&P/ASX 200 6,658.2 17.7 0.3 17.9
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 59.21 -0.3 -0.5 30.3
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 65.51 -0.1 -0.2 21.0
Gold ($/oz) 1406.81 -4.1 -0.3 9.7
Silver ($/oz) 15.40 0.0 0.2 -0.4
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.2683 -0.09 -0.6
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.1354 -0.18 -1.0
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1167 0.04 0.4
UK 100 called to open +10pts at 7425

UK 100 : 3-week, 2-hourly

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

UK Index called +10pts at 7425. Optimism surrounding a truce to the US-China trade war, had a positive effect on Asian stocks. The hyped-up G20 meeting between Trump and Xi on Saturday had traders excited overnight, following through to European bourses this morning. Combined with hopes of a Fed rate cut, risk appetite remains.

In corporate news this morning:

AstraZeneca’s Imfinzi improved overall survival at interim of PIII III CASPIAN trial in 1st-line extensive small cell lung cancer; Trial statistically-significant with clinically-meaningful benefit.

Premier Oil announces significant increase in resource estimate of Zama field offshore Mexico

Serco underlying trading profit +20%, revenues +6% (4% organic); Now anticipate FY revenues around top end of £2.9-3B guidance range, helped by favourable FX movements; continue to expect underlying trading profit of £105m.

Greene King FY revenues +1.8%, adj. Pre-tax +1.6%, statutory profit -12.5%, dividend flat. Pub Company like-for-like sales +2.9%, margin flat. Partners LFL net income +1.5% ; Brewing & Brands revenue +5.8%; First 2 months of new year impacted by poor weather; LFL sales below strong comparatives. Uncertainty likely to continue to weigh on confidence; cost inflation persists.

GlaxoSmithKline and Liquidia amend agreement; Liquidia gets right to develop more products; GSK maintains exclusive rights to develop and commercialize any PRINT-based therapeutic delivered via inhalation, except LIQ861.

Oxford Uni signs deal with Legal & General for £4B funding over 10yrs for graduate housing, subsidized accommodation for staff and income-generating science parks. Unusual arrangement locks in long-term funds for university; L&G gains access to several development projects.

Hunting H1 trading inline with expectations. Cautious start to year; sensitivity to oil prices.  Revenue up albeit marginally, EBITDA expected to be marginally ahead, Operating profits/margins lower. Q2 strengthened. Comfortable with FY consensus.

BP invests $30m in Calysta, a California-based biotechnology company using gas to make fish food.

Go-Ahead says Andrew Allner to step down as non-executive Chairman and retire from Board; appoints Clare Hollingsworth as non-executive Chairman Designate from 1 Aug.

Hiscox announces retirement of Richard Watson, Chief Underwriting Officer.

Kingfisher – Appoints new CEO 20 year Carrefour vetran Thierry Garnier.

Unilever to terminate depositary receipt structure Friday, converted to ordinary shares.

In focus today:

Data: EU Business Confidence (10am), US GDP (1:30pm), US Jobless Claims (1:30pm), US Pending Home Sales (3pm), US Kansas Fed Manufacturing (4pm) & US Banking Stress Tests Results.

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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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