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Morning Report - 26 June 2019

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
3i Group 1098.5 35.5 3.3 42.0
Smurfit Kappa 2400 74 3.2 15.3
DS Smith 356.2 10.4 3.0 19.0
Antofagasta 912.2 18.2 2.0 16.5
Land Securities 835.2 15.6 1.9 3.8
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BA-owner IAG 439.5 -13 -2.8 -28.9
NMC Health 2364 -54 -2.2 -13.6
Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust 524 -9.5 -1.8 12.2
Vodafone 124.24 -2 -1.6 -18.7
Rolls-Royce 874.2 -12.8 -1.4 5.3
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 7,422.4 5.7 0.1 10.3
UK 19,286.5 -13.2 -0.1 10.2
FR CAC 40 5,514.6 -7.1 -0.1 16.6
DE DAX 30 12,228.4 -46.2 -0.4 15.8
US DJ Industrial Average 30 26,548.3 -179.3 -0.7 13.8
US Nasdaq Composite 7,884.7 -121.0 -1.5 18.8
US S&P 500 2,917.4 -28.0 -1.0 16.4
JP Nikkei 225 21,047.9 -145.9 -0.7 5.2
HK Hang Seng Index 50 28,208.4 22.4 0.1 9.1
AU S&P/ASX 200 6,646.6 -11.4 -0.2 17.7
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 59.10 1.1 1.9 30.1
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 65.39 1.0 1.5 20.7
Gold ($/oz) 1409.61 -18.4 -1.3 9.9
Silver ($/oz) 15.37 0.1 0.5 -0.6
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.2666 -0.19 -0.7
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.1358 -0.09 -1.0
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1150 -0.12 0.3
UK 100 called to open -10pts at 7408

UK 100 : 3-week, 2-hourly

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

UK 100 called to open -10pts at 7408; Asian stocks were mixed as potential Fed Interest rate cuts hampered optimism, as well as Trump induced Iranian sanctions. US-China trade talks resume ahead of the all-important Trump – Xi meeting at the G20 this week. Gold has retreated over 1% at $1406 whilst oil is slightly up at $66.26 as a report suggests stockpiles in the US have continued to shrink.

In corporate news this morning:

Tullow Oil expects H1 revenues of $900m  and free cash flow $100m, with results heavily weighted to second half of year due to the Group's liftings schedule and the phasing of both tax payments and rebates. FY CAPEX expectations remain unchanged. Drilling campaign in Guyana will get underway later this month with spud of first of three wells planned for 2019. 

Bunzl says half year expectations unchanged (revenues +4%; +2% at constant FX/working days, o/w half organic, half acquisitions) with overall trading consistent with the slowing underlying revenue growth indicated at Q1 statement in April. Expects more acquisitions this year. 

Wood Group says H1 revenues flat year-on-year, but significant growth in operating profit together with EBITDA margin improvement; Expectation of revenue growth, strong earnings growth and cash generation in 2019 is unchanged.

Ryanair amends buyback arrangements to limit UK investment; allow for block trades from EU holders; Repurchases to limit shares owned by non-EU holders in event of no-deal or hard Brexit.

US Marine Corps awards BAE Systems (and Iveco) a $67m contract modification to develop variants of its Amphibious Combat Vehicle to replace older Assault Amphibious Vehicles.

Stagecoach says no intention to bid for new UK rail franchises on the current risk profile offered by the Department for Transport; maintain expectations of EPS for 2019/20.  Regional Bus mileage to be broadly in line with 2018/19, with modest short-term revenue growth. Costs generally well controlled. London Bus market still tough. UK Rail profit expected to be minimal. Deputy Chairman to stand down next June.

WANdisco wins $750k China contract, with one of the largest manufacturers of mobile handsets in the world, using the company's patented Fusion platform.

In focus today:

Data: UK CBI Trades Survey (11am), US House Prices (2pm), US New Home Sales, Richmond Fed and Consumer Confidence (3pm), API Oil Inventories (9.30pm)

Speakers - ECB de Guindos (8.15am), Fed’s Williams (1.45pm), Fed’s Bostic (5pm), Fed Chair Powell (6pm), ECB’s Coeure (6.15pm) , Fed’s Bullard (11.30pm)

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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