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Morning Report - 28 May 2019

Friday’s UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Evraz 606.6 20 3.4 26.24
Antofagasta 802 22.4 2.9 2.4
Hiscox 1654 45 2.8 2.04
Auto Trader 597.4 16.2 2.8 31.35
SSE 1038 25.5 2.5 -4.02
Friday’s UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
British Airways owner IAG 468.4 -10.4 -2.2 -24.21
Paddy Power Betfair 5676 -106 -1.8 -11.31
ITV 108.05 -1.3 -1.2 -13.46
BT 196.26 -2.3 -1.1 -17.57
easyJet 919 -8 -0.9 -16.83
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 7,277.7 46.7 0.7 8.2
UK 19,127.3 96.1 0.5 9.3
FR CAC 40 5,316.5 35.1 0.7 12.4
DE DAX 30 12,011.0 58.6 0.5 13.8
US DJ Industrial Average 30 25,585.8 95.3 0.4 9.7
US Nasdaq Composite 7,637.0 8.7 0.1 15.1
US S&P 500 2,826.1 3.8 0.1 12.7
JP Nikkei 225 21,288.2 105.6 0.5 6.4
HK Hang Seng Index 50 27,462.2 174.1 0.6 6.3
AU S&P/ASX 200 6,486.1 34.2 0.5 14.9
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) 59.30 0.1 0.2 30.5
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 68.89 0.2 0.3 27.2
Gold ($/oz) 1283.53 -2.4 -0.2 0.1
Silver ($/oz) 14.48 0.0 0.3 -6.4
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.2675 -0.1 -0.6
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.1184 -0.1 -2.5
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1333 0.0 1.9
UK 100 called to open +25pts at 7305

UK 100 : 1-month, 3-hourly

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

UK 100 called to open +25pts at 7305, extending Thursday’s bounce from 7210, within a 7210-7363 range. Bulls need a break back above 7320 to challenge the range ceiling. Bears require a breach of 7290 to endanger rising support. Watch levels: Bullish 7320, Bearish 7290

Calls for a positive open come courtesy of gains in Asia bettering those in the US, in spite of lingering US-China trade war uncertainty. Sentiment boosted of hopes of Beijing stimulus after China Industrial Profits growth fell.  Heavily reliant trade partner Australia boosted with Miners and Energy outperforming which may boost London-listed names on their return from a long weekend.

Note Oil extending rebound, Brent back above $70 in spite of USD strength, while Gold is $1280-1287 range-bound. Copper holding recent bounce gains.

 

In corporate news this morning:

Bovis Homes no longer in discussions with Galliford Try about a proposed merger of Bovis with Galliford’s Housing Businesses (not Group or Construction operations).

The FT reports Aviva may be set to split itself into Life and Non-Life businesses, the new CEO undoing his predecessor’s decision of just two years ago.

London Stock Exchange may be sensitive to Nasdaq withdrawing its bid for Oslo Bors, ending a long-running fight for control with Euronext.

Major shareholder M&G rejects Non-Standard Finance’s Offer for Provident Financial.

Sports Direct agrees to £120m sale and 15yr leaseback of property being used as distribution centre, offices and retail..

Tritax Big Box obtains outline planning consent for up to 2.31 million sq ft of logistics space at Symmetry Park, Kettering. Once fully developed, site has potential to deliver returns of 7-8%, in-line with target.

The FT reports ITV and the BBC at odds with each other over priorities and funding commitments for their joint project BritBox, aimed at breaking Netflix’s stranglehold on the streaming market.

Bunzl appoints Peter Ventress Chairman designate, to succeed Philip Rogerson.

IAG may be sensitive to ratings agency Moody's upgrading its outlook On British Airways' to Positive from Stable whilst affirming its Baa3 Rating.

 

In focus today:

The fallout from the European elections and the latest in the UK’s Conservative Party leadership race could be a driver for GBP, with a knock-on for the UK 100 , as the UK plays catch-up from a long weekend holiday.

Data-wise, UK Mortgage Approvals (9.30am) could impact UK Index house-builders while US House data (2pm) could dictate Stateside sentiment this afternoon.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.


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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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