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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets | 208.1 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 40.4 |
| Tesco | 169.65 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 13.5 |
| Informa | 727.5 | 34.0 | 4.9 | 18.7 |
| RSA Insurance | 530.5 | 21.5 | 4.2 | 24.4 |
| Coca-Cola HBC | 1727 | 64.0 | 3.9 | 19.3 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Hargreaves Lansdown | 1273 | -71.0 | -5.3 | -15.5 |
| Next | 4957 | -253.0 | -4.9 | -32.0 |
| Marks & Spencer | 313.4 | -8.4 | -2.6 | -30.7 |
| Royal Bank of Scotland | 194.2 | -3.2 | -1.6 | -35.7 |
| Associated British Foods | 2726 | -33.0 | -1.2 | -18.4 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,730.3 | 57.0 | 0.85 | 7.8 |
| UK | 17,752.0 | 121.1 | 0.69 | 1.9 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,373.2 | 3.0 | 0.07 | -5.7 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,431.2 | 52.8 | 0.51 | -2.9 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 18,212.5 | 177.8 | 0.99 | 4.5 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 5,249.7 | 75.9 | 1.47 | 4.8 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,147.3 | 21.5 | 1.01 | 5.1 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 16,512.1 | 107.1 | 0.65 | -13.2 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 50 | 23,335.6 | Closed | Closed | 6.5 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,291.9 | 52.0 | 0.99 | -0.1 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 43.64 | -0.40 | -0.91 | 17.7 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 46.33 | -0.40 | -0.85 | 23.2 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1317.55 | -2.65 | -0.2 | 24.3 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 19.01 | -0.04 | -0.22 | 37.5 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.32 | – | -0.06 | -10.2 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.12 | – | -0.06 | 3.5 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.18 | – | 0 | -13.2 |
UK 100 Index called to open -5pts at 6725 after failure to overcome 6750 and challenge Monday’s highs brought it back below 6740. This coincides with intersecting falling resistance dating back to last Tuesday. The Bulls will be looking for a break above 6750 in the hope that 6800 is attainable. The Bears are hoping for another etrace towards recent lows of 6640. Updated watch levels: Bullish 6740, Bearish 6715.
Expectations for a mildly negative open come in spite of a positive Asian session overnight for those regional bourses not on holiday. This echoes Wall St gains fuelled by an Apple rally, an oil price finding support and investors dialling back worries about a Fed rate hike, not just next week but by year end. Nonetheless, sapping sentiment overnight is a $14bn US legal challenge against Deutsche Bank for mis-selling of mortgages adding to sector woes.
Australia’s ASX is outperforming thanks to a weaker USD giving a boost to commodities, Copper maintaining its breakout and Oil finding support for Energy names. Japan’s Nikkei is positive on hopes that more policy easing is on its way next week (rates even more negative?) to fire up growth and inflation. A weaker Yen is thus helping exporter stocks. China & Hong Kong closed.
US indices closed higher overnight led by Tech, most notably by a year-high close for Apple following reports of surging sales of the iPhone 7. Additionally, the subsiding of expectations of a rate hike by the Fed next week have left markets buoyed by the prospect of low rates until December.
Oil prices have found support after another slide as Libya and Nigeria resume exports alongside an another expected increase in US rig counts later today. The reversal of yesterday’s gains comes as a prominent hedge fund manager and predictor of 2014’s price plunge remains bullish on outlook for 2017, believing a fall in supply is possible. Don’t forget that OPEC-led meeting at month end.
Gold is nearing two week lows following a breakdown of support as the chances of an interest rate rise by the Fed fade away. More soft data from the states, coupled with a lack of trading activity in Asia due to market holidays across the region, have pulled the price of the precious metal downwards.
After disappointing US data yesterday, in focus today will be US CPI inflation figures, with a slight increase on last month’s data predicted, but still nowhere near the Fed’s 2% target. This will likely merely add to investors reining in their expectations of a rate hike next week. US Consumer Confidence is seen rising a touch while the US Baker Hughes Rig Count could provide more clues about output and the global oil supply glut.
Note EU leaders meeting without the UK to discuss Brexit in Bratislava, which is certain to offer a soundbite or two about the UK not having its cake and eating it. However, with all that positive data of late, and BoE intervention having helped out, does the UK need to worry just yet?
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