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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Standard Life PLC | 340 | 21.5 | 6.8 | -12.8 |
| Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC | 192.3 | 7.6 | 4.1 | -36.3 |
| TUI AG | 1016 | 36.5 | 3.7 | -16.1 |
| easyJet PLC | 1076 | 37.0 | 3.6 | -38.2 |
| Standard Chartered PLC | 668.2 | 18.8 | 2.9 | 18.5 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Legal & General Group PLC | 206 | -12.1 | -5.6 | -23.1 |
| Carnival PLC | 3589 | -87.0 | -2.4 | -7.2 |
| Sky PLC | 898 | -10.0 | -1.1 | -19.2 |
| Aviva PLC | 418.5 | -4.5 | -1.1 | -18.9 |
| Antofagasta PLC | 525.5 | -5.5 | -1.0 | 12.0 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,851.3 | 42.2 | 0.62 | 9.8 |
| UK | 17,687.4 | 129.7 | 0.74 | 1.5 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,468.1 | 52.6 | 1.19 | -3.6 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,692.9 | 260.5 | 2.50 | -0.5 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 18,533.0 | 3.8 | 0.02 | 6.4 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 5,225.5 | 12.3 | 0.24 | 4.4 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,181.7 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 6.7 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 16,755.6 | -9.4 | -0.06 | -12.0 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 50 | 22,520.6 | 55.0 | 0.24 | 2.8 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,540.3 | -12.3 | -0.22 | 4.6 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 42.71 | -0.35 | -0.8 | 15.2 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 44.96 | -0.31 | -0.68 | 19.6 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1357.75 | 10.05 | 0.75 | 28.0 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 20.18 | 0.25 | 1.24 | 46.0 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.31 | – | 0.37 | -11.4 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.12 | – | 0.3 | 2.7 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.17 | – | 0.08 | -13.7 |
UK 100 Index called to open -15pts at 6835 as the index takes a break at the last significant resistance before the key 7000 level. Bulls looking to 6800 to hold as support for a breakout above 6875 today, while bears will note the RSI very close to overbought and look for a pullback below 6800 to pick up a few points worth of downside to 6700. Bullish 6900, Bearish 6785.
A negative opening call for European equities comes amid a mixed session in Asia Pacific with the Yen strengthening as Japanese machine tool orders rebounded from a 1.5yr low and the pace of deflation eased. A weaker USD is adding to strength in Asia-Pacific currencies. Note this could also act to ease the FX translation benefits enjoyed by some UK 100 multinationals as GBP ticks back up from its sub-1.30 lows.
US equities eased back after making new record intraday highs, with energy stocks underperforming after oil prices reversed once more - volatility in that space coming with the mandatory OPEC hot air. A mixture of US macro data saw a rise in Unit Labour Costs, but a worrisome pullback in Q2 Non-farm Productivity saw the USD sell off.
Crude prices are again subject to OPEC ‘smoke and mirrors’ with mere talk of forthcoming meetings doing the job of raising prices. This coming just as crude oil heads back into bear market territory! Actual action by the cartel seems less and less likely when all it needs to do is talk about a production freeze, but once people realise this the game will surely have to change. Note US DOE oil inventory data due out at 3.30pm today.
Gold has benefitted from a weaker USD following yesterday’s macro data and a bounce in the GBP. The yellow metal looks to have met resistance at $1355 while $1350 and the 200- and 100-hour moving averages should provide decent enough support to keep the uptrend from yesterday afternoon alive.
A quiet day on the macro front sees US MBA Mortgage Applications at midday, a useful consumer confidence barometer. US JOLTS Job Openings are seen flat in June at 3pm, while DOE Crude Oil Inventories come in at 3.30pm - sure to move the oil price, but will focus remain on distillates?
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