This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Standard Chartered | 555.55 | 50.8 | 9.8 | -1.5 |
| Paddy Power Betfair | 8755 | 390.0 | 4.7 | -3.6 |
| BP | 379.625 | 15.6 | 4.3 | 7.2 |
| Lloyds Banking | 69.02 | 2.4 | 3.6 | -5.5 |
| Berkeley Group | 3083.5 | 95.0 | 3.2 | -16.4 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| AstraZeneca | 3963.25 | -85.0 | -2.1 | -14.2 |
| Burberry | 1210 | -24.0 | -1.9 | 1.3 |
| Glencore | 151.425 | -3.0 | -1.9 | 67.4 |
| Inmarsat | 930.75 | -17.0 | -1.8 | -18.1 |
| Anglo American | 672.8 | -11.9 | -1.8 | 124.7 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,284.5 | 23.6 | 0.38 | 0.7 |
| UK | 16,945.5 | -20.2 | -0.12 | -2.8 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,533.2 | -12.9 | -0.28 | -2.2 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,259.6 | -34.8 | -0.34 | -4.5 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,990.3 | 13.0 | 0.07 | 3.2 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 4,888.3 | -7.5 | -0.15 | -2.4 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,091.7 | 3.9 | 0.19 | 2.3 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 17,295.4 | -57.9 | -0.33 | -9.1 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 50 | 21,314.5 | -92.7 | -0.43 | -2.7 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,181.5 | -39.1 | -0.75 | -2.2 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, West Texas Int. ($/barrel) | 44.48 | 0.70 | 1.59 | 20.0 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 46.24 | 0.65 | 1.43 | 23.0 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1245.75 | 1.35 | 0.11 | 17.5 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 17.31 | 0.14 | 0.83 | 25.2 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.46 | – | -0.04 | -1.1 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.13 | – | 0.02 | 4.0 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.29 | – | -0.07 | -5.0 |
UK 100 called to open -10pts at 6275, showing renewed weakness overnight (blame US tech results) following failure of yesterday’s rebound to overcome 6300. The bulls are watching 6250 for another bounce, pinning hopes on a daily RSI close to 8-month rising support. The Bears are making much of the breach of April’s uptrend, focusing on potential for a 3-day bearish flag from recent 6430 highs. Watch levels unchanged: Bullish 6305, Bearish 6245.
Expectations for a negative open in Europe can be pinned on more disappointing results from US Tech (Apple, Twitter) which knocked sentiment in Asia overnight and offset the positive US close and a rebound in Chinese industrial profits. This has only added to recent reticence ahead of central bank meets by the Fed and BoJ. While hopes are high that the latter eases, the risk is that the former delivers a less dovish message that disappoints markets.
Asian bourses in the red with Australia's ASX underperforming, despite a weaker AUD, as inflation data missed expectations to flirt with deflation for the first time in seven years. This has raised the odds of a rate cut by the RBA in May even after it suggested a 2% floor in April’s minutes. Commodity price weakness from a USD rebound also weighing on the index’s mining sector, even as Oil pushes higher.
US bourses quiet ahead of this evening’s FOMC announcement with broad market buoyancy provided by the energy sector on a still-rising oil price. Note also a couple US macro data misses (Durable Goods Orders, Consumer Confidence).
Corporates will be weighing on the Dow today after Apple (AAPL) posted its first drop in quarterly revenue in 13 years, part of a set of numbers that pretty much missed across the board. Fellow tech hipster Twitter (TWTR) also fared poorly. In both cases, investors will almost certainly be looking more at the guidance than the numbers though. Apple’s got complacent in its assumption that people will buy a new £650 mobile phone every year, while the outlook for Twitter’s money making potential remains as opaque as Jack Dorsey’s beard.
Crude oil prices are STILL strong this morning after making new YTD highs overnight as traders appear to be reacting to a perceived re-balancing in supply and demand. Brent and WTI are currently consolidating after making breakouts above $46 and $44 respectively. Note buyers’ remorse could see a little retracement today.
Gold is currently trading near a falling trend line around $1245 which could prove to be a hurdle with potential for a bit of pre-emptive USD strength to see the yellow metal back towards $1232 ahead of the US Central bank this evening. It’ll take a good bit of risk-on to see gains north of $1250, though poor US data of late might well tip the Fed’s rhetoric towards the dovish end of the spectrum.
In focus today will be the US Federal Reserve policy update this evening. No change expected but language of statement to be closely scrutinized for clues about timing of next rate hike. UK GDPis seen slightly slower in Q1, but still a solid 2% on an annual basis. In the afternoon, US Pending Homes Sales are expected to have seen much slower in March. US Oil inventories always of interest but no surprise that consensus is for another build. US Results today from Texas Instruments, United Tch, Boeing and Facebook
For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.
This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research