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Morning Report - 31 December 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Antofagasta PLC 472.1 11.4 2.5 -37.3
Worldpay Group PLC 307.7 3.7 1.2 0.0
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 614 4.5 0.7 26.3
Next PLC 7275 40.0 0.6 6.7
Shire PLC 4705 22.0 0.5 3.8
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Glencore PLC 89.8 -3.3 -3.5 -70.0
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 2292 -66.0 -2.8 15.8
Standard Chartered PLC 566.1 -14.7 -2.5 -38.2
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 302.8 -7.3 -2.4 -23.2
BHP Billiton PLC 760.6 -15.2 -2.0 -45.2
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,274.1 -40.5 -0.64 -4.5
UK 17,519.7 -49.7 -0.28 8.9
FR CAC 40 4,677.1 -24.2 -0.52 9.5
DE DAX 30 10,743.0 -117.1 -1.08 9.6
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,603.8 -117.3 -0.66 -1.2
US Nasdaq Composite 5,065.9 -42.1 -0.82 7.0
US S&P 500 2,063.4 -15.0 -0.72 0.2
JP Nikkei 225 19,033.7 51.5 0.27 9.1
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,914.4 32.3 0.15 -7.2
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,295.9 -24.0 -0.45 -2.1
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas ($/barrel) 34.83 0.07 -0.26 -31.8
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 36.61 -0.01 -0.03 -36.4
Gold ($/oz) 1061.65 0.55 0.05 -10.3
Silver ($/oz) 13.90 0.04 0.27 -11.4
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.482 0.04 -4.8
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.093 -0.04 -9.7
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.356 0.07 5.3
UK 100 called to open -15pts at 6260

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open -15pts at 6260 with the index settling back towards support at the 50- and 100-day MAs and trading at the floor of a 4-day rising channel on the 30-min chart. Watch levels: Bullish 6350, Bearish 6200.

Another negative opening call (the last one.....of 2015) comes amid another mixed Asian session, the last of the year (Asian markets closed on). A continued slide in the oil price and a US Dollar that’s not going down without a fight are dominating sentiment as people begin to attempt their 2016 forecasts, seeing headwinds for long term earnings.

“But not all companies are oil producers or miners, right? There are far more consumers of commodities than there are producers, so this is good, no?!” To clarify, it’s falling prices that are an economic concern - not fallen prices. This is a macro-economic issue that drives expectations of further easing of monetary policy in commodity-led economies (even as the US Fed starts tightening), which in turn has consequences for global stock markets from a currency perspective.

US markets closed near session lows yesterday leaving the Nasdaq (tech heavy) the only major US index likely to close nicely positive for the year (would you be happy with 0.2% on the S&P? you could’ve got that from your bank!). Very low volumes expected on the last trading day of the year.

In focus today is the fact that it’s New Year’s Eve, so rather than data fallout we’re likely to hear much about what’s to come in 2016. US employment data is seen a tad worse at lunchtime though.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

There are no UK company headlines of note this morning.


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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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