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Morning Report - 30 December 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 2358 107.0 4.8 19.2
Taylor Wimpey PLC 204.2 7.0 3.6 48.2
Persimmon PLC 2040 67.0 3.4 29.3
Smith & Nephew PLC 1209 36.0 3.1 1.8
Barratt Developments PLC 634 18.0 2.9 34.6
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Anglo American PLC 307.35 -20.7 -6.3 -74.4
Pearson PLC 745.5 -22.5 -2.9 -37.4
Rolls-Royce Group PLC 586.5 -8.5 -1.4 -32.6
BP PLC 360.75 -5.2 -1.4 -12.2
Rio Tinto PLC 1978 -28.5 -1.4 -34.1
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,314.6 59.9 0.96 -3.8
UK 17,569.4 154.3 0.89 9.2
FR CAC 40 4,701.4 83.4 1.81 10.0
DE DAX 30 10,860.0 206.2 1.94 10.8
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,721.0 192.8 1.10 -0.6
US Nasdaq Composite 5,107.9 67.0 1.33 7.9
US S&P 500 2,078.4 21.9 1.06 1.0
JP Nikkei 225 19,033.7 51.5 0.27 9.1
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,902.6 -97.1 -0.44 -7.2
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,319.9 52.6 1.00 -1.7
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, West Texas ($/barrel) 34.83 0.07 -1.18 -30.7
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 37.45 -0.07 -0.19 -35.0
Gold ($/oz) 1069.65 1.25 0.12 -9.6
Silver ($/oz) 13.94 0.01 0.05 -11.1
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.484 0.11 -4.8
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.093 0.04 -9.7
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.357 0.07 5.4
UK 100 called to open -15pts at 6300

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open -15pts at 6300 with yesterday’s pattern conundrum turning out to be the more bullish of the two. Note, however, today’s pretty much unmistakeable rising wedge pattern on the 30-min chart, with daily technicals an even mix of bullish and overbought. Watch levels: Bullish 6400, Bearish 6200.

The slightly negative opening call comes amid a mixed Asian session ahead of New Year holidays. An oil price rebound yesterday buoyed many global markets - particularly those heavily exposed to commodities - with some nice US data helping the cause further. However note that volumes remain thin and the self-fulfilling Santa Rally theme makes drivers (if there are any) hard to pinpoint in another short week.

US futures called lower this morning, after tech and healthcare led yesterday’s rally that helped push the S&P500 back positive for the year. Energy stocks also provided a boost on an oil price rebound, before attention shifted back to US stockpile data due out later today to put Crude prices back on the back foot.

The US Dollar Basket (DBX) (an index that measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of key global peers) has gone up 9% this year amid divergent monetary policy between the US and Europe, although we note losses of 2% in December alone as traders appear to be exiting the currency.

Of course, now is not the time to make concrete predictions, but if this trend were to continue in the new year, then the outlook for metals in particular could be improved somewhat. One to keep an eye on for those of you who like to trade Gold and miners.

In focus today could well be a positive session for UK Index house builders and related stocks, after UK house price growth accelerated in December. Later on we have US pending home sales seen up - adding supply to the stateside housing market, while Crude inventories are once again set to rise.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

There are no UK Company Headlines of note this morning.


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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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