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Morning Report - 23 October 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Glencore PLC 117.1 6.6 5.9 -60.8
Ashtead Group PLC 987 37.0 3.9 -14.3
GKN PLC 287.5 9.6 3.5 -16.4
Vodafone Group PLC 215.1 7.1 3.4 -3.4
Antofagasta PLC 561 15.5 2.8 -25.5
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Travis Perkins PLC 1845 -118.0 -6.0 -0.7
Pearson PLC 950 -48.5 -4.9 -20.2
Kingfisher PLC 351 -15.4 -4.2 3.1
Smiths Group PLC 984 -27.0 -2.7 -10.4
Wolseley PLC 3730 -72.0 -1.9 1.2
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,376.3 27.9 0.44 -2.9
UK 17,044.5 7.8 0.05 6.0
FR CAC 40 4,802.2 107.1 2.28 12.4
DE DAX 30 10,492.0 253.9 2.48 7.0
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,489.3 320.8 1.87 -1.9
US Nasdaq Composite 4,920.1 79.9 1.65 3.9
US S&P 500 2,052.5 33.6 1.66 -0.3
JP Nikkei 225 18,845.0 409.1 2.22 8.0
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,157.0 311.7 1.36 -1.9
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,351.6 87.7 1.67 -1.1
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 45.50 0.06 0.12 -15.3
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 48.43 0.40 0.83 -15.9
Gold ($/oz) 1168.20 2.70 0.23 -1.3
Silver ($/oz) 15.87 0.04 0.24 1.2
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.541 0.14 -1.1
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.111 0.25 -8.2
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.387 -0.12 7.7
UK 100 called to open +30pts at 6405

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 Index called to open +30pts at 6404, with the index having come back from overnight highs 6430 but remaining above prior resistance at October falling highs. Bulls will be reinvigorated by the potential for further gains today in the form of a second leg to the October rally, while bears will hope that Eurozone QE will spook rather than spur. Watch levelsBullish 6500, Bearish 6290.

The bullish opening call for Europe comes after the ECB yesterday hinted at further QE – with the UK and US having engaged in three rounds each, markets encouraged by potential for the Eurozone to follow suit meaning cheap money for longer. Considerably longer.

Asian markets following positive cues from the US, which itself reacted well to the dovish mood in Europe in addition to some good earnings reports from Microsoft, AT&T and Google’s parent company Alphabet. Keep an eye on ARM Holdings (ARM) following strong Q3 performances in the US tech sector. US macro data was mixed, putting a cap on Wall St's gains for the time being, but individual data prints likely to be forgotten about quickly. The subject of interest rates sticks like glue!

In other news, David Cameron took Xi Jinping down the pub for fish and chips before the Chinese premier visits Manchester to survey the damage he’s done to the North of England with all that cheap steel he keeps dumping onto the market.

Oil little changed since yesterday with both WTI and Brent Crude still in a downtrend since 9 Oct. No fresh supply drivers, which means the world is still oversupplied while a stronger dollar lurks as Eurozone monetary policy sends bond investors across the pond.

Gold likely to suffer too today with European investors going risk-on, physical demand in India dropping off ahead of holiday season (though that will be balanced by a pick-up in Chinese demand in early Oct) and that USD strength potentially taking even more shine off the yellow metal.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires/Bloomberg)

  • UK bookmaker William Hill warns on FY profit
  • DNO confirms $30mn gross payment for oil exported from Tawke Field
  • Genel notes receipt of payment for Kurdistan oil exports
  • TalkTalk fears customer data compromised in cyber attack
  • John Lewis weekly dept store sales +4.4%, Waitrose  +1%

 


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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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