This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Hargreaves Lansdown PLC | 1400 | 70.0 | 5.3 | 38.3 |
| ARM Holdings PLC | 979.5 | 46.5 | 5.0 | -1.6 |
| London Stock Exchange Group PLC | 2475 | 100.0 | 4.2 | 11.4 |
| Unilever PLC | 2890 | 100.0 | 3.6 | 10.0 |
| St James’s Place PLC | 866.5 | 27.5 | 3.3 | 6.4 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Burberry Group PLC | 1302 | -117.0 | -8.3 | -20.4 |
| Sports Direct International PLC | 650.5 | -24.5 | -3.6 | -8.5 |
| Glencore PLC | 117.75 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -60.6 |
| Ashtead Group PLC | 964.5 | -14.5 | -1.5 | -16.3 |
| GKN PLC | 280.5 | -2.8 | -1.0 | -18.5 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,338.7 | 69.1 | 1.10 | -3.5 |
| UK | 16,949.5 | 138.0 | 0.82 | 5.4 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,675.3 | 66.3 | 1.44 | 9.4 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,064.8 | 149.0 | 1.50 | 2.6 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,141.8 | 217.0 | 1.28 | -3.8 |
| US Nasdaq Composite | 4,870.1 | 87.3 | 1.82 | 2.8 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,023.9 | 29.6 | 1.49 | -1.7 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 18,284.2 | 187.3 | 1.03 | 4.8 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 23,002.2 | 114.1 | 0.50 | -2.6 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,268.2 | 38.2 | 0.73 | -2.6 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 46.90 | 0.02 | 0.03 | -12.7 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 50.29 | 1.38 | 2.81 | -12.7 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1176.55 | -5.05 | -0.43 | -0.6 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 16.03 | -0.06 | -0.36 | 2.2 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.547 | – | 0 | -0.7 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.138 | – | 0.15 | -5.9 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.359 | – | -0.15 | 5.6 |
UK 100 Index called to open +25pts at 6365 after an overnight rally extended the breakout from a 4-day down channel and saw the 6400 level tested. We note potential for gains of the last 24hrs to be the beginnings of a second leg of the recent strong rebound from September lows. The 4-day down channel could well have served as a mid-way pause-for-breath consolidation before resumption of the northerly march. Towards 6600/7000? Updated watch levels: Bullish 6410, Bearish 6310.
The risk-on opening call for Europe comes after Asian bourses rose for a second day, taking a positive lead from a strong European and Wall Street finish and heading for their longest positive run since April. This remains driven by weak/mixed macro data from China, US and Europe delaying expectations for a Fed rate hike and high hopes of additional global stimulus to bolster growth which is considered positive for risk appetite.
Refreshing to see a bullish appetite on a Friday, especially with China Q3 GDP looming large on Monday morning. How fast will the world’s #2 economy have grown? Enough to hit full-year target? Can official statistics be trusted? China stocks extending rally to 2-month high on speculation of more government stimulus and reforms of state owned corporates to maintain growth. Equities in Japan rising, helped by the USD/JPY bouncing to the benefit of Nikkei exporters.
US stocks hit 8-week highs after better than expected Citigroup (C) Q3 results helped the banks sector stage a rebound, especially after an uncharacteristically weak report from Goldman Sachs (GS), while biotech continued to recover from the Tuesday sell-off. Oil services giant Schlumberger (SCL) Q3 results showed a 48% plunge in profits which beat consensus but offered a gloomy outlook. Note the Fed's Dudley adding a caveat to his hawkish 2015 hike stance, noting the weak/mixed incoming data of late, while Mester maintained the US can handle a hike and delaying too long could risk needing to raise too fast later.
In focus today we have the final reading for Eurozone Consumer Price inflation data which is expected unchanged at -0.1% headline and 0.9% core. In the afternoon, US Industrial Production expected to have remained weak in September, although improved from August, while US Consumer Sentiment is seen ticking higher. The US Baker Hughes Rig count update is sure to have an impact on the Oil price. Note Q3 results from US industrial heavyweights General Electric (GE) and Honeywell (HON) out today.
Gold back from its $1190 3 ½ month highs hindered by a stronger USD making the safehaven more expensive and some profit taking following the recent strong run to erase 2015 losses. A rare discount for platinum versus Gold may also have seen some bottom picking in the alternative precious metal at the expensive of the yellow metal. Prepare for renewed interest towards the end of the day should markets adopt a risk-off stance ahead of the China GDP data on Monday.
Oil bounced back above September channel highs despite a rise in US EIA Stockpiles, a stronger USD and the head of oil services giant Schlumberger (SCL) saying the outlook is ‘increasingly challenging’ and not sure we have seen the worst; recovery may not materialise until year-end. China data sure to be a driver given the importance of oil as an input commodity.
For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.
This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research