Today's Main Events
- 0855 Germany Retail sales
- 1000 Eurozone Unemployment Rate; CPI
- 1330 USA Initial Jobless Claims; Continuing Claims
- 1330 USA Personal Income & Spending
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Weir Group PLC | 1836 | 98.0 | 5.6 | -0.8 |
| Next PLC | 7285 | 120.0 | 1.7 | 6.8 |
| Royal Mail Group PLC | 444.2 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | 2844 | 40.0 | 1.4 | 9.6 |
| Randgold Resources Ltd | 5095 | 60.0 | 1.2 | 16.3 |
| Anglo American PLC | 1138.5 | 9.5 | 0.8 | -5.2 |
| Sainsbury (J) PLC | 268.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 8.8 |
| Travis Perkins PLC | 2076 | 16.0 | 0.8 | 11.8 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC | 2042 | -79.0 | -3.7 | 3.2 |
| CRH PLC | 1823 | -69.0 | -3.7 | 18.1 |
| Dixons Carphone PLC | 418.9 | -13.1 | -3.0 | -9.4 |
| Carnival PLC | 2964 | -92.0 | -3.0 | 1.5 |
| Unilever PLC | 2846 | -83.0 | -2.8 | 8.3 |
| Centrica PLC | 267.6 | -7.7 | -2.8 | -4.1 |
| GKN PLC | 350 | -9.9 | -2.8 | 1.7 |
| Imperial Tobacco Group PLC | 3172 | -89.0 | -2.7 | 11.9 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,946.3 | -84.3 | -1.20 | 5.8 |
| UK | 17,481.2 | -178.2 | -1.01 | 8.7 |
| FR CAC 40 | 5,039.4 | -134.0 | -2.59 | 17.9 |
| DE DAX 30 | 11,432.7 | -379.0 | -3.21 | 16.6 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 18,035.5 | -74.6 | -0.41 | 1.2 |
| US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 5,023.6 | -31.8 | -0.63 | 6.1 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,106.9 | -7.9 | -0.37 | 2.3 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 19,547.3 | -511.6 | -2.55 | 12.0 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 28,182.8 | -217.6 | -0.77 | 19.4 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,775.8 | -62.8 | -1.08 | 6.7 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 58.60 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 8.9 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 65.58 | -0.28 | -0.43 | 14.4 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1202.75 | -1.35 | -0.11 | 1.8 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 16.49 | -0.08 | -0.47 | 5.6 |
| Platinum ($/oz) | 1149.00 | -3.70 | -0.32 | -4.6 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.542 | – | -0.02 | -1.0 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.111 | – | -0.06 | -8.2 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.389 | – | 0.04 | 7.8 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open +19pts at 6959 having broken through support at 7000, joining global index peers in a broad selloff yesterday as markets reacted to a strengthening Euro and weakening US Dollar basket that shifted investor focus from equities to fixed income. UK 100 has since made a bounce off new support at 6920 with 6900 providing backup. Rising 3-month support providing additional protection from further downside to keep a shallow uptrend alive for the time being. Watch levels: Bullish 7120, Bearish 6800.
The positive open comes after a significant wobble on Wednesday afternoon that saw the DAX lose a shocking 530 points. Elsewhere, data showed UK consumer confidence to be unchanged in April, holding around 12 year highs. Little on the wires regarding Greece this morning save a downgrade from Mooody’s on its government bonds citing high uncertainty on whether a deal can be reached.
US bourses closed negative Wednesday after macro data disappointed once again indicating a slowdown in US economic growth in Q1. The FOMC left itself with plenty of room for manoeuvre as usual with little in the way of certainty coming out of the meeting last night. The Fed has not explicitly ruled out a June interest rate hike, making the outcome more hawkish than expected. Still, it has always maintained that any decision on interest rates must be based on data and with recent data coming in consistently divergent with consensus, a June hike is still seen by many as unlikely.
Asian equities are also lower Thursday, paring an impressive April surge and following as they always do cues from (a currently nervous) Wall St. the Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged despite inflation remaining lacklustre. The Yen strengthened as a result with the USD/JPY pair making session lows of 188.55. Overnight macro data from Japan was largely positive (to put another way, less negative) with Industrial Production improving, or to put it another way, seen contracting at a lower rate.
Today’s macro-economic releases encompass German, Eurozone and US employment data with German retail sales, Eurozone CPI (a positive reading indicating inflation) and US personal income & spending alongside. Forecasts have meant little so far this week with many prints coming in much softer than expected and there’s little reason to expect differently today, especially where US data is concerned in the aftermath of the FOMC minutes.
US Light crude ($58) and the Brent benchmark ($65) spiked Wednesday to remain in their respective uptrends. Both off highs this morning with Brent back testing support at rising lows. Note horizontal resistance at $65.8 (brent) and $58.6 (WTI) tested but still holding.
Gold ($1204) is heading back yet again to the $1200 level it’s been trading around for 2 months now as the dollar basket recovers and despite FOMC uncertainty (well, unofficially certain – a June rate hike is unlikely). A break of resistance at $1220 would be bullish for the yellow metal but so far remains out of bounds. Support around $1180 providing the lower bound to a sideways trading channel.
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See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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