Today's Main Events
- 1330 USA Jobless Claims / Continuing Claims, Housing Starts
- 1500 USA Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Next PLC | 7285 | 175.0 | 2.5 | 6.8 |
| AstraZeneca PLC | 4857.5 | 57.5 | 1.2 | 6.6 |
| CRH PLC | 1857 | 54.0 | 3.0 | 20.3 |
| Randgold Resources Ltd | 4985 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 13.8 |
| Burberry Group PLC | 1829 | 45.0 | 2.5 | 11.8 |
| Royal Dutch Shell PLC | 2122 | 36.0 | 1.7 | -5.0 |
| Intertek Group PLC | 2664 | 35.0 | 1.3 | 14.1 |
| Diageo PLC | 1967 | 33.0 | 1.7 | 6.4 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC | 2173 | -52.0 | -2.3 | 9.8 |
| Bunzl PLC | 1860 | -50.0 | -2.6 | 5.4 |
| Carnival PLC | 3259 | -37.0 | -1.1 | 11.7 |
| Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC | 6055 | -36.0 | -0.6 | 16.2 |
| Whitbread PLC | 5310 | -35.0 | -0.7 | 11.3 |
| Severn Trent PLC | 2142 | -30.0 | -1.4 | 6.8 |
| easyJet PLC | 1844 | -27.0 | -1.4 | 10.4 |
| InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | 2755 | -26.0 | -0.9 | 6.2 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 7,096.8 | 21.5 | 0.30 | 8.1 |
| UK | 17,873.5 | 14.7 | 0.08 | 11.1 |
| FR CAC 40 | 5,254.4 | 36.3 | 0.70 | 23.0 |
| DE DAX 30 | 12,231.3 | 3.7 | 0.03 | 24.7 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 18,112.6 | 75.9 | 0.42 | 1.6 |
| US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 5,011.0 | 33.7 | 0.68 | 5.8 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,106.6 | 10.8 | 0.51 | 2.3 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 19,852.0 | -17.7 | -0.09 | 13.8 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 27,686.6 | 67.8 | 0.25 | 17.3 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,941.7 | 33.3 | 0.56 | 9.8 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 56.45 | 0.44 | 0.79 | 4.3 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 63.15 | 1.91 | 3.12 | 6.4 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1202.70 | -1.70 | -0.14 | 1.8 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 16.36 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 4.2 |
| Platinum ($/oz) | 1163.05 | -1.05 | -0.09 | -3.7 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.483 | – | 0.01 | -4.8 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.068 | – | 0.05 | -11.8 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.388 | – | -0.03 | 7.9 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open +10pts at 7100, following rising support at rising lows since 6 April while failing to make new highs in the process. Updated watch levels: Bullish 7200, bearish 7000.
The positive open comes despite European equities opening weakly as worries over the Greek situation appear to be increasing, with the EU indicating that Greece’s negotiations with international creditors are going very slowly and are nowhere near the point where bailout money can be released. The Greek government is running out of money fast and threatening to default on its next debt repayment if funds aren’t made available. Opposition parties in Greece rounded on the Syriza party on Thursday, accusing tsipras and Co. of lacking strategy in negotiations and generally being a bit hopeful.
US markets closed Wednesday’s session in positive territory following the release of the Fed’s Beige Book which stated that the US economy is ‘powering through headwinds’- that is to say it is growing slowly and modestly. A first rate hike is extremely unlikely in April, but the jury is still out on June with a split down the middle of the Fed’s 12 districts as to when would be the best time to raise short term rates from near zero, where they have languished since 2008. The IMF said that widespread volatility could be initiated by any ‘surprise move’ by the Fed.
Asian Bourses are largely positive with the USD/JPY recovering from early losses which took the pair down to a session low of 118.8 overnight. Strong employment data from Australia took the AUD/USD to session highs – 37,000 new jobs were created in March bringing the unemployment rate down to 6.7%. Japan has overtaken China as the world’s #1 foreign US government bond holder as the latter holds its portfolio steady in the midst of a massive economic slowdown. Over the past year, Japan has boosted its holdings by a net $13.6 billion, while China’s holdings dropped by $49.2 billion.
In focus today we have US Jobless Claims at 1330 followed immediately by Housing Starts and Building Permits. At 1500 the Philadelphia Fed gives its business outlook for April – a useful potential indicator for later, more important data on US manufacturing.
Oil prices popped up overnight and are taking a break this morning, with Nymex West Texas Intermediate (US Light) gaining 6% to its highest level so far this year. Weekly U.S. oil stockpiles rose by just 1.3 million barrels in March compared to expectations of 3.5 million barrels, slightly alleviating global supply glut worries. OPEC publishes its monthly oil market report later today. US Light trading at $56, while Brent is currently at $63.
Gold ($1205) is back above the psyche level $1200 as the US Dollar basket pulls back. The yellow metal is in a volatile uptrend since hitting 2015 lows around $1145 in March and is now trading above its 50-day moving average. The price is also likely supported by demand in India with the Akshaya Tritiya festival which happens next week, with participants traditionally decorating themselves with the yellow metal in a show of wealth and prosperity.
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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