Today's Main Events
- 1000 Eurozone Trade Balance
- 1415 USA Industrial & Manufacturing Production
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Weir Group PLC | 1880 | 91.0 | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| AstraZeneca PLC | 4800 | 81.5 | 1.7 | 5.4 |
| Rio Tinto PLC | 2892.5 | 78.5 | 2.8 | -3.6 |
| Randgold Resources Ltd | 4938 | 73.0 | 1.5 | 12.7 |
| Next PLC | 7110 | 70.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 1459.5 | 43.5 | 3.1 | 5.1 |
| Anglo American PLC | 1039.5 | 40.8 | 4.1 | -13.4 |
| Aggreko PLC | 1600 | 26.0 | 1.7 | 6.4 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Shire PLC | 5535 | -145.0 | -2.6 | 22.1 |
| Carnival PLC | 3296 | -58.0 | -1.7 | 12.9 |
| Whitbread PLC | 5345 | -45.0 | -0.8 | 12.1 |
| London Stock Exchange Group PLC | 2530 | -43.0 | -1.7 | 13.9 |
| Hargreaves Lansdown PLC | 1210 | -27.0 | -2.2 | 19.6 |
| SABMiller PLC | 3610.5 | -25.0 | -0.7 | 7.4 |
| Standard Chartered PLC | 1083.5 | -22.5 | -2.0 | 12.5 |
| easyJet PLC | 1871 | -21.0 | -1.1 | 12.0 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 7,075.3 | 11.0 | 0.16 | 7.8 |
| UK | 17,858.8 | 29.0 | 0.16 | 11.0 |
| FR CAC 40 | 5,218.1 | -36.1 | -0.69 | 22.1 |
| DE DAX 30 | 12,227.6 | -111.1 | -0.90 | 24.7 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 18,036.7 | 59.7 | 0.33 | 1.2 |
| US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 4,977.3 | -11.0 | -0.22 | 5.1 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,095.8 | 3.4 | 0.16 | 1.8 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 19,856.8 | -51.9 | -0.26 | 13.8 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 27,578.9 | 17.4 | 0.06 | 16.8 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,905.0 | -41.6 | -0.70 | 9.1 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 53.64 | 0.19 | 0.35 | -0.5 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 60.27 | 1.94 | 3.32 | 1.3 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1192.15 | -1.55 | -0.13 | 0.9 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 16.15 | -0.01 | -0.08 | 3.0 |
| Platinum ($/oz) | 1153.35 | -0.05 | 0 | -4.6 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.475 | – | -0.13 | -5.2 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.064 | – | -0.09 | -12.0 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.387 | – | -0.03 | 7.8 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open flat at 7066, settling into the upper half of a narrow sideways channel with support at 7040 and resistance at all-time highs around 7100. Updated watch levels: Bullish 7100, bearish 7025.
The flat open comes as the wind seems to have left the UK Index ’s sails following a night of weak data from China, whose economy grew at the slowest pace since the 2008 financial crisis (though in line with consensus). Stocks with exposure to raw materials likely to stifle further progress for the UK benchmark index for the time being as investor confidence takes note of a downturn in demand from the world’s #2 economy.
In the Eurozone, talks drag on as Greece’s cash begins to dwindle with officials suggesting a lack of progress in negotiations that is likely to disappoint those hoping for a deal by the upcoming April 24th Eurogroup summit. Tsipras & Co. have been asked yet again to submit a coherent list of reforms by April 20th . The IMF are reported to be preparing for all scenarios, including a Greek exit from the Eurozone.
US bourses closed mixed on Tuesday with ongoing US Fed chatter weighing on markets. Minneapolis Fed president Kocherlakota is concerned about low inflation, pointing out that those countries battling low inflation are finding it very difficult to deal with and that a US rate hike, which could upset things, should not take place this year. Inflation is still way below the target 2% with a high probability it will remain there for the foreseeable future, and so “raising the Fed funds rate in 2015 would be inappropriate, because such an action would serve to further delay the return of inflation to target.”
Asian markets are also mixed after the disappointing Chinese data, however the Shanghai Composite added 0.3% while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index climbed 2% overnight as investors ramped up their expectations of Chinese economic stimulus measures to battle the slowdown. Premier Li Keqiang’s government has already relaxed home-purchasing rules, cut interest rates twice and reduced the reserves banks must set aside in recent months in attempts to bolster growth.
In focus today will be Industrial and Manufacturing Production from the US with the former expected to contract and the latter forecast to grow. So mixed expectations then in the world’s biggest economy that will no doubt be watched closely by an increasingly undecided Federal reserve.
Brent ($58) and US Light Crude ($54) are failing to make new highs while supported by 1-month rising lows, a potentially bullish arrangement as we move into the second half of April. Support is coming in the form of a forecast drop in US shale output alongside growing tensions in the Middle East while wary traders awaiting the US stockpiles report and weak Chinese macro data are hindering further price rises.
Gold ($1194) is still trading around support at its current price having tested $1190 yesterday and recovered overnight as the US Dollar weakened on soft data and Eurozone headwinds bolstered safe haven demand for the yellow metal.
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See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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