Getting latest data loading
Home / Morning Report / 080415as

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Morning Report - 8 April 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BG Group PLC 910.4 57.5 6.7 5.3
Shire PLC 5385 225.0 4.4 18.8
Rio Tinto PLC 2862 111.0 4.0 -4.6
Coca-Cola HBC AG 1329 50.0 3.9 8.2
Royal Dutch Shell PLC 2208.5 82.0 3.9 -1.1
Taylor Wimpey PLC 159 5.8 3.8 15.4
Glencore PLC 290.65 9.9 3.5 -2.7
Sainsbury (J) PLC 269.4 9.0 3.5 9.2
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 591.5 -7.0 -1.2 21.7
Direct Line Insurance Group PLC 318.8 -0.8 -0.3 9.4
Burberry Group PLC 1714 -1.0 -0.1 4.8
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 465.4 0.5 0.1 7.7
easyJet PLC 1846 2.0 0.1 10.5
ARM Holdings PLC 1102 3.0 0.3 10.8
Next PLC 7080 25.0 0.4 3.8
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1167 5.0 0.4 15.3
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,961.8 128.3 1.88 6.0
UK 17,521.5 252.7 1.46 8.9
FR CAC 40 5,151.2 77.1 1.52 20.6
DE DAX 30 12,123.5 156.1 1.30 23.6
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,875.4 -5.5 -0.03 0.3
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,910.2 -7.1 -0.14 3.7
US S&P 500 2,076.3 -4.3 -0.21 0.8
JP Nikkei 225 19,571.0 173.0 0.89 12.1
HK Hang Seng Index 48 25,275.6 192.9 0.77 7.1
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,920.7 22.1 0.37 9.4
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 52.99 0.14 0.26 -1.6
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 58.28 -0.05 -0.09 1.3
Gold ($/oz) 1211.05 2.05 0.17 2.2
Silver ($/oz) 16.86 0.04 0.21 7.3
Platinum ($/oz) 1174.75 4.75 0.41 -3.2
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.484 0.09 -4.9
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.085 0.22 -10.6
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.368 -0.13 6.4
UK 100 called to open +60pts at 6996

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 0830                       Germany                             Construction PMI
  • 0910                       Eurozone                             Retail PMI
  • 1000                       Eurozone                             Retail sales
  • 1200                       USA                                       Mortgage Applications
  • 1530                       USA                                       EIA Weekly Oil Stocks

 

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open +60pts at 6996 in an early morning futures surge off support at 6925, very much back in an upwards channel that puts the index just 10 points from a platform to test prior all-time highs North of resistance at 7000. Watch levels: Bullish 7050, Bearish 6900.

The positive open comes after the news that Royal Dutch Shell is to purchase BG group for about £47b in cash, which would be the 14th largest M&A transaction in history, indicating the likelihood of another Oil & Gas M&A party like the one seen in the late 1990s. European markets maintained upwards momentum into Tuesday’s close as investors were reassured by reports that Greece will meet a €450M loan repayment to the IMF this week. Greek government bond yields obediently fell; the 3-year yield was down over 250 basis points at close. Oh, and there’s also that meeting between Tsipras and Putin. Will they jump into bed together? What would that mean for the Eurozone?

In US Fed news, Minneapolis Fed Governor Kocherlakota argued dovishly that the FOMC should hold off on rate rises until the second half of 2016 and added that a theoretical argument could even be made for restarting asset purchases (QE). While we’re on the subject, the ECB announced that Eurozone government and corporate debt purchases rose to €52.5B as of 3 April, a weekly increase of €11.5B, while the ECB’s Mersch indicated that the pace of QE could be adjusted to keep inflation in check until stability is reached.

US stocks are recovering this morning having traded flat in futures trading overnight after closing lower on Tuesday. Investors on the other side of the pond are reluctant to make moves ahead of the FOMC meeting minutes later today. US Light Crude prices fell off in US Tuesday trading after the latest EIA short-term report which cut world oil demand growth forecasts and lifted crude oil production estimates.

Asian Bourses seemed to ignore Wall St. for once and posted gains overnight with improved iron ore and crude prices buoying markets there. In Japan, the boJ pledged to continue super-QE until the 2% inflation target is reached. A weak Yen as a result helped the Nikkei to a positive session thus far. Japan’s current account came out of a 4-month decline in February to post an increase of 140% YoY.

In focus today will be German Factory orders expected to increase, a result of QE perhaps, while Eurozone Retail PMI and Sales see in the afternoon with mixed forecasts. US Mortgage applications and the EIA weekly oil stocks follow.

US Light ($53) and Brent ($58) crude are down this morning as traders digest news that Saudi Arabia booked record oil production last month ahead of fresh weekly EIA stockpiles data. The Energy Information Administration will report its US crude oil inventories for the past week later in the day, with analysts predicting a rise of 3.28M barrels for the week ending April 3.

Gold ($1209) edged lower on Tuesday as the dollar recovered and global shares rose, but uncertainty about the timing of a U.S. interest rate increase kept bullion not far from a seven-week high above $1,20. The dollar basket climbed, aided by higher Treasury yields as stock markets advanced with investors moving into riskier assets for a second straight day, denting gold's appeal as a safe haven asset

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Japan                    Current Account Balance              Beat, Increased
  • Japan                    Current Account Balance Adj.     Missed, Decreased
  • Japan                    Trade Balance                                    Beat, Less Negative
  • Japan                    Eco Watchers Survey Current     Beat, Improved
  • Japan                    Eco Watchers Survey Outlook    Missed, Improved

 

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations


Back to Top

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
.