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Morning Report - 7 April 2015

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Coca-Cola HBC AG 1279 57.0 4.7 4.2
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 554 23.5 4.4 15.7
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 2195 64.0 3.0 10.9
Imperial Tobacco Group PLC 3131 86.0 2.8 10.4
Weir Group PLC 1737 42.0 2.5 -6.2
Barclays PLC 254.75 5.5 2.2 4.6
Associated British Foods PLC 2866 50.0 1.8 -9.1
WPP Group PLC 1539 26.0 1.7 14.4
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BHP Billiton PLC 1431.5 -38.5 -2.6 3.1
Antofagasta PLC 718 -15.5 -2.1 -4.6
Anglo American PLC 997 -19.5 -1.9 -17.0
Shire PLC 5160 -100.0 -1.9 13.8
easyJet PLC 1844 -28.0 -1.5 10.4
Kingfisher PLC 362.8 -5.2 -1.4 6.6
Fresnillo PLC 691.5 -8.5 -1.2 -9.7
Glencore PLC 280.75 -3.4 -1.2 -6.0
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,833.5 24.0 0.35 4.1
UK 17,268.8 145.4 0.85 7.4
FR CAC 40 5,074.1 11.9 0.24 18.8
DE DAX 30 11,967.4 -34.0 -0.28 22.0
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,880.8 117.6 0.66 0.3
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,917.3 30.4 0.62 3.8
US S&P 500 2,080.6 13.7 0.66 1.1
JP Nikkei 225 19,571.0 173.0 0.89 12.1
HK Hang Seng Index 48 25,275.6 192.9 0.77 7.1
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,920.7 22.1 0.37 9.4
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 51.89 2.34 4.71 -7.7
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 57.64 2.88 5.26 -4.9
Gold ($/oz) 1214.65 12.15 1.01 1.6
Silver ($/oz) 16.93 0.17 1.03 6.8
Platinum ($/oz) 1172.30 17.50 1.52 -4.5
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.492 -0.04 -4.2
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.094 -0.25 -9.4
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.363 0.22 5.7
UK 100 called to open +30pts at 6867

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 0855                       Germany             PMI
  • 0900                       Eurozone             PMI
  • 0930                       UK                          PMI
  • 1000                       Eurozone             PPI
  • 1500                       USA                       Economic Optimism

 

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open +30pts at 6867, shaking off Friday’s disappointing US Non-Farm Payrolls data and following Wall St’s cues to post gains in futures trading over the holiday weekend. The index has traded its way out of a late March falling channel, finding horizontal support around 6800 but with potential resistance around 6870. Watch levels: Bullish 6950, Bearish 6700.

The positive open comes after US stocks overcame early weakness on Monday to finish with strong gains as a rise in crude oil prices helped drive energy stocks and gave a boost to the market as a whole. Data wise, US Non-Manufacturing Composite in March fell to 56.5 from 56.9 previously whilst New Orders rose to 57.8 and Employment gained to 56.6. In Europe, Greek FM Varoufakis said he wants the negotiations with Greece's official lenders to reach a preliminary deal at the April 24 meeting of Eurozone Finance Ministers.

The US Fed’s Atlanta President Lockhart said that, while recent economic weakness probably won’t persist, he favours a delay in a rate increase to the latter part of the year (at least beyond the next two meetings).

Asian Bourses went higher overnight, encouraged by the gains in the US while in Australia the RBA left the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25%, concerned that a further cut would fuel the current housing bubble in an economy that is suffering from low commodity prices – commodities weigh heavily in Australia, and the country is currently undergoing a difficult transition away from its dependence on the sector.  

In focus today we have a raft of European PMI data throughout the morning including that of Spain, Italy, France, Germany, the Eurozone and the UK. Bank of England meeting minutes will be released at 0930, followed by Eurozone PPI at 1000.

US Light ($51) and Brent ($58) are off their holiday highs having posted gains over the weekend as Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil producer, announced it would raise prices to customers in Asia indicating an increase in demand there. Traders were worried about a flood of Iranian oil onto the market suppressing prices further but this has so far failed to challenge confidence that supply and demand are entering a phase of re-balance.

Gold ($1214) made a bounce upwards on April 5th, leaving a $12 gap in its wake. The yellow metal is trading flat this morning having begun its retracement, leaving much of the gap yet to be filled. Still holding above $1200 as uncertainty and a slightly weaker USD help bolster safe haven demand in the commodity.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Aussie                           Cash Rate Target              Maintained @ 2.25%

 

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Flybe sees FY results in line with market expectations
  • Shire agrees regulatory path for ADHD drug for adults

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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