Today's Main Events
- 09:30 UK Manufacturing PMI
- 13:15 USA ADP Employment Change
- 14:45 USA Manufacturing PMI
- 15:30 USA EIA Weekly Oil Stocks
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Kingfisher PLC | 380.6 | 15.8 | 4.3 | 11.8 |
| Babcock International Group PLC | 984.5 | 21.5 | 2.2 | -7.0 |
| Persimmon PLC | 1663 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 5.4 |
| easyJet PLC | 1882 | 15.0 | 0.8 | 12.6 |
| Intertek Group PLC | 2498 | 18.0 | 0.7 | 7.0 |
| Carnival PLC | 3296 | 22.0 | 0.7 | 12.9 |
| G4S PLC | 295.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 6.4 |
| Travis Perkins PLC | 1950 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Anglo American PLC | 1012 | -48.0 | -4.5 | -15.7 |
| Imperial Tobacco Group PLC | 2963 | -105.0 | -3.4 | 4.5 |
| British American Tobacco PLC | 3488.5 | -106.0 | -3.0 | -0.3 |
| BG Group PLC | 829 | -23.0 | -2.7 | -4.2 |
| Meggitt PLC | 548.5 | -14.5 | -2.6 | 5.7 |
| Fresnillo PLC | 682.5 | -18.0 | -2.6 | -10.9 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 1473.5 | -38.5 | -2.6 | 6.1 |
| Randgold Resources Ltd | 4693 | -121.0 | -2.5 | 7.2 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,773.0 | -118.4 | -1.72 | 3.2 |
| UK | 17,090.6 | -117.5 | -0.68 | 6.2 |
| FR CAC 40 | 5,033.6 | -49.9 | -0.98 | 17.8 |
| DE DAX 30 | 11,966.2 | -119.8 | -0.99 | 22.0 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,776.0 | -200.2 | -1.11 | -0.3 |
| US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 4,900.9 | -46.6 | -0.94 | 3.5 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,067.9 | -18.4 | -0.88 | 0.4 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 19,147.3 | -59.7 | -0.31 | 9.7 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 25,068.2 | 167.3 | 0.67 | 6.2 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,860.8 | -30.7 | -0.52 | 8.3 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 47.38 | -0.24 | -0.49 | -11.4 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 54.97 | -0.28 | -0.5 | -4.0 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1186.60 | 3.10 | 0.26 | 0.0 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 16.66 | 0.04 | 0.26 | 5.9 |
| Platinum ($/oz) | 1140.85 | 0.95 | 0.08 | -5.7 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.486 | – | 0.17 | -4.8 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.078 | – | 0.36 | -11.2 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.379 | – | -0.17 | 7.3 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open -36pts at 6748, having staged an overnight recovery of sorts with a bounce off support at 6670 to test the 100-period moving average at 6744. The index is now in a downwards channel as it continues to retrace from all-time highs reached on 24 March. Bulls looking for a break above 6839 while bears eyeing another fall off to that 6670 support level and below.
The negative open comes amid fresh concerns over Greece – how long will the soap opera continue? Goldman Sachs and Warren Buffet have both hinted at the reality of a Greek exit from the Eurozone, the latter suggesting it wouldn’t necessarily be such a bad thing but the former suggesting it is more likely than ever. Markets are spooked. Elsewhere, the deadline for the Iran nuclear talks had to be extended after delegates missed the deadline for coming to an agreement. The two sides are disagreeing on quite what has been achieved so far with Russian and Iranian foreign ministers saying a draft statement will be drawn up today while US and European officials suggesting those claims are exaggerated.
US stocks saw some further downside on Tuesday as profit takers got out while they could on global uncertainty worries. The outlook for US interest rates will also have weighed on the markets following remarks by Richmond Fed President Jeffrey ‘The Hawk’ Lacker, who said the case for a June rate rise is robust and that an increase may be swifter in its execution than expected. He stressed, however, that any rate movement will be according to data.
Asian Bourses again playing follow the leader with investors wary of a weak Wall St. performance and lower commodity prices. China’s HSBC manufacturing PMI was lackluster in February and industrial employers shed more jobs, two surveys showed, adding to pressure on Beijing to shore up weakening growth in the world's second-largest economy. Nonetheless, the Shanghai Composite gained 0.4% in an otherwise nervous market as investors pinned their hopes on further economic stimulus. Japan's Nikkei slipped 0.9% , while Australia's ASX fell 0.6%.
In focus today we have UK and US Manufacturing PMI data, followed later on by the weekly US EIA oil stocks.
US Light ($47) and Brent ($55) Crude have flattened out in the midst of a retracement of gains made since 17 March as investors await the Iran nuclear talks deadline – an amicable conclusion to which could see an already over populated market flooded with new oil, with potentially disastrous consequences for the price. Oil prices have fallen for the third quarter in a row. With both benchmarks now around 50% down on last summer’s prices. The EIA report due out later today is forecast to show another rise in US stockpiles, putting the US on course to challenge Saudi Arabia as the world’s #1 oil producer.
Gold ($1185) made a bounce off support at $1178 yesterday and continues a choppy recovery this morning despite hawkish US Fed chatter and a stronger Dollar which would normally weigh on the yellow metal. Global uncertainty, the other main driver for the gold price, may be winning out this week as investors eye Iran, Yemen and Greece with concern, choosing safe haven positions in the commodity over those in Bonds.
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See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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