Today's Main Events
- 10:00 Greece 3-month Bond auction
- 15:30 US EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks
- 16:30 Eurozone Eurogroup meeting on Greece
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
| UK 100 Leaders | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Marks & Spencer Group PLC | 498.85 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 |
| easyJet PLC | 1740 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 4.0 |
| Tesco PLC | 241.975 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 28.0 |
| Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC | 184.1 | 6.1 | 3.4 | -0.1 |
| Dixons Carphone PLC | 424.8 | 10.8 | 2.6 | -8.1 |
| Babcock International Group PLC | 1054 | 26.0 | 2.5 | -0.4 |
| Next PLC | 7250 | 170.0 | 2.4 | 6.3 |
| London Stock Exchange Group PLC | 2387.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 7.5 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close (p) | Chg (p) | % Chg | % YTD |
| Royal Mail Group PLC | 432.2 | -22.3 | -4.9 | 0.5 |
| Fresnillo PLC | 859.5 | -36.5 | -4.1 | 12.2 |
| Randgold Resources Ltd | 5225 | -190.0 | -3.5 | 19.3 |
| Rio Tinto PLC | 3008.5 | 16.0 | 0.5 | -0.3 |
| Antofagasta PLC | 693.5 | -23.0 | -3.2 | -7.8 |
| BHP Billiton PLC | 1495 | -47.5 | -3.1 | 7.7 |
| BG Group PLC | 934.3 | -28.7 | -3.0 | 8.0 |
| Anglo American PLC | 1149 | -35.0 | -3.0 | -4.3 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,829.1 | -8.0 | -0.12 | 4.0 |
| UK | 16,658.7 | 79.5 | 0.48 | 3.6 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,695.7 | 44.6 | 0.96 | 9.9 |
| DE DAX 30 | 10,753.8 | 90.3 | 0.85 | 9.7 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 17,868.8 | 139.6 | 0.79 | 0.3 |
| US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 4,787.7 | 61.6 | 1.30 | 1.1 |
| US S&P 500 | 2,068.6 | 21.9 | 1.07 | 0.5 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 17,652.7 | -59.3 | -0.33 | 1.2 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 24,328.5 | -199.6 | -0.81 | 3.1 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,769.1 | -31.5 | -0.54 | 6.6 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 50.29 | -0.48 | -0.95 | -5.5 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 56.73 | -0.29 | -0.51 | -1.0 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1237.45 | 4.15 | 0.34 | 4.2 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 17.03 | 0.14 | 0.81 | 7.7 |
| Platinum ($/oz) | 1211.30 | 2.90 | 0.24 | 0.0 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.526 | – | -0.02 | -2.0 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.132 | – | 0.01 | -6.4 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.348 | – | -0.03 | 4.7 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 Index called to open flat at 6835, holding above 6800 despite another test yesterday, but failing to make progress on this week’s resistance around 6850. Still in the upper half of the 6720-6905 sideways channel from mid-Jan but with a narrowing range. The uptrend from December lows is intact with Bulls eyeing a retest of recent highs 6905 while Bears hopeful of a drop to the channel base. Updated Watch levels remain Bullish 6860, Bearish 6770.
Another muted open comes from persistent uncertainty about Greek debt negotiations with the new government rejecting any increase in debt load and new PM Tsipras easily surviving a parliamentary confidence vote after pledging to never allow Greece to return to the era of austerity and bailouts.
The China Securities Journal suggests the possibility of more PBOC easing while geopolitical risk is rising with fighting intensifying in Ukraine at the same time as ceasefire talks take place and US president Obama warns Russian counterpart Putin about continued aggression towards Ukraine.
US stocks closed higher on optimism about a Greek debt renegotiation (despite mixed signals from Greek and Eurozone politicians, notably Germany) as well as some upbeat corporate updates and in spite of oil giving up ground on concerns of market oversupply and a stronger USD on hawkish Fed chatter.
Asian stocks mostly lower again, despite a positive lead form Wall Street and after initial gains as concerns about the chances of a Greek debt crisis rose and the fall back in the price of Crude weighed on sentiment. Australia’s ASX pared gains to close lower, with corporate earnings worries offsetting Consumer Confidence going positive after the recent rate cut and a rebound in Home Loans. Note Japan’s Nikkei closed for holiday.
In focus today we have a rather quiet line-up comprising a Greek 3-month bond auction which will be eyed for likely eye-watering interest rates it will have to pay based on the current Greece-Eurozone/troika standoff. US Crude Stocks will be watched for clues as to the direction of the price of oil, while Eurogroup Finance Ministers meet to discuss the Greek situation towards the end of the day.
Gold ($1235) is trending slightly higher this morning, after its falls of yesterday, with any significant progress stifled by conflicting drivers - most notably a strong USD and ongoing Eurozone worries. The short term possibility of a Grexit and war in Ukraine are providing safe haven support while a healthy US economy is keeping a significant rally largely at bay. The yellow metal remains in a falling channel from Jan-22 highs having found support for the time being around $1230 and likely resistance around $1252.
Oil also off its worst levels of the last few days, WTI and Brent finding support around $50 and $56 respectively following the API reporting a smaller than expected expansion in US stockpiles ahead of the EIA stocks report this afternoon and despite Iraq and Iran joining the Saudis cutting export prices to Asia (to the lowest in a decade), suggesting the OPEC market share battle intensifying. Both prices for a barrel see Feb rising lows intact.
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See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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