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Morning Report - 5 September 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Standard Life PLC 417.2 31.1 8.1 19.4
SABMiller PLC 3460 102.5 3.1 11.0
Carnival PLC 2358 68.0 3.0 -4.2
Coca-Cola HBC AG 1469 38.0 2.7 -17.2
Imperial Tobacco Group PLC 2700 69.0 2.6 22.2
Smiths Group PLC 1345 27.0 2.1 3.3
Associated British Foods PLC 2928 50.0 1.7 54.8
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 446.1 7.1 1.6 19.0
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BP PLC 455 -28.8 -5.9 3.1
Fresnillo PLC 909.5 -22.5 -2.4 -19.2
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1049 -24.0 -2.2 3.8
Sage Group (The) PLC 395.7 -5.8 -1.4 12.4
Bunzl PLC 1661 -23.0 -1.4 23.7
Tesco PLC 229.45 -3.2 -1.4 -37.5
Petrofac Ltd 1115 -14.0 -1.2 -9.7
Capita Group (The) PLC 1217 -15.0 -1.2 24.9
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,878.0 4.4 0.06 1.9
UK 15,995.8 3.9 0.02 0.4
FR CAC 40 4,494.9 73.1 1.65 4.6
DE DAX 30 9,724.3 97.8 1.02 1.8
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,069.6 -8.7 -0.05 3.0
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,562.3 -10.3 -0.22 9.2
US S&P 500 1,997.7 -3.1 -0.15 8.1
JP Nikkei 225 15,676.4 0.2 0.00 -3.8
HK Hang Seng Index 48 25,211.1 -86.8 -0.34 8.2
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,600.5 -30.8 -0.55 4.6
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 94.44 -0.14 -0.14 -4.2
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 101.79 -0.40 -0.39 -7.8
Gold ($/oz) 1264.45 4.65 0.37 4.6
Silver ($/oz) 19.11 0.06 0.3 -1.9
Platinum ($/oz) 1403.50 -9.10 -0.64 2.1
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.631 0.1 -1.6
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.293 0.02 -5.9
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.261 0.10 4.5
UK Index called to open -2pts at 6875

1 Week, 5 Min

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 07:00     DE           Industrial Production
  • 10:00     EU          GDP
  • 13:30     US          Change In Non-Farm Payrolls
  • 13:30     US          Unemployment Rate

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

The UK 100 Index is called to open -2pts at 6875, having reached a record 15 year high yesterday of 6904.9pts. This happened after the shock announcement by the ECB to cut all benchmark rates by 10bps and to buy asset backed securities, including non-financial private assets and covered bonds to facilitate credit flow.

Standard Life (SL.L) was the best performer having been up over 10%, to finish up by 8% having reached all-times highs of 427.60p intraday. Overnight they announced following a sale of their Canadian business to Manulife for £2.2BN they would return a mammoth £1.75BN back to shareholders.

Breaking news in the late afternoon sent oil giant BP (BP.L) down by 6% as they were found guilty of gross negligence in the 2010 spills. Afterhours speculation mounted that they could be liable for additional fines totalling $18BN. The ruling is likely to push the final bill for the disaster well over the $43BN BP has currently accounted for.

Other notable losers yesterday were Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.L), falling as much as 6% as broker downgraded the stock and traders decided to continue to sell having digested results from the prior day.

In US trading during another volatile trading session, the Dow Jones made another intraday all-time high of 17,162.90pts before profit taking took place ahead of non-farm payrolls to send the index negative by 8pts to finish at 17,069.50pts. The Dow Jones had a trading range of 135pts yesterday and with jobs data released at 13:30 expect another volatile day.

Asian markets were broadly lower following their US peers with both profit taking and caution ahead of non-farms with traders sitting on the side-line. The Nikkei was down by 0.05%, the Hang Seng down 0.4% and the ASX the notable faller down 0.6% dragged by material stocks.

In commodities, gold fell to a 11-week low as the dollar strengthened cutting demand for the metal. With the dollar hitting highest levels since July 2013, gold traded as low as $1261. Silver followed suit to trade as low as $19.09. WTI fell by over 1.1% to $94.45 after a government report showed US refineries had reduced operating rates as demand slowed. Brent was down by 0.9% to end the session at $101.83 a barrel.

In focus today, all eyes will be looking at non-farms payrolls expected to show more than 200,000 jobs created again for a seventh straight month, and unemployment rate set to fall to 6.1%. With Ukraine and Russia set to continue ceasefire talks today any outcome could cause he swings in the equity markets.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AU          AIG Performance Of Construction Index                               Improved
  • JP            Leading Index                                                                    Worse
  • JP            Coincident Index                                                              Worse

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Gulfsands Petroleum says transfer of ADX Energy's stake in Chorbane permit approved
  • Low & Bonar eases profit expectations on civil engineering slowdown
  • Laura Ashley reports 15 pct jump in first-half profit
  • John Menzies hires ex – Serco unit head as group CEO

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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