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Morning Report - 3 September 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Weir Group PLC 2706 67.0 2.5 22.1
Anglo American PLC 1562 38.5 2.5 4.5
Tesco PLC 230.9 5.4 2.4 -37.1
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1139 22.0 2.0 12.7
Aviva PLC 526 10.0 1.9 30.1
Old Mutual PLC 202.6 3.7 1.9 4.0
Sainsbury (J) PLC 294.7 5.2 1.8 -23.4
Glencore Xstrata PLC 367.55 5.7 1.6 21.8
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 351.5 -8.8 -2.4 3.2
Randgold Resources Ltd 4991 -94.0 -1.9 2.1
IMI PLC 1329 -25.0 -1.9 -17.9
Royal Mail Group PLC 440 -7.8 -1.7 0.0
Barratt Developments PLC 362.4 -6.4 -1.7 20.3
SSE PLC 1494 -25.0 -1.7 -3.4
Travis Perkins PLC 1721 -27.0 -1.5 10.8
Lloyds Banking Group PLC 74.82 -1.0 -1.4 -0.3
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,829.2 3.9 0.06 1.2
UK 15,965.4 8.3 0.05 0.2
FR CAC 40 4,378.3 -1.4 -0.03 1.9
DE DAX 30 9,507.0 28.0 0.30 -0.5
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,067.6 -30.9 -0.18 3.0
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,598.2 17.9 0.39 10.1
US S&P 500 2,002.3 -1.1 -0.05 8.3
JP Nikkei 225 15,775.3 106.7 0.68 -3.2
HK Hang Seng Index 48 25,205.1 456.1 1.84 8.1
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,658.5 0.0 0.00 5.7
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 93.28 0.09 0.09 -5.6
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 100.77 -0.63 -0.62 -8.5
Gold ($/oz) 1268.55 1.05 0.08 5.2
Silver ($/oz) 19.23 0.00 -0.01 -1.0
Platinum ($/oz) 1412.70 -11.40 -0.8 2.8
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.646 -0.05 -0.5
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.313 -0.01 -4.5
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.254 -0.03 4.0
UK Index called to open +12pts at 6839

1 Week, 5 Min

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 08:55     DE           PMI Services
  • 09:00     EU          PMI Services
  • 09:30     UK          PMI Services
  • 10:00     EU          Retail Sales
  • 12:00     US          MBA Mortgage Applications
  • 15:00     US          Factory Orders

 

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

 

The UK 100 Index is called to open higher by 12pts at 6839pts following a subdued trading session yesterday, the index gained just 4pts.

Starting with the losers - Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) finished bottom of the table down 2.44%.

The shares ran into resistance at 365p, a level technical traders would have observed. Questions were also being asked regarding the company's latest fine (£14.5m) for providing poor advice to mortgage customers. Whilst £14.5m means very little in the banking world, this is in relation to just 30,000 cases - the tip of the iceberg?

Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY.L) and Barclays (BARC.L) were tarred with the same brush falling 1.36% and 0.78%.

Randgold Resources (RRS.L) and Fresnillo (FRES.L) declined 1.85% and 1.19% respectively as the price of gold slipped more than $20 to $1264 as a strengthening dollar curbed demand.

AstraZeneca (AZN.L) fell 0.8% as it sought to play down speculation of a new bid. Its chief executive told Reuters that everything was "back to normal" in spite of speculation that Pfizer (PFE.N) could make a new bid for the British company.

Barratt Developments (BDEV.L) shed 1.74%, it looks likely the stock will exit the UK 100 alongside Rexam (REX.L) to be replaced by Direct Line (DLG.L) and Dixons Carphone (DC..L).

To yesterday's winners - Weir Group (WEIR.L) secured top spot up 2.54% after receiving a vote of confidence from analysts at Credit Suisse upgrading the stock from 'neutral' to 'outperform' and increasing the target price to 3060p.

Anglo American (AAL.L) added 2.53% the CEO said the company is open to takeover offers.

Tesco (TSCO.L) finally attracted bargain hunters after falling to an 11-year low. Shares closed higher by 2.37%. J Sainsbury (SBRY.L) clung on to the coat tails, also gaining 1.80%.

Vodafone (VOD.L) hit a three-month high with traders citing a Nikkei report suggesting the British mobile operator may become a takeover target for Japanese telecoms firm SoftBank.

U.S. factory output grew in August at the fastest pace in three years but failed to inspire trader with shallow gains or losses registered. The Dow Jones closed lower by 30pts at 17,067 while the NASDAQ advanced 0.4% to 4,598.

Asian stocks rallied as non-manufacturing activity in China jumped the most on record after its lowest-ever reading last month. The Hang Seng jumped over 2% to record a new 2014 high. The Shanghai Composite Index followed suit adding 1% and notching a 2014 high.

The Nikkei added 0.4% on optimism Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's cabinet shake-up will benefit the economy.

In commodities, gold retreated for a third day trading at $1280 as tensions continued to ease in Ukraine. West Texas Intermediate crude fell to $95.52 amid speculation that weakening manufacturing from Germany to China will cap global oil demand. Brent was steady in London.

In focus today we have UK construction PMI at 09:30 and Euro Zone PPI at 10:00. Later this afternoon we have US ISM manufacturing data at 15:00 expected to come in at 57 slightly below last month’s reading.

In commodities, gold fell to its lowest levels in 11 weeks to trade at $1262 as US ISM data came in at a three year high, spurring gains in the dollar. Silver followed suit hitting lows last seen in early June to trade at $19.08. WTI fell for the first time in five days plunging as much as 3.2% to trade at $92.88 lowest level since January 14th amid speculation on slowing manufacturing from Europe to China will curb global demand. Brent followed down by 2.4% to trade just above the psychological level of $100 a barrel.

In FX, with ISM data better than expected, the dollar rose to the strongest in almost eight months against the yen on bets quickening U.S. growth will spur the Fed to increase interest rates sooner than traders anticipate.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

 

 

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • CH          Non-Manufacturing PMI              Improved
  • JP            MARKIT PMI Services                     Declined
  • CH          HSBC PMI Services                          Improved
  • AU          GDP                                                       Better

 

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Galliford Try wins 106 mln stg housing contracts
  • Safestore sees fourth-qtr UK occupancy being lower than third-qtr
  • Spirit Pub sees FY results ahead of market expectation
  • Amara Mining says 2014 drilling campaign two-thirds complete
  • Petards Group appoints Paul Negus as director
  • Ashtead raises full-year guidance after profits soar
  • Genus full-year adjusted pretax profit dips
  • Circle Oil first-half revenue rises 13 pct

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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