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Morning Report - 5 August 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Intertek Group PLC 2706 173.0 6.8 -14.0
BG Group PLC 1221.5 13.0 1.1 -5.9
Glencore Xstrata PLC 359.75 3.6 1.0 15.1
Rexam PLC 506 5.0 1.0 -15.2
GlaxoSmithKline PLC 1430 13.5 1.0 -11.3
HSBC Holdings PLC 635 5.7 0.9 -4.1
Travis Perkins PLC 1703 14.0 0.8 -9.0
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 352.5 2.5 0.7 4.3
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 327 -11.2 -3.3 -18.5
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 995.5 -21.5 -2.1 -26.5
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC 858 -18.0 -2.1 1.7
Pearson PLC 1114 -23.0 -2.0 -16.9
IMI PLC 1417 -28.0 -1.9 -18.7
Barratt Developments PLC 344.9 -6.6 -1.9 -1.2
easyJet PLC 1275 -23.0 -1.8 -17.0
Royal Mail Group PLC 420.7 -7.4 -1.7 -26.2
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,677.5 -1.7 -0.02 -1.1
UK 15,362.6 -40.1 -0.26 -3.6
FR CAC 40 4,217.2 14.4 0.34 -1.8
DE DAX 30 9,154.1 -55.9 -0.61 -4.2
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,569.3 75.9 0.46 0.0
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,383.9 31.3 0.72 5.0
US S&P 500 1,939.0 13.8 0.72 4.9
JP Nikkei 225 15,356.3 -118.2 -0.76 -5.7
HK Hang Seng Index 48 24,542.0 -58.1 -0.24 5.3
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,522.1 -18.8 -0.34 3.2
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 98.42 0.07 0.07 -0.4
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 105.48 0.41 0.39 -5.1
Gold ($/oz) 1292.15 2.75 0.21 7.0
Silver ($/oz) 20.25 0.05 0.24 4.0
Platinum ($/oz) 1466.60 0.60 0.04 6.7
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.687 0.01 1.9
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.342 0 -2.4
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.257 -0.01 4.2
UK 100 called to open +10pts at 6695

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 8:15-9:00              EZ           PMI Services
  • 09:30                     UK          PMI Services
  • 10:00                     EZ           Retail Sales
  • 14:45                     US           PMI Services
  • 15:00                     US           ISM Non-Manufacturing & US Factory Orders

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open +10pts at 6695 ignoring Asian bourses' inability to replicate solid US gains, after China’s HSBC Services PMI dropped back to breakeven – the series’ lowest level since its Nov 2005 inception. China still key within framework global growth, but investors may be demonstrating tougher skin with regards to data volatility.

 US markets had rebounded from their worst week since 2012 benefiting from Portugal’s bail-out of Banco Espirito Santo, results from the likes of Berkshire Hathaway beating expectations, a Fed report showing an easing in lending standards at banks and a broad-based pick-up in loan demand, talks of another Gaza ceasefire and despite renewed tensions on the Ukraine/Russia border.

 Overnight data saw an improvement in the Australian Services Index as well as the nation’s trade deficit (lower imports offsetting soft mining prices), however, with China being its biggest export market the drop in the latter’s Services PMI has offset any excitement. Australia left rates on hold as expected again citing prudence in rate stability.

 After Moody’s recent upgrade of Greece, note its warning that while the France’s deficit is improving it will miss its fiscal targets for 2014-15 (another extension needed?) and so cuts its GDP forecasts.  It also said the Australian banking system outlook remains stable on continued economic growth.

 This morning note Q2 results from French bank Credit Agricole being impacted by its stake in the now bailed-out Banco Espirito Santo, one of many equity financial holdings it has been trying to reduce.

 In focus today; Eurozone PMI Services after weak manufacturing reads last Friday, with the big guns seen confirmed as having improved in July, with France notably back into growth territory. Spain expected to nudge higher, but Italy give a little ground. The UK’s figure is expected to move ever higher. Eurozone Retail Sales are hoped to show a rebound in June

 In the afternoon, the US PMI Services is expected confirmed a touch lower than the June survey’s record high while the ISM non-Manufacturing report gains a smidge and Factory Orders rebound from a weak May. Consensus put US Economic Optimism almost 2 points higher in August (all that M&A?).

 Gold is holding below $1300 after Portugal’s bailout of Banco Espirito Santo as investors welcome a speedy resolution (not ideal, shouldn’t have used state funds) which reduced some of the fears lurking within markets, damping demand for the safehaven.

 For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – it’s all part of the service.

 

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AU          AIG Services Index        Improved
  • AU          Trade Balance                   Beat, improved
  • AU          Interest Rates                   Unchanged as expected
  • JP           PMI Services                      Improved, back to growth
  • CN          HSBC Services PMI          Deteriorated

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • SDL posts H1 pretax profit of 3.1 mln stg
  • Aggreko H1 profits fall 9 pct, hit by currency headwinds
  • Dragon Oil raises interim dividend payment after strong first half
  • UK car dealer Pendragon doubles H1 profit
  • Fresnillo first-half attributable profit falls
  • Rotork first-half profit dented by strong pound
  • Avocet Mining reports first-half loss
  • Meggitt lowers revenue expectations due to military, energy woes
  • Meggitt wins Boeing 737 engine fire protection contract
  • Standard Life's profit up 12 pct on UK pensions auto-enrolment boost
  • Kier awarded contracts worth up to 6 billion pounds

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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