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Morning Report - 25 July 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Reed Elsevier PLC 980 41.0 4.4 9.0
Carnival PLC 2183 50.0 2.3 -12.7
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 342.9 7.6 2.3 -14.6
HSBC Holdings PLC 621 13.7 2.3 -6.3
Barclays PLC 214.5 3.6 1.7 -21.1
Mondi PLC 1051 17.0 1.6 0.5
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 328.8 5.2 1.6 -2.8
Antofagasta PLC 847 13.0 1.6 2.8
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Kingfisher PLC 308.5 -27.5 -8.2 -19.8
easyJet PLC 1333 -70.0 -5.0 -13.2
Petrofac Ltd 1152 -45.0 -3.8 -5.9
Fresnillo PLC 919 -21.5 -2.3 23.3
Admiral Group PLC 1507 -33.0 -2.1 15.0
ARM Holdings PLC 866 -14.5 -1.7 -21.2
Hammerson PLC 605 -10.0 -1.6 20.5
SSE PLC 1480 -18.0 -1.2 8.0
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,821.5 23.3 0.34 1.1
UK 15,748.7 22.7 0.14 -1.2
FR CAC 40 4,410.7 34.3 0.78 2.7
DE DAX 30 9,794.1 40.5 0.42 2.5
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,083.8 -2.8 -0.02 3.1
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,472.1 -1.6 -0.04 7.1
US S&P 500 1,988.0 1.0 0.05 7.6
JP Nikkei 225 15,449.4 165.0 1.08 -5.2
HK Hang Seng Index 48 24,133.9 -7.7 -0.03 3.5
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,582.1 -5.7 -0.10 4.3
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 102.00 -0.05 -0.04 3.4
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 107.09 -0.25 -0.23 -3.1
Gold ($/oz) 1292.15 -1.05 -0.08 7.3
Silver ($/oz) 20.47 0.09 0.43 4.9
Platinum ($/oz) 1473.10 -11.70 -0.79 7.2
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.699 0.02 2.7
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.347 0.04 -2.0
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.262 -0.02 4.7
UK Index called to open -14pts at 6802

1 Week, 5 Min

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:00     DE           IFO Business Climate
  • 09:30     UK          GDP
  • 13:30     US          Durable Goods

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open -15pts at 6800, after a volatile trading session that saw a 60pt range in the UK’s flagship index, that also saw their German counterparts with a range of over 135pts yesterday.

Kingfisher (KGF.L) was awarded the wooden spoon as the shares fell over 8%, the steepest decline since 2008 as they announced Q2 trading was worse than expected. They were closely followed by EazyJet (EZJ.L) who despite announcing annual profits would grow by 14%, missed targets with FY pretax numbers and was down by over 5%.

Reed Elsevier (REL.L) was top of the pile as they announced figures that beat the markets and was higher by 4.3%. Banking shares were also slightly higher ahead of reporting next week.

Earnings Watch:

Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) announced an update ahead of schedule. Pretax profit for H1 £2,652m beating expectation’s, operating profit £1,318m, litigation issues may hit profits going forward, sees about £1.5bn restricting charge in 2014, FY credit impairment charge of around £1bn

Anglo American (AAL.L) said Q1 profits were down 10% to $2.9BN in-line with forecast having been hit by weaker commodity prices and the lengthy mining strike.

BskyB (BSY.L) said Q4 profits were down over 5% and they would be placing 156.1M shares to acquire Sky Italia and Sky Deutschland.

Vodafone (VOD.L) announced Q1 organic sales growth beat expectations at -4.2% vs estimate -4.4%.

US equity markets were flat down just 2pts at 17083 as traders looked for direction and impetus with the index just off all-time highs. Caterpillar led the fallers down over 3% following an update. Elsewhere on the Nasdaq, Facebook was the standout surging as much as 7% following figures that impressed the street. After hours futures slid over 50pts as the US accused the Russians of firing missiles across the border to attack Ukraine.

Asian markets had a mixed choppy session with the Nikkei and Shanghai Composite both gaining but ASX and Hang Seng slightly negative. With the geopolitical risk still in the air, traders were somewhat undecided to whether they wanted risk on or off ahead of the weekend.

In focus keep an eye on earnings watch. As seen yesterday this has the potential to cause huge swings in share prices. We have German IFO data released at 9am and UK GDP at 9:30am.

In commodities, gold headed for its second straight weekly decline trading at $1295 as improved outlook reduced demand for the safe haven. Traders though will be keeping a close eye on tensions in Russia and Israel as this could gold to bounce. WTI was on course for its third weekly decline this month amid concerns of reduced demand from the US, back at $102 a barrel.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • JP           National CPI                       BETTER

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Balfour Beatty wins $136 mln contract to build US office complex
  • United Utilities sees good full-year underlying financial results
  • Lonmin slashes output guidance
  • South Africa's Lonmin says production ramp up steady after strike
  • African Barrick Q2 gold production up 8 pct
  • Vodafone revenue dragged lower by Spain and South Africa in Q1
  • Spectris profit hurt by lower mining demand
  • Weak commodity prices, South Africa strike hit Anglo H1 earnings
  • Anglo enters into binding agreement for sale of its stake in Lafarge Tarmac
  • Cable & Wireless Communications Q1 organic rev flat at constant currency
  • Pearson H1 profit falls on restructuring charges and currency
  • Lloyds confirms close to Libor settlement
  • AG Barr sees half-year sales revenue up about 5.6 pct
  • Sky Deutschland says BSkyB offers 6.75 euros per share
  • RBS pretax profit for H1 £2,652m, operating profit £1,318m

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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